Atletico Madrid v Bayern Munich – Vicente Calderón at 19:45 live on BT Sport Extra 3
After losing both my Asian Handicap picks in the last minute of 2 separate games last weekend, I am hoping to get back to winning ways on Wednesday as Atletico take on Bayern Munich in the Champions League.
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Bayern Munich will have their work cut out at the Vicente Calderon as Atletico are a tough side to beat. The Germans suffered a 1-0 defeat on Spanish soil last year in this competition and Atleti will be looking to continue their outstanding home record.
Atleti haven’t been beaten at home in the Champions League for almost a year and have kept 5 consecutive Champions League clean sheets in the process. At the Vicente Calderon, Atletico are a formidable side and they’ve kept 19 clean sheets in their last 24 home games across all competitions.
Diego Simeone’s side started off their Champions League campaign with a 1-0 win away to PSV Eindhoven, although they weren’t at their best.
Atleti are currently 3rd in La Liga, just 2 points off league leaders Real Madrid and are yet to suffer a domestic defeat this campaign.
Antoine Griezmann provides the biggest threat upfront and has started off the season well, scoring 5 goals in 5 league games.
The German champions have also started off the season on flying form!
Sitting 3 points clear at the top of the Bundesliga table, Bayern have won every league match, whilst scoring 15 goals in the process. Carlo Ancelotti’s men have also only conceded 1 league goal (vs. Ingolstadt) and so defensively, the Germans remain solid.
In their first Champions League group game Bayern Munich thrashed Rostov 5-0, with Lewandowski, Kimmich (x2), Muller and Bernat all featuring on the score-sheet.
Last weekend Bayern secured a late 1-0 win away to Hamburg, courtesy of an 88th minute goal scored by Josh Kimmich. Kimmich has already scored 5 goals across all competitions so far this season and the 21 year-old is proving to be an important player amongst this talented German squad.
Mats Hummels limped off the field at Hamburg after picking up a knee injury, although it turns out that it’s not as bad as it first appeared and he could even make the starting 11 to face Atletico.
Robert Lewandowski remains Bayern Munich’s biggest threat, although they are more than capable of finding the net from all across the pitch.
I am expecting Atletico to set up rather defensively against Bayern, just as they did in the same Champions League fixture last campaign. On that occasion it paid off, as Atleti secured a 1-0 win, with Saul Niguez scoring a nice individual goal. Both sides look defensively sound at present and so this is certainly going to be a close one to call! A draw looks like it could be on the cards, but in the current goal scoring form Bayern are in, I think Ancelotti’s side could get the win and therefore I recommend backing Bayern draw no bet.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Bayern Munich +/-0 (Draw No Bet) at 1.81 with Pinnacle
Prices correct at time of writing.