WTA Wuhan Tennis Handicap Betting Previews – Tuesday 27th September by @DavAulak

Caroline Wozniacki v Katerina Siniakova

It isn’t that long ago since Caroline Wozniacki was rumoured to be thinking about retirement as the World Ranking plummeted. A strong showing at the US Open was unexpected, but Wozniacki has backed that up by winning the title in Tokyo last week and a strong run this week would see her back into the top 20 in the Rankings.

A solid win over Samantha Stosur in the First Round has kept the positive run going, but this is going to be a test for Wozniacki when she takes on Katerina Siniakova who has won three matches here in Wuhan already. Siniakova also reached the Final in Osaka since the US Open before falling short.

However it has been a memorable season for Siniakova already in 2016 and she has some under-rated power off the ground that might surprise Wozniacki at times. I think the key to this match will be the fact that Wozniacki can get enough balls back in play which will frustrate a young player that perhaps isn’t used to having to hit so close to the lines as often as Wozniacki will force her to.

That will lead to errors and Wozniacki is playing a little more aggressive which should see her get into a position where she can keep the winning run going behind a 64, 63 success.

Tennis Handicap Betting Pick: Caroline Wozniacki -4.5 Games @ 1.83 with Bet365

 

Johanna Konta v Shuai Zhang

I would love to see Johanna Konta finish in the top 10 of the World Rankings to end 2016, but I am sure the British player has bigger aims and that is playing in the End of Year Championships. Both will only be achieved with some big runs over the next month and this tournament in Wuhan is providing plenty of Ranking points for her to pick up the rest of the week.

Konta hasn’t played a lot of tennis since the US Open and her win over Annika Beck in the First Round is the only competitive match she has had since a surprising loss in the Fourth Round at Flushing Meadows. That is in complete contrast to Shuai Zhang who has reached two Semi Finals in back to back weeks before coming from a set down to beat Shuai Peng on Monday.

If Zhang is serving well, she can be a real threat on the tennis court as the rest of her game seems to pick up confidence from that shot. However she is going to have some issues dealing with Konta who is fairly solid off both wings and has a very good serve of her own which sets up plenty of cheap points.

When they played at the Australian Open, Zhang’s run of wins got the better of her physically, but I do think Konta is the better player. I think Zhang can fall away mentally when things start getting a little challenging on the court while Konta is a much more emotionally secure player these days and I think she moves through 64, 63 in this one.

Tennis Handicap Betting Pick: Johanna Konta -4.5 Games @ 1.91 with 188bet

 

WTA Tennis Handicap Betting Preview - Wuhan 2709

Johanna Konta

Garbine Muguruza v Jelena Jankovic

Winning the French Open was a huge achievement for Garbine Muguruza and will always make 2016 a memorable year for her personally. However I am looking at the cold hard results and this looks set to be the fewest number of wins on the Tour for her in a single season since 2013.

Muguruza is just 26-15 on the season and has won at least 35 matches on the Tour in each of the last two seasons. The Spaniard may still reach that mark with some good performances, but she is just 8-6 since winning the French Open as Muguruza has struggled mentally with the tag of being a Grand Slam Champion.

Even with that in mind, I do think Muguruza is going to have too much for Jelena Jankovic who I consider to be on a downward trend in her own career. The recent form shows Jankovic reached the Final in Guangzhou last week and has already won a match here, but she has struggled in 2016 for consistency and this looks set to be the fewest number of wins she has had on the Tour since 2003.

The movement is not as strong as it once was and in turn Jankovic has taken some pretty heavy losses on the Singles Tour this season. Her serve can still be decent on its day, but Muguruza brings the power to the court and the conditions must suit having reached the Final here last year. I am anticipating a similar score to the one these players had when they played in the Fed Cup and that is Muguruza winning 63, 64 to move into the next Round.

Tennis Handicap Betting Pick: Garbine Muguruza -4.5 Games @ 2.18 with Eastbridge Sports Betting Brokerage

 

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @DavAulak.

 

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WTA Wuhan Tennis Handicap Betting Previews – Monday 26th September by @DavAulak

Caroline Garcia v Mirjana Lucic-Baroni

There hasn’t been much sign of either of these players since the US Open so you can’t really point to too much recent form for either. Outside of the US Open performance, there hasn’t been too much for either Caroline Garcia or Mirjana Lucic-Baroni to shout about as they begin their Asian swing on the Tour.

It is Garcia who has dominated the head to head thanks to an ability to get more out of the first serve than Lucic-Baroni and that might be a difference maker again in this one. It is the Frenchwoman who has won all four previous matches between the players and the majority of those matches has seen her win a significantly higher percentage of first serve points than Lucic-Baroni.

I am still waiting for Garcia to show the consistency that will see her get closer to fulfilling the potential that so many believe she has. When you watch Garcia play you see all of the tools to become a threat to win any tournament she enters, but she can sometimes wander away mentally which sees her opponents get back into matches.

If she does that here, she will be beaten by Lucic-Baroni, but I think the match up works well for Garcia. She should have the edge in power off the ground and also from behind the first serve which should see Garcia edge past Lucic-Baroni in two tough sets as she moves into the Second Round with a 75, 64 win.

Tennis Handicap Betting Pick: Caroline Garcia – 3.5 Games at 1.95 with Eastbridge

Tennis Handicap Betting

Caroline Garcia

Lucie Safarova v Karolina Pliskova

There are a couple of Second Round matches to be played on Monday and one of those is between two compatriots from the Czech Republic. It isn’t that long ago that Lucie Safarova would be coming into a match with Karolina Pliskova as the favourite to win, but that isn’t the case in Wuhan and hasn’t been the case in their last three matches.

However all of those matches have been competitive and it is Safarova who won the most recent one in Prague in the build up to the French Open. The Pliskova run to the Final at the US Open might have boosted her confidence levels, but backing up big performances in Grand Slam events can be hard for those having those experiences for the first time.

Unsurprisingly Pliskova was beaten in her first match since reaching the US Open Final, but she has a big serve and can cause problems when that shot is working alone. The hard courts in Asia tend to be a little slower than the North American ones that these players have been playing on, and I do think the slower court might give Safarova the edge in the match.

She too has a very good serve which can provide cheap points when on her game, but I think the slower courts will also take something away from Pliskova who likes to play a lot of short rallies. I am expecting this match to be very close and this looks like too many games for Safarova to be getting in this one.

Tennis Handicap Betting Pick: Lucie Safarova + 3.5 Games at 1.89 with Pinnacle

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @DavAulak.

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WTA US Open Final Tennis Handicap Betting Preview – Saturday 10th Sept By @DavAulak

We’re coming to the end of the US Open. But that has not stopped @DavAulak giving us his Tennis Handicap Betting Recommendation in the WTA US Open Final.

Angelique Kerber v Karolina Pliskova

Here’s what I had written about Karolina Pliskova on the first day of the tournament that I have extracted here:

“The likes of Sam Stosur (2011) and Flavia Pennetta (2015) have won titles at Flushing Meadows. Doubt they many backers when they did. The three years in between have been dominated by Serena Williams. Yet, this is a tournament that can see a surprise winner and the big prices that perhaps appeal the most are Petra Kvitova and Karolina Pliskova who have had solid summers.

I don’t think either player can be massively trusted. If they can build some steam up in the tournament and Serena Williams is shocked in the First Round, you never know. Pliskova has a terrible Grand Slam record, but I have a feeling she is the kind of player who will suddenly put seven wins together and her tournament success in Cincinnati has to be respected.”

Now, I don’t know about you. I think the last two weeks have basically backed up my feelings about her pre-tournament. However, I am not sure she will go on and win the seventh match I had suggested. The success in Cincinnati included a win over Angelique Kerber in the Final when she dropped just four games, and Pliskova has been serving well enough to think she can beat any player on the WTA Tour.

 

Tennis Handicap Betting

Angelique Kerber

So far she has handled the nerves so impressively that Pliskova has to be respected in this Final, but I am not sure if she will eventually betray her feelings. The win over Serena Williams was very impressive, but the former World Number 1 might not have been at 100% and the Pliskova serve is likely to be tested by the ability the eventual new World Number One.

While the manner of her defeat to Pliskova will play a part in this one. I think Kerber was coming in much more physically affected after three long weeks on the Tour. Kerber has not dropped a set in the tournament and that should mean she is going to be able to run as much as she needs to as she tries to break down the Pliskova serve.

There is a clear edge for Pliskova from the serve, yet Kerber is the better player when the rallies are extended. She has the experience edge thanks to her two previous GS Finals in 2016. I think that is going to be important for her. At some point Pliskova is going to realise the situation she is in. However, I think at that point things will begin to get tight for her.

Matches between these players have been competitive. I am looking for Kerber to underline her position as the new World Number One. Looking at a 7-5, 4-6, 6-3 win.

 

 HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Angelique Kerber – 2.5 Games @ 1.95 with Eastbridge Sports Betting Brokerage

 

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @DavAulak.

 

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