Men’s Olympic Tennis Handicap Betting Preview – Saturday 13th Aug by @DavAulak

Rafael Nadal v Juan Martin Del Potro

Both men’s Semi Finals at the Olympic Games look like they will be very enjoyable to watch, but I think I might be looking forward to the second one more than the first. The first Semi Final might involve two top ten players, but the recoveries of Rafael Nadal and Juan Martin Del Potro from injuries to reach this Semi Final has to be admired.

I am not sure what either player expected from the Olympic Games, but Nadal has already won a Gold Medal having done that in the men’s Doubles on Friday.

 

Rafael Nadal

Rafael Nadal

The key battle in this Semi Final is going to be the Nadal forehand going into the Del Potro backhand and how much the Argentinian can get out of that shot. His forehand has been firing but Del Potro is still not completely happy with his backhand, after wrist issues and that means employing a lot of slices which will give the Spaniard a chance to dictate those rallies where he can attack the backhand as soon as possible.

The edge in serving has to go to Del Potro, but I do think Nadal will make enough balls back in play to force his opponent to dig in to win points. I can’t see this being anything other than a tight match between two players who have played competitive matches through their careers against each other and it was Del Potro who won their last match back in Shanghai in 2013.

That is a long time between matches and I think Nadal might have the slight edge on this court. It will be tight, but I think the Spaniard will have a chance of earning a second Gold Medal at this Olympic Games by winning this one in three competitive sets.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Rafael Nadal – 1.5 Games @ 1.88 with 188BET

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @DavAulak.

 

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Women’s Olympic Tennis Handicap Betting Preview – Saturday 13th Aug by @DavAulak

Petra Kvitova v Madison Keys

Both Madison Keys and Petra Kvitova had tough Semi Final losses, but the Olympic Games presents them with a chance to at least play for a Bronze Medal, rather than going home as is the norm on the Tour. Both will have suffered mentally through the night, as they would have been thinking about the chances they let slip in their Semi Final losses.

It was Kvitova going into the third set with the momentum behind her in her defeat to Monica Puig, but too many mistakes in that final set allowed her opponent to get through. On the other hand, Madison Keys had many break point chances through her match with Angelique Kerber, but ultimately failed to break from the ten chances created and I do think she might be suffering slightly more, having had less time to prepare for the Bronze Medal match.

There should be plenty of firepower on display as both players will look to a big serve and heavy forehand to set up their play and I think it will be a tight match. Previous meetings haven’t suggested that, with three of the four matches ending in straight sets, but I think there is plenty on the line which might produce nervous moments.

Keys has been in the better form so I am not surprised that she is favoured to win, but the underdog has won the previous three matches between these players. She won their match this season in straight sets, but I think she might have had the more difficult loss of the two yesterday. I wouldn’t be surprised if we see three sets in this one, but I am going to take the games being given to Kvitova and will be looking for a performance without the host of unforced errors she made on Friday.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Petra Kvitova + 2.5 Games @ 1.88 with 888Sport

 

Madison Keys

Madison Keys

Angelique Kerber v Monica Puig

It was an impressive win from under the cosh for Monica Puig in the Semi Final, which guarantees her a Silver Medal at the Olympic Games. This is going to be a big challenge for her though as she faces Angelique Kerber, who has the confidence of two Grand Slam Finals and one Grand Slam title win behind her.

It is also a different style of match for Monica Puig than what she has faced so far this week, as she faces the best mover she has seen so far. This is a player that will use the power Puig produces and make her play an extra ball throughout the match, but Puig cannot rely on the mistakes that Kvitova gifted to her in their Semi Final on Friday.

The Kerber serve won’t produce as many cheap points as the likes of Kvitova and Garbine Muguruza can, but Puig will have to return just as well, as Kerber is likely to get the better of the extended rallies. I do think Kerber’s serve is a little under-rated as she protects it well, especially when getting the first serve in play, which is going to give her a real opportunity in this one.

I also think there were times that Puig looked tired on Friday and Kerber might have a little extra in the tank which can help her add the Gold Medal to the Australian Open title with a 6-4, 6-3 win.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Angelique Kerber – 4.5 Games @ 1.92 with Pinnacle

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @DavAulak.

 

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Men’s Olympic Tennis Handicap Betting Preview – Friday 12th Aug by @DavAulak

Roberto Bautista Agut v Juan Martin Del Potro

This was the one Quarter Final whereby I was really interested to see how the layers priced up, as I thought Roberto Bautista Agut deserved to go in as the favourite. The bigger name is clearly Juan Martin Del Potro who has won the US Open and also had the stand out result in the men’s draw, beating Novak Djokovic in the First Round earlier in the week.

The wins over Joao Sousa and Taro Daniel came with some effort from Del Potro and he now faces a player in Bautista Agut who can be very good defensively and eased past big serving Gilles Muller on Thursday.

 

Roberto Bautista Agut

Roberto Bautista Agut

A key for the Spaniard is going to be getting into rallies with Del Potro, who I am very glad to see producing big results again. The backhand wing still remains an issue for Del Potro and while the forehand is a cannon, getting Del Potro moving on the run to that side will give Bautista Agut a chance of extracting mistakes.

My fear for Bautista Agut is that the serve can be a bit of a let down for him and this isn’t a lot of games to receive, but I do think he is good enough to take a set. In fact I think he is playing well enough that he’ll feel he can win the match outright and even this small number of games can be telling if the Spaniard is playing to the level he can. He has to try and wear the big man down in this one and try not to give too much away, but Bautista Agut can do that and I will take the games being offered to him.

TENNIS HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Roberto Bautista Agut + 2.5 Games @ 1.81 with 188BET

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @DavAulak.

 

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