Roger Federer v David Goffin
A run to the Semi Final in Stuttgart might be seen as a disappointment for Roger Federer who made his return to the Tour last week. On the grass he will expect to win any tournament he enters and Federer is back in another Quarter Final this week although there is room for improvement.
[expand title=”Read More…” swaptitle=”Hide” trigpos=”below” rel=”star-highlander” ]
The biggest weakness since Federer returned to the Tour has been his return game which has not been as effective as the former World Number 1 would have been looking for. Some of that is down to the level his opponents have produced on a usually fast surface, but Federer won’t have that excuse in this one.
As much as I respect David Goffin as a player, he doesn’t have the serve that will blow his opponents off the court. That serve should allow Federer to build his rhythm on the return and try to add to his four wins against Goffin in the past, especially if the latter is not upping the level from his first two wins.
Goffin is a decent grass court player as he showed by pushing Stan Wawrinka all the way in a three set loss at Wimbledon last year. The Belgian also reached the Final in Hertogenbosch last season, but Federer is a really bad match up for Goffin and I do think the 17 time Grand Slam Champion comes through with a 75, 63 win.
HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Roger Federer -4.5 Games @ 1.88 with Pinnacle
Dominic Thiem v Philipp Kohlschreiber
On Monday, Dominic Thiem and Philipp Kohlschreiber completed their Stuttgart Final which had been delayed by the rain. On Friday they will meet in the Halle Quarter Final and I am looking for Thiem to frank his win over Kohlschreiber with another one on Friday.
There wasn’t a lot between the players in the Stuttgart Final, but I am a big fan of Thiem and I think the younger player can handle all the tennis he has been playing better than Kohlschreiber. It has to be said that the veteran has played well so far this week having come so close to winning the title in Stuttgart, but he had to dig deeper to beat Ivo Karlovic after being pushed into a third set.
It will be another close match with little between these players- Thiem will be looking to dominate behind first serve again and also use his superior movement around the court to perhaps make a big difference.
This will potentially go three sets again, but I expect Thiem to take more of the chances than he did in Stuttgart and will look for the Austrian to keep his good run of form going.
HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Dominic Thiem -1.5 Games @ 2.16 with 888 Sport
Andreas Seppi v Florian Mayer
Two veterans of the ATP Tour meet in the Quarter Final here in what has otherwise been difficult seasons for them. For both Andreas Seppi and Florian Mayer this has to be seen as a big opportunity to get into an ATP Tour Semi Final as well as picking up vital World Ranking points that will come with that.
Both players have gotten past one of the Seeded players this week although in different ways- Seppi beat David Ferrer while Mayer was given a walkover by Kei Nishikori, but those results have opened up the draw.
There will be some eye catching rallies in this one with Mayer using a lot of variation in his play to extract errors from Seppi, while I think the German has the stronger first serve. On the other hand I can’t ignore the fact that Seppi has dominated the head to head between these players and is a very decent grass court player.
I am expecting some slicing and dicing from Seppi to try and match what Mayer is bringing to the table and I think the Italian will be able to record yet another win over him. It might go three sets, but I like Seppi winning this one 46, 63, 64.
HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Andreas Seppi -2.5 Games @ 1.94 with Eastbridge Sports Betting Brokerage
Prices correct at time of writing.