Bangladesh v England, 1st ODI, Sher-e-Bangla at 9:00am live on Sky Sports 2
It came as a surprise to many that England‘s head of security, Reg Dickason, gave the thumbs up for this tour to Bangladesh to go ahead. After a terror attack on a Dhaka café frequented by Westerners in July, the general feeling was England would follow in the path of the Australian board who saw it too much of a risk to send any of their teams to Bangladesh earlier this year.
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Still, the show it seems must go on – thanks to presidential security involving road blocks, armed guards and snipers on roofs – as England arrive for a whistle-stop tour of three ODI’s and two Test matches before departing for India next month.
They will be without their ODI captain Eoin Morgan and star opening batsman Alex Hales, who decided the tour be too risky, ‘disappointing’ chief supremo Andrew Strauss who had previously given his assurances that anyone skipping the tour wouldn’t have it held against them in future.
The hosts have improved greatly over the past twelve months in ODI’s but Mashrafe Mortaza’s side could only scrape past associates Afghanistan 2-1 last week. Meanwhile Jos Buttler leads the visitors in Morgan’s self-imposed absence. How England cope with being cooped up in their hotel rooms might be just as important as dealing with the slow, low pitches likely to be served up.
There is a always a chance of thunderstorms curtailing a days cricket in hot and humid Dhaka and Friday’s day-nighter will be no different. There is a 25% chance of rain getting in the way of a complete game, with humidity up in the 80% region and temperatures peaking at 33c.
The Shere Bangla National stadium is one of the most used venues in international cricket. Here is a list of the last ten scores made by sides batting first in ODI cricket –
279, 208, 265, 276, 241, 273, 162, 160, 317, 200 – Average 238
First Innings Runs
Here is a list of Bangladesh’s last nine scores when batting first in ODI’s –
279, 208, 265, 276, 241, 273, 160, 307, 329 – Average 259
And here are England‘s scores when batting first in the their last nine –
302, 444, 324, 309, 236, 262, 318, 399, 355 – Average 327
Kayes (below) looks likely to open up with the experienced dasher Tamim Iqbal. Tamim has played 156 matches for Bangladesh in this format and registered his 7th ODI ton against Afghanistan. Sabbir Rahman might keep his place thanks to a 65 in the final match of that series whilst runs from former captains Shakib-al-Hasan and Mushfiqur Rahim will be crucial to the hosts chances. Shakib has a batting average of 35 and a bowling average of 27 in over 150 ODI’s. Finisher Mahmudullah has a remarkable 30 not outs in 111 innings in 50-over cricket, registering 2 centuries and 15 fifties in the process. Taskin Ahmed led the wicket taking charts versus the Afghans, striking 7 times with his slippery right arm seamers. Captain Mortaza had an economy rate of 3.38 in that series whilst slow-left arm spin from Mosharraf Hossain might get another outing having taken 3/24 last time out.
With no Ales Hales it looks like James Vince might get a further opportunity after a poor summer that saw him dropped from England‘s ODI series win against Pakistan. Jason Roy is suddenly classed as a senior batsman – his record in this form is excellent however – averaging 39 with an eye catching career SR of 104. Duckett (below) will likely bat 3 in absence of the rested Joe Root whilst Jonny Bairstow batted four in the warm-up game. Ben Stokes still has question marks about his batting in this part of the world and can be a bit hit or block. A career batting average of 25 and bowling average of 37 in ODI’s could do with improving pretty soon. Stand-in skipper Jos Buttler is a class act and looked to be in fine fettle in the warm-up match where he led England to their target of 310 after being in trouble at 170-5. His partner in crime was Moeen Ali who hit 70 off just 51 balls. Fellow spinner Adil Rashid was criticised for opting out of Yorkshire’s final county championship match and his figures of 10-0-76-1 were hardly encouraging in Fatullah. The seam attack is likely to be led by David Willey and Chris Woakes – the later took 9 wickets in 4 matches against Sri Lanka last month.
Ones to Watch
Imrul Kayes only played one of three matches against Afghanistan recently but returned to form with a majestic 91 ball 121 in Tuesday’s warm-up match. With 12 fifties and just one century to his name in a 59 match ODI career, Kayes will be hoping to convert some of these starts into big, match winning contributions for Bangladesh.
Few batsman in recent times have excited more pre-England honours than Northants’ Ben Duckett. A few days shy of his 22nd birthday, the talented left hander looks likely to bat three for the tourists in this ODI series. A brilliant list A career to date which has seen him plunder 1,370 in 29 innings at an average above 54 – he could be the man to take advantage of Morgan sitting out this controversial tour.
If Bangladesh bat first I recommend backing any UNDER RUNS around the 255-260 mark.
If England bat first I recommend backing any UNDER RUNS around the 305-310 mark.
Top Batsman Market
Mushfiqur Rahim looks to be coming back to form and averages 37 against England in ODI’s. He is 6.0 to top score for Bangladesh here.
Moeen Ali looks way too big at 13.0 given his knock in the warm-up game. Sure he may bat down the order, but with question marks over an inexperienced England top order, he looks the value here.
Prices correct at time of writing.