ATP Wimbledon Tennis Handicap Betting Preview – Sat 2nd July by @DavAulak

Simona Halep v Kiki Bertens

The run that Kiki Bertens had at the French Open has boosted her World Ranking, but might have more importantly boosted her confidence. The Dutchwoman showed she had a very big game in that run to the Semi Final before coming up against Serena Williams and it was no surprise that she decided to bypass any grass events prior to Wimbledon.

It has allowed Bertens to get healthier and her two wins this week have been impressive, although Simona Halep is the biggest test she would have faced so far at Wimbledon. This is already the best run Bertens has had at Wimbledon and she has erased the painful memories of last season when she helped open Centre Court on theTuesday in a hammering at the hands of Petra Kvitova.

Halep also was beaten in the First Round at Wimbledon last year and she has struggled at this Grand Slam notwithstanding one Semi Final run in 2014. Her two wins this week have been fairly comfortable, but Halep will have to make sure she controls the unforced errors if she is going to get the better of Bertens in this tough Third Round clash.

I have little doubt there will be some difficult moments for both players to negotiate, but I do feel the consistency Halep has might help her past Bertens. After some breaks both ways, I think Halep can work her way through to a 64, 64 win.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Simona Halep -3.5 Games at 1.92 with Eastbridge

 

Lucie Safarova v Jana Cepelova

Last year it was Simona Halep and this year it is Garbine Muguruza who has suffered a big upset loss to Jana Cepelova. There is no time for that result to be digested by Cepelova as she is back in Third Round action on Friday and I do wonder if she is going to be able to back up that win over the Number 2 Seed.

Cepelova will be tested to the fullest by Lucie Safarova who has the game for the grass courts as proved by a Semi Final run in 2014. This year has been very difficult for Safarova as she has looked to recover from injury and wins have been hard to come by.

However the lefty serve can be tough for opponents to read and Safarova has some very strong groundstrokes that will give Cepelova things to think about. I also can’t ignore the fact that Cepelova was beaten comfortably enough in her match following the win over Halep last year and she does not have the best record on the grass courts outside of those two memorable wins.

As long as Safarova serves well to keep the pressure on Cepelova, I think the Czech player can succeed where Muguruza failed and wins this match 63, 64.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Lucie Safarova -3.5 Games @ 1.85 with Pinnacle

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @DavAulak.

 

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ATP Wimbledon Tennis Handicap Betting Preview – Fri 1st July by @DavAulak

Nick Kyrgios V Dustin Brown

If you’re looking for some flashy, big serving tennis, you would do well to get over to the court where Nick Kyrgios takes on Dustin Brown in the Second Round on Friday.

Both players have a huge serve, but Brown is more likely to get to the net and influence matters from there, while Kyrgios will look to set up the big groundstrokes off the serve.

There is one other major similarity between the players- both Nick Kyrgios and Dustin Brown have upset Rafael Nadal on Centre Court with their big games in recent seasons.

Most will be expecting Kyrgios to be too good for Brown on the day and anything other than a win for the Australian would surprise me. However, Kyrgios is still not always mentally focused and can get distracted and a player like Brown will do that to you while also being a frustrating opponent when he is serving big and hitting his ridiculous volleys.

Brown has had some big wins at Wimbledon with both Nadal and Lleyton Hewitt, two former Champions here, having been seen off in different years. He isn’t the best returner so a focused day from Kyrgios likely sees him win this in straight sets, but the latter is still not quite consistent enough from a mental aspect and I think this might need four sets to separate the players with tie-breakers likely involved.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Over 3.5 Sets @ 2.37 with Bet365

 

Dustin Brown

Dustin Brown

Stan Wawrinka v Juan Martin Del Potro

There is no doubting that this is the match of the day as Stan Wawrinka and Juan Martin Del Potro meet in the Second Round. Both players are Grand Slam winners and both have had some success on the grass courts in the past and I have to say I am envious of those who have Centre Court tickets for Friday.

I don’t think either player is completely comfortable on the grass either, but both have a game that makes them very dangerous. Big serves, heavy groundstrokes penetrate the grass, although neither Wawrinka or Del Potro have returned as effectively as they would like.

This does make the chances of seeing tie-breakers pretty high which makes my pick a little dangerous on the lottery of a breaker. However I think Wawrinka is the stronger player at this moment in their careers with Del Potro simply happy to be back in Grand Slam action for the first time in eighteen months.

I am a big fan of Del Potro and would love to see him making strides back up the World Rankings, but this is a big task for him to beat someone as confident and strong as Wawrinka. While Del Potro won their last three matches, the last of those came before Wawrinka became a Grand Slam Champion and I think the Swiss player gets this done in three or four sets.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Stan Wawrinka -1.5 Sets @ 2.02 with Eastbridge Sports Betting Brokerage

 

Kei Nishikori v Andrey Kuznetsov

The rib injury that has bothered Kei Nishikori coming into the tournament looks to be pushed to the back of his mind if you saw the way he dealt with Julien Benneteau in the final three sets on Thursday. The physical issues are one of the big obstacles in the way of Nishikori really becoming a threat at the Grand Slam level and having to play on back to back days can be difficult.

He is also playing a dangerous opponent in Andrey Kuznetsov who has a decent first serve and loves to put plenty of power into his groundstrokes. That can see him rattle through games and Kuznetsov has to be respected for the way he handled Gilles Muller in a straight sets win in the Second Round.

When these two met at the French Open, Nishikori was an impressive straight sets winner over Kuznetsov, but he will be challenged in this one. The Nishikori return is very strong and will put his opponent in some very strange places on the court, but I don’t think he can afford to underestimate what Kuznetsov is capable of when he is at top form.

Ultimately I do think the Nishikori return will prove to be a big difference maker in this contest and help the Number 5 Seed come through the match. I would not be surprised if we need a tie-breaker in one of the sets as Kuznetsov rattles off some big games, but I think Nishikori will come through 64, 76, 63.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Kei Nishikori -5.5 Games @ 1.92 with Unibet

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @DavAulak.

 

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WTA Wimbledon Tennis Handicap Betting Preview – Thur 30th June by @DavAulak

Caroline Garcia v Katerina Siniakova

Many have openly tipped Caroline Garcia as being able to go to the very top of the Women’s game, but she has yet to begin to fulfil that potential. There is so much to like about the Garcia game, but I think she should be a lot higher than Number 32 in the World Rankings which highlights some of the inconsistencies that still blight her game.

You would think the grass courts would suit the Frenchwoman with the big first serve Garcia possesses and she is also capable of getting to the net and also dictating from behind the baseline. She did put that all together in winning the title in Mallorca a couple of weeks ago and Garcia had an impressive First Round win which should give her confidence to take into the Second Round.

Katerina Siniakova is outside the top 100 in the World Rankings and she hasn’t spent a lot of time in main Tour matches this season. She is a danger to Garcia if she is not on top form as Siniakova has had some solid results on the grass in the last couple of years.

It will need a big serving day from Garcia to make sure she doesn’t offer any encouragement to a player she should be beating at this stage of her career. I can see some tough moments for Garcia, but I do think she will see of Siniakova 75, 63 in this one.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Caroline Garcia -4.5 Games @ 2.0 with Bet365

 

Timea Babos v Coco Vandeweghe

Anyone who has read these picks on a regular basis will know I am a fan of Timea Babos and find that she is a little under-rated on a fairly regularly. The 23 year old is a solid Doubles player, but she has begun to turn things on as a Singles player and is likely one or two really big wins away from making a significant climb up the World Rankings.

A big serve is backed up by some heavy groundstrokes, although I would be looking for an improvement on the return of serve to really give Babos a boost. She will need all her weaponry in this Second Round match against Coco Vandeweghe who reached the Quarter Final at Wimbledon last season.

Vandeweghe is a dangerous player on the grass with a huge serve backed up by a big forehand and that allows her to have a ‘free shot’ at every return game she sees. The backhand remains a weakness, but Vandeweghe can hide that on the grass courts and this is a match in which the first strike is going to be very important for both players.

I can understand why Vandeweghe is the favourite considering her Quarter Final run last year at SW19 and the dominant way she breezed through the draw to win the title in Hertogenbosch earlier this month. She looked strong again in Birmingham, but I expect Babos to test her after pushing Madison Keys and Petra Kvitova in competitive losses.

Both Keys and Kvitova are amongst the favourites to win at Wimbledon with their styles of play and I think Babos will use those experiences to make these games count against Vandeweghe. This will be a big hitting match that the spectators can enjoy and I will look for the underdog to keep it competitive.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Timea Babos +3.5 Games @ 1.76 with Unibet

 

Timea Babos

Timea Babos

Johanna Konta v Eugenie Bouchard

It is not too often that a former Wimbledon Finalist would be an underdog against a British female player in a Grand Slam tournament, but that is what we see on Thursday. I can’t say I blame the layers as Eugenie Bouchard has been inconsistent since her breakthrough year on the Tour in 2014 when she reached that Wimbledon Final.

Full credit needs to be given to Johanna Konta who has had a memorable twelve months and then produced a strong performance to beat Monica Puig in the First Round at Wimbledon. That has broken her duck in the tournament and Konta has played so well at the US Open and the Australian Open in the last twelve months which suggests she can handle the pressure of playing in front of her home crowd.

The way she dealt with Puig has to inspire confidence and Bouchard has had an inconsistent grass court season which suggests she is still trying to find her ‘A’ game on the court. Her serve will be attacked by Konta and it is hard to ignore the fact that Bouchard is 5-7 in grass court matches since the Wimbledon Final of 2014.

Konta certainly looks to have the stronger serve and I think she has shown more mental strength than Bouchard over the last few months. Even if she goes down a break, Konta won’t feel out of the match, while Bouchard could quickly see sets and then the match disappear from her control. Winning back to back matches hasn’t been the Bouchard strength this season and I think Konta will show how much she has improved by beating this former Finalist in three sets, 63, 46, 64.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Johanna Konta -2.5 Games @ 1.79 with Pinnacle

Prices correct at time of writing

By @DavAulak.

 

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