Juan Martin Del Potro v David Ferrer
If you wanted to see if David Ferrer has slipped from the heights of his career, just watch his Second Round win over Fabio Fognini. Mistakes that you would not be accustomed to seeing from the Spaniard were flowing in the middle of the match and I think the consistency levels that took him to the Semi Finals of every Grand Slam is no longer something he can rely upon.
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The serve has always been the weakest shot, but Ferrer’s consistency meant it was still difficult to break him down in rallies. With that consistency on the wane, break points are coming at a far more frequent rate and someone like Juan Martin Del Potro has every chance of blowing past what looks a difficult match in name alone.
The layers haven’t backed away from Del Potro either as he is being asked to cover quite a few games, but the Argentinian is serving well and is hitting the forehand as big as you like. Even the backhand wing has been protected and Del Potro is hitting over the ball a little more on that side, although the power he used to possess from that wing is not at the level of when he won the 2009 US Open.
However, I think it has made Del Potro smarter in the way he wants to construct points, while Ferrer’s own backhand is not a shot that will hurt him consistently. When it comes to the forehand battles, Del Potro is not likely to be beaten by too many players on the Tour and I think he is going to be dictating the way this match goes.
Del Potro’s serve will limit the chances that Ferrer gets, but I can see the ‘Tower of Tandil’ getting into almost every Ferrer service game. That pressure will build and build and eventually I expect Ferrer’s consistency to break down and Del Potro to move on behind a 6-3, 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 win.
HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Juan Martin Del Potro – 5.5 Games @ 1.83 with Bet365
Prices correct at time of writing.