NBA Handicap Betting Preview – Tuesday 29th December by @DavAulak

LA Lakers @ Charlotte Hornets

Asking certain teams to cover big spreads can be problematic, but the LA Lakers do look like one of the worst teams in the NBA. The Charlotte Hornets are amongst some of the better teams in the Eastern Conference and Al Jefferson’s return only bolsters their line up.

The Hornets haven’t been in great form of late, but they did beat the Memphis Grizzlies last time out although that is only the second win in seven games for Charlotte.

Charlotte have also been much better at home when it comes to the Defensive side of the court and that can help them find a way to cruise past the Lakers. A bigger problem for the road team is they might have to do without Kobe Bryant for this game, or at least have him in limited minutes, and many of their games have ended in one sided losses as the talent level is just not up to par.

The Lakers are 0-3 against the spread in games where they are set as the road underdog of between 12.5 and 18 points this season. They are also 2-8 against the spread when facing a team with a winning record on the road and I think Charlotte can cover a big number.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Charlotte Hornets -12.5 Points @ 1.92 with Matchbook

 

Philadelphia 76ers @ Utah Jazz

The Philadelphia 76ers finally won a road game last time out against the Phoenix Suns but they are still considered a big road underdog in their visit to the Utah Jazz.

However, I think the 76ers can be backed again especially if Derrick Favors is sitting for the Jazz and I am not sure Utah deserve to be asked to cover this many points.

The Jazz did blow out Philadelphia earlier this season and two of their last three home games against the 76ers would have seen them cover this spread. However, Utah have just two wins in their last eight which will have sapped some confidence from their play and they have just been struggling with their scoring of late.

Double digits look tough to cover for Utah and I will back the 76ers with the points.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Philadelphia 76ers +10.5 Points @ 1.96 with Eastbridge Sports Betting Brokerage

 

Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors

It is rare that the Sacramento Kings are being given as many points as this on the road, but the situation suggests it might not be enough. The Kings are 2-0 against the spread in the last three seasons when given between 12.5 and 15 points on the road, but they are facing a team that has dominated them.

The Golden State Warriors will play for the first time since Christmas Day and they are a team that are used to these big spreads. They are 11-7 against the spread as the home favourite of between 12.5 and 15 points over the last couple of seasons including going 2-0 this season.

The Warriors have also beaten the Sacramento Kings by at least nineteen points per game in their last four home games against them. With the scoring power they have and Sacramento on a back to back, I have to think Golden State can get unplugged in this one and win going away.

I do think the Kings are a solid line up that will give Golden State some problems, but I fully expect the Warriors to come through and win this by a wide, wide margin.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Golden State Warriors -13.5 Points @ 2.00 with Eastbridge Sports Betting Brokerage

Prices correct at time of writing

By @DavAulak.

 

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NBA Handicap Betting Preview – Monday 28th December by @DavAulak

New York Knicks @ Boston Celtics – TD Garden at 00:00

The Boston Celtics have been in very good form and are off a very good win at the Detroit Pistons. The second of back to back games sees them host the New York Knicks who also played on Saturday but were beaten easily by the Atlanta Hawks and will be expecting more from the team in this one.

I actually like the Knicks’ chances of bouncing back and at least covering as they are 10-4 against the spread as the road underdog including going 5-3 against the spread when playing on the road at a team with a winning record.

 

Carmelo Anthony

Carmelo Anthony

There is no doubting that the Boston Celtics are one of the better teams in the Eastern Conference, but they do tend to play up and down to the level of the team they are facing. The team have also not been as dominant on the Defensive side of the court which makes this look a lot of points to cover and I do like the chances of the New York Knicks.

The Knicks are also 9-4 against the spread in their last thirteen games at the TD Garden and I will look for them to cover.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: New York Knicks + 7.5 Points @ 1.97 with Eastbridge Sports Betting Brokerage

Prices correct at time of writing

By @DavAulak.

 

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NBA Handicap Betting Preview – Sat 26th/Sun 27th Dec by @DavAulak

Toronto Raptors at Milwaukee Bucks

The Milwaukee Bucks will be missing Jason Kidd as Head Coach for the foreseeable future. They beat Philadelphia comfortably enough, but it is a different test against a Toronto Raptors team that has won eight of the last nine in the series and are off a confidence boosting win over the Dallas Mavericks.

The Raptors have just come off the boil in recent games before the win over Dallas and they should be well rested ahead of this one. Momentum is still important for teams so Toronto can’t look ahead to visiting the Chicago Bulls as they look to get some wins under the belt.

Toronto haven’t played that well on the Defensive side of the court in recent games, and they continue to miss DeMarre Carroll who was brought in during the off-season to strengthen that side of things. However they have been better on the road, which can be surprising to hear, and I can see them recover here in Milwaukee.

You have to notice that Milwaukee have struggled with the better teams in the NBA while Toronto are 4-1 against the spread in road games facing teams with losing records. Milwaukee do have a winning record this season against the spread when set as a small underdog at home, but I like Toronto to cover thanks to previous success over the Bucks.

Handicap Betting Pick: Toronto Raptors -2.5 Points at 1.87 with Matchbook

 

Boston Celtics at Detroit Pistons

There isn’t much separating the Detroit Pistons and the Boston Celtics in the Eastern Conference and this could be a very good game on Saturday. Both teams have decent winning records, but I think the Detroit Pistons can continue a run of dominance over the Celtics at home, although there is no doubting it will be very close.

I am not reading too much into Detroit’s last loss against the Atlanta Hawks which came in a back to back spot. The Pistons have shown they are more than capable of hanging with some top teams and they should be well-rested while also having a few days to prepare for their next game.

On the other hand Boston are hosting the disliked New York Knicks at home on Sunday and a quick stop in Detroit before heading over the day after Christmas doesn’t look the best spot. The Pistons have shown some better Defensive form at home and I also like the fact they are 4-0 against the spread when favoured by three points or fewer at home.

Detroit are also 6-2 against the spread in their last eight home games against the Boston Celtics and I like them to cover this number in a tight game.

Handicap Betting Pick: Detroit Pistons -1 Point at 2.04 with Matchbook

 

Philadelphia 76ers at Phoenix Suns

No one really wants anything to do with the Philadelphia 76ers at the moment and you will continue to get double digit spreads on them as the underdog. I am just not convinced the Phoenix Suns should be asked to cover as big a number with the way they have been playing of late as well as trying to get through some personal problems.

There was some friction between the organisation and Markieff Morris in the off-season after Phoenix traded away his twin brother Marcus. That has only been exasperated since Markieff’s request to leave was ignored and it came to a head when he threw a towel at his Head Coach so he is suspended for this game.

It won’t be easy for the Suns to focus on this game with the Cleveland Cavaliers their next visitors on Monday, especially out of a Christmas break. The Suns have lost five of their last six overall and they are just 3-5 against the spread when facing teams with losing records at home which would concern me too.

Philadelphia might not win on the road, but they have covered more often than not when facing the weaker teams in the NBA. The 76ers should have enough to cover if they can take advantage of some of the poisonous atmosphere developing in the Phoenix Suns dressing room and that is what I will back.

Handicap Betting Pick: Philadelphia 76ers +12 Points at 1.94 with Matchbook

Prices correct at time of writing

By @DavAulak.

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