Atalanta v Roma Asian Handicap Betting Preview – Sunday 20th November By @J_RKeith

Atalanta v Roma – Atleti Azzurri d’Italia at 14:00 live on BT Sport 3

Serie A is back for another week, and I have to say my last Asian Handicap betting recommendation didn’t go too well (Inter Milan, what more could you say?!), but I am now feeling confident about this one as Atalanta host AS Roma on Sunday afternoon.

Let’s start by saying the last time these two side met in Bergamo, the match finished 3-3; Francesco Totti scoring in the 86th minute to rescue a point for the visitors. So from that, I am hoping we are in for another goal fest on Sunday! But you never know with Italian football.

Atalanta

Heading into this match and both teams are doing really well. Atalanta are sitting fifth in Serie A and has won four games on the bounce conceding only one goal in their last six games. Gian Piero Gasperini’s last fixture ending in a 3-0 win at home to Sassuolo; the visitors setting up in the popular 3-4-3 formation.

However, I look at this Atalanta side and I cannot see where their quality lies. To me, it looks like a Leicester City team of the previous season; all ready to work hard for one another. I mean, if you were to ask me what players I recognise…Alberto Paloschi…that’s it, and he can’t even get a game!

A player I am looking forward to seeing though is Ivorian Franck Kessie. The 19-year-old has played ten times for La Dea and scored four goals, as the centre-midfield could make a real difference on the weekend.
On the other hand, four defenders sit out injured for the hosts, while Andrea Conti (a right back) is suspended too, so defensively they may not be as sharp.

One thing to consider is that Atalanta sit unbeaten in their last eight matches, and the last time these suffered defeat was when they fielded a 4-2-3-1 formation. Now since they have evolved into this 3-4-3 it is looking to suit the team and manager, and I bet fans are not that upset either. Performing above expectations.

 

Asian Handicap Betting

Mohamed Salah

Roma

With Roma, I have that sense that this will be another “just missed out on the season” campaign for the title challengers. They have never been able to keep up their push for a Serie A Championship since the days of Rudi Garcia as manager, and this season I don’t see it being any different.
At the moment, Luciano Spalletti’s team remain unbeaten in their last nine games in all competitions and their last five in the Italian league. Roma’s last match finishing in a 3-0 victory at home to Bologna; Mohamed Salah bagging a hat-trick at the Stadio Olimpico.

They have no problem scoring goals either, having netted 13 in their last five matches, but a big miss for them in the summer was seeing the back of Miralem Pjanic as he went to join Italian Champions Juventus. Still, onwards and upwards. They still have quality in the likes of Kevin Strootman and underrated Belgian midfielder Radja Nainggolan.

One thing that Spalletti has done is stick to the 4-2-3-1 formation with plenty of attacking threat coming from the wings. May that be either through Salah, Diego Perotti or Stephan El Shaarawy, while the main outlet of Edin Dzeko is always a threat as he has been a striker I always thought could walk into any top European team.

One concern is that six players sit out injured, and this includes Roma legend Totti with a hip injury as the 39-year-old has no expected return date.

Conclusion

The defensive issues for Atalanta worry me because I wonder how Gasperini will set up with most of his full-backs out for this encounter. Yet, they look solid heading into this match-up. Roma, meanwhile, have always been a side I enjoy watching, but at times they just have off days and don’t perform the way you expect them too.

Overall, the price on Roma at -0.5 is one that I cannot turn down. They have the quality to perform and if they want to be seen a real title contenders now is the time to step up!

 

Asian Handicap betting recommendation: Roma -0.5 at 2.06 with Pinnacle 

 

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @J_RKeith.

 

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Athletic Bilbao v Villarreal Asian Handicap Betting Preview – Sunday 20th November by @J_RKeith

Athletic Bilbao v Villarreal – San Mames Stadium at 19:45 live on Sky Sports 5

Well, it’s been a while since I done my last Asian Handicap Betting pick for a La Liga encounter, and this time around it will be a thriller of a match as Athletic Bilbao host Villarreal on Sunday evening at the San Mames Stadium.

Athletic Bilbao

The hosts have a solid record at home remaining six games unbeaten in all competitions, while sitting seventh in La Liga, but from their last five they have only won one. Ernesto Valverde’s last match finishing in a bore draw away to Espanyol, I mean 0-0 may have been not the most thrilling result, but an important point to say the least.

Like Villarreal, Bilbao are playing in the Europa League and it would be safe to say it hasn’t been easy. Los Leones sits second in their group and remain one point off top spot and off the bottom of the table. How tight is that?!

Yet, one player I am looking forward to seeing on the weekend will be striker Aritz Aduriz. The Spanish attacker has been in sensational form considering he is reaching the near end of his career; netting five goals in nine games so far this season, as well as scoring 20 last campaign and going to Euro 2016 with Spain. He is a classic fox in the box having scored two goals against Villarreal last season in four games.

One concern is that four players sit out injured for the home side, while defender Mikel Balenziaga is suspended for this clash on the weekend. Valverde also likes to stick with the 4-2-3-1 formation, so expect no surprises there on Sunday.

 

Asian Handicap Betting

Aritz Aduriz

Villarreal

Villarreal fans will be beaming at the moment considering they sit third in La Liga and only five points off the top spot. Right about now it’s just about keeping up the pressure and not letting this slip from their grasps. Fran Escriba will be hoping for better from his team though considering they have only won two of their last five matches in all competitions.
The visitors’ last match ending in a 2-0 win at home to Real Betis; Roberto Soriano scoring the second to secure the win and continue their good home form.

However, a massive concern for the away side has been their form on the road. The Yellow Submarine has not won a match from their last five away fixtures in all competitions, and have only won two so far this season. So this is a big problem for Escriba at the moment.

But you look at their squad, especially strike-force, and you wonder how? It is a similar squad to the ones who made the Europa League semi-finals last year with Cedric Bakambu, but on top of this they have added Alexandre Pato the team as well as midfielder Soriano who is already paying back the chunk in his transfer fee hitting up an average rating of 7.04.

Strangely it seems Villarreal like to set-up with a flat 4-4-2, which seems to be a dying art in the modern game. But I just wonder whether they will get overrun in the midfield as only three players sit out injured including striker Roberto Soldado.

 

Conclusion

The last time these two sides met in Basque Country the game finished 0-0, and before that Bilbao won 1-0 away from home. In fact, Villarreal has not won in Bilbao since 2011; losing three of their last five meetings. So it really doesn’t help their cause considering their away form this season has been below average.

This is a difficult one to call. I can honestly see it ending in a draw because both teams will be tight at the back wanting to keep up their good run. Especially with where they are sitting in the table. Yet, I can see Athletic pipping in and grabbing a result, especially with Aduriz up top. But my instinct is telling me to back unders!

 

Asian Handicap Betting recommendation: Under 2.25 goals @ 1.87 with Eastbridge Sports Betting Brokerage

 

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @J_RKeith.

 

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Southampton v Liverpool Asian Handicap Betting Preview – Saturday 19th November By @J_RKeith

Southampton v Liverpool – St. Mary’s Stadium at 15:00

The Premier League is back, and after claiming 2/3 wins in my UFC 205 betting preview I am hoping to claim a win in my latest Asian Handicap betting recommendation as Southampton host Liverpool on Saturday at St. Mary’s.

Southampton

So far this campaign it has been hit and miss for the Saints, sitting tenth in the Premier League they have only won one of their last five matches. Furthermore, just before the international break Claude Puel’s team lost 2-1 to Hull City after holding a 1-0 lead away from home.
Their home form is a positive, on the other hand, considering they have only lost one game at St. Mary’s this season, and two of their last 15. Obviously home form is important, but then again if they want to be competing in Europe for another season they will need to improve on the road.

But again, I don’t think it is okay to state Europe is taking it’s toll mainly because Southampton are sitting top of their group and these are professional footballers. This is what their career is all about.

Yet, one concern I have is that Shane Long hasn’t been the same player from last season. Yes, injuries have been a problem, but considering he netted ten goals last campaign, he hasn’t been the same willing runner the Saints’ fans are used to seeing.
Furthermore seven players are out injured for the home side, and I look at their squad and wonder where their goals will come from? Yes they have Charlie Austin, but two of his five goals have come from the spot-kick. For me, I just think they lack that finishing touch.

 

Asian Handicap Betting

Sadio Mane, Coutinho & Roberto Firmino

Liverpool

What can you say about Liverpool? They are absolutely flying and have been scoring goals for fun in recently. I watched their recent match against Watford and I felt sorry for the Hornets; mainly because it was just attack after attack at the Kop. In the end, Liverpool won the game 6-1.

The Reds have only lost one game so far this season, and since that defeat in the second week Klopp has seemed stricter with the squad, but at the same time congratulate their success. I am looking forward to how he sets up at St. Mary’s against a squad with a solid home record.

There looks to be no real injury crisis for Liverpool, as only Danny Ings remains out, while Adam Lallana is still 50/50 on his return. However, I am looking forward to seeing the front three of Roberto Firmino, Coutinho and Sadio Mane put in a display on Saturday; scoring 16 goals between the three of them so far this campaign.

On top of this, Liverpool are not competing in Europe so they won’t have any said “distractions”. I also enjoy their 4-3-3 formation as the front three have a great chemistry, and change to a 4-2-4 when attacking which is difficult to defend against.

 

Conclusion

The last time these two sides met at St. Mary’s, Southampton walked away with a 3-2 win as Sadio Mane grabbed a brace (how they need him now). But overall, Liverpool has won three of their last five visits to the South of England. Yet, at St. Marys, it stands at 6-4 to the home team in their last ten meetings.

I really cannot look past Liverpool for this one. The international break went well for most of the players and I believe Klopp will expect more of the same this coming weekend. With Southampton, injuries are a massive problem and I just think the quality isn’t there to prevent Liverpool scoring against them.

Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Liverpool -0.50 at 2.14 with Pinnacle 

 

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @J_RKeith.

 

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