John Isner v Kyle Edmund
He might have struggled for an impact at the Grand Slam level in his early career, but Kyle Edmund has to be enjoying his first appearance in the main draw of the US Open. For the first time in his career Edmund has made it through to the Third Round of a Slam although I am yet to be truly convinced he is ready for a big breakthrough having been the beneficiary of a decent draw.
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For the second time in two weeks, Richard Gasquet could not stand the heat in North America in the First Round, while Edmund’s win over Ernesto Escobedo in the Second Round was as a big favourite. In the Third Round he faces the Number 1 American player in John Isner and this is the biggest test Edmund will have faced in the tournament to this point.
I am of the belief that Isner might have peaked in his career now, but he remains the best hope the home fans of seeing a male player win the US Open at this moment in time. The booming serve will always make Isner a danger, but his biggest problem has been getting dragged into long matches early on in Grand Slams which saps the energy from the legs.
The concern for Isner has to be the blisters and knee issue that needed treatment in the Second Round, but his serve will always give him a chance even when not at 100%. I do think the key in this match is Isner taking the chances that will come his way as Edmund is still able to throw in a sloppy game or two behind the serve.
It was only Escobedo’s poor 1/8 conversion on break points that allowed Edmund to control the match and there are still times when the groundstrokes are too short which will allow Isner to dictate rallies and attack the net. They met at the French Open when a break in each set was enough for Isner to win in straights and I think he will be able to do something similar in this Third Round as I look for the big man to get through with a 76, 64, 64 win.
Tennis Handicap Betting Pick: John Isner – 3.5 Games at 2.02 with Easbridge Sports Betting Broker
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga v Kevin Anderson
This is the scene of Kevin Anderson’s best performance at a Grand Slam event having reached the Quarter Final in 2015, but he has been struggling for consistency in 2016. The South African has recorded at least 30 wins on the Tour in each of the last five seasons culminating in a career best 46 last year, but Anderson only has 12 in 2016 which includes the two wins here so far this week.
Malek Jaziri, Reilly Opelka and Jiri Vesely have all gotten the better of Anderson in the summer on the hard courts and I am struggling to see how he can turn his form to beat Jo-Wilfried Tsonga in this Third Round encounter.
This has hardly been a great summer for Tsonga either, and he did make hard work of James Duckworth in the last Round. However he has a big serve and I think he is the superior player in this one when it does get into the rallies while Tsonga can shorten points by attacking the net and looking to put away volleys.
Tsonga has won the two previous matches between these players and this could be the Frenchman’s best season since 2013 in terms of wins on the main Tour. I think he is in a better place mentally than Anderson and I can see Tsonga winning a key tie-breaker or two which helps him come through in three or four sets in this Third Round encounter.
Tennis Handicap Betting Pick: Jo-Wilfried Tsonga – 1.5 Sets at 1.89 with Unibet
Prices correct at time of writing.