India v England Cricket Betting Preview – Wednesday 9th November By @herefordrich

India v England, 1st Test – Saurashtra Cricket Association Stadium at 03:30 live on Sky Sports 2 and Sky Sports Mix

The Scene

Apart from the Ashes, five match Test series are about as rare these days as a Kumar Dharmasena correct umpiring decision. This is the first time India has hosted a five match series in the games longest form since Pakistan visited, some 29 years ago. It’s also the first time England have contested an away five match series (other than against Australia) since touring South Africa in 2004/2005.

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Rajkot hosts the first match before the series head to Vizag, Mohali, Mumbai and Chennai. There are bound to be large ebbs and flows that accompany any elongated Test series, but make no mistake, this promises to be the toughest of assignments for Alastair Cook’s men over the coming weeks.

Virat Kohli’s India are on a roll in Test matches, unbeaten in 11 matches against 4 different Test playing nations. At home they haven’t lost since England turned them over in Calcutta, all the way back in 2012. England meanwhile arrive days after gifting Bangladesh their biggest Test match win in their history and a one-all series draw.

A big part of India’s success’ at home against the likes of Australia, South Africa and more recently New Zealand has been the nature of the surfaces curated to undoubtedly suit the strengths of the home side.

Rajkot might be a new venue to Test cricket but expect much of the same – turn from day one and plenty of men around the bat – especially when Ravi Ashwin is bowling.

Conditions

Rajkot is steaming hot at present – scorching sunshine and temperatures in the mid to late 30c’s can be expected for all five days – if the match goes its entirety, of course.

The Venue

The Saurashtra Cricket Association Stadium, Rajkot, hosts its first ever Test match this week. Because of this we have to turn to the Ranji trophy for recent first and second innings performances at this venue –

Recent First Innings First Class scores – 551, 239, 102, 238, 519

Recent Second Innings First Class scores – 437, 258, 148, 226, 273

Recent Results in First Class cricket here – Draw, Draw, W (side bat 1st), W (side bat 1st), W (side bat 1st)

Batting in the 1st innings of the match in this period – Average 329

Batting in the 2nd innings of the match in this period – Average 268

NOTE – (we’ve ignored 3rd and 4th match innings for the purposes of this column which has been written for each sides 1st innings of the Test)

Form Guide & First Inns Runs

Here are India’s last ten 1st innings scores in Tests, plus result in brackets –

316 (W) 318 (W) DNB* (D) 353 (W) 500 (D) 566 (W) 334 (W) 215 (W) 80/0* (D) 201 (W) –

Average 350

Here are England’s last ten 1st innings scores in Tests, plus result in brackets –

244 (L) 293 (W) 328 (L) 297 (W) 589/8d (W) 272 (L) 416 (D) 498/9d (W) 298 (W) 342 (L)

Average 357

Teams

India are without Shikar Dhawan, KL Rahul and Rohit Sharma for the foreseeable, so expect Gautam Gambhir to continue at the top of the order. Murali Vijay averages 39.7 in 42 Test matches and will be keen to cement his place in the XI given the injuries to others. Chet Pujara looks back to his best with a century in the recent series win against New Zealand and an average of 74, whilst captain Kohli (below) can surely only improve on what is a dire record against England. Ajinkya Rahane has a Test ton versus Cook’s men but will be keen to improve on an overall average of 33 that is his lowest against all Test nations expect Sri Lanka. Wicket-keeper Wriddhiman Saha’s recent performances have stopped even the most hardened of Dhoni’s supporters craving their hero – Saha averaged 112 against New Zealand with two fifties in three knocks – this on the back of the away series in the West Indies in which he scored his first century. Ravi Ashwin will surely be the main man with the ball. The canny off-spinner took 27 wickets in the 3 match New Zealand series and now has 220 wickets in 39 Test matches. Ravi Jadeja is ever dangerous is the surface is low and slow with his slow left armers whilst seam should come from Mohammed Shami and Umesh Yadav.

England can’t say they are not prepared for this series. The players that perform in ODI’s and Test matches have been in Asia for well over a month now and of course the red ball specialists come in straight from a win in Chittagong and a loss in Dhaka. Alastair Cook had a quiet series against Bangladesh but arrives in India with a career batting average of 54.2 against the hosts. Cook debuted in Nagpur way back in 2006 and has scored 5 centuries and 7 fifties in 20 Tests versus India. Ben Duckett is likely to start the series as his opener after a busy 56 in the unsuccessful run chase in Dhaka whilst Joe Root’s 98 runs in 4 innings in the ‘Desh was way down on his expectations. Will Gary Ballance get another gig? A high score of 9 and just 24 runs suggest he could make way for Jos Buttler. If Buttler comes in, expect Jonny Bairstow to slip up to four in the order. Ben Stokes starred in Bangladesh with 128 runs and 11 wickets whilst fellow all-rounder Moeen Ali will have a big part to play with bat and ball. Moeen also struck 11 times in Bangladesh but his economy rate of 3.3 an over needs to come down. Gareth Batty could return after missing out in Dhaka whilst Broad (below) will lead the Jimmy Anderson-less seam attack alongside Chris Woakes.

Ones to Watch

Virat Kohli is a monster in modern day cricket terms. An ever improving India Test career average of 45 is only sub-fifty due to his surprisingly poor record against England. In 17 innings, Kohli averages just 20.1 with just one century and zero fifties. This will surely only improve over these five matches, starting this week in Rajkot.

 

Cricket Betting

Virat Kohli

Stuart Broad bowled England to victory in Chittagong with a mature display that befitted his 360 career Test wickets. Broad debuted in Sri Lanka some nine years ago and with no Jimmy Anderson for at least the first Test, his experience will be vital for Alastair Cook to turn to when the going gets tough.

First Innings Runs Markets

If India bat first I recommend backing any OVERS RUNS around the 300-305 mark.

If England bat first I recommend backing any UNDER RUNS around the 300-305 mark.

Top First Innings Batsman Market

Chet Pujara made a double ton during the 1st Test of the last series England played in India. He looks decent value to top score for the hosts at 5.0 here.

This could be a straight shoot out between Cook and Root all tour, but lets look down the order for now until either of England’s big two show signs of their best form. Jos Buttler is as high as 13.0 to top score here and looks a great bet – we get stakes back if he doesn’t get a place in the final XI.

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @herefordrich

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