Surrey v Warwickshire Cricket Betting Preview – Sat 17th September by @herefordrich

Surrey v Warwickshire – RLODC Final at Lords at 10:30 live on Sky Sports 2

The Scene

Lord’s hosts the final of England’s domestic one day cup this Saturday, as Surrey take on Warwickshire. Currently known as the Royal London One Day Cup, this tournament has had many guises over the years, this being the eighth different name and/or sponsor it has had this millennium!

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Surrey failed to chase 220 last year in the final against Gloucestershire and will feel they have unfinished business having last won this trophy in 2011 when it was played as a 40 over a side competition as opposed to the 50 overs it is now. Warwickshire were last victors the year before in 2010.

Conditions

A fresh, but crucially dry day is in store for the capital on Saturday. If you are going to the ground then bring those jumpers – temperatures will struggle to get out the teens – even when the sun appears. But given it is just two weeks from October, nobody will complain.

Vital Statistics

Here are Surrey‘s scores when batting first in 50 over cricket recently –

2016 – 255, 323, 313, 255 – Average 286

2015 –  300, 273, 291, 328, 271, 343 – Average 301

Here at Warwickshire‘s scores when batting first in 50 over cricket recently –

2016 – 284, 283, 283 – Average 283

2015 – 220 – Average 220

Here are scores from domestic 50 over matches played at Lord’s over the past two seasons –

2016 – 219, 238 – Average 228

2015 – 295, 251, 220 – Average 255

Teams

Gareth Batty’s Surrey side welcome back England opener and dangerman Jason Roy to their XI. Roy has played in 9 of Surrey’s 10 games in this years competition and has scored well –with 363 runs at an average of 45.3. Steven Davies is the sides leading run grabber though, with 104 of his seasons 373 runs coming in the semi final win against Yorkshire. Rory Burns and Ben Foakes both average over 45 and have season SR’s of 95 and 102 respectively. The Curran brothers, Sam and Tom, are developing into fine all rounders and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see both press for England honours in the next twelve to eighteen months. Tom has out bowled his brother with 12 wickets to Sam’s 5, whilst Sam has scored 165 runs to Tom’s 90. Wickets have come in the form of former England death bowling specialist Jade Dernbach who has struck 15 times in just 6 matches. Stuart Meaker is also another former England quick, he’s taken 16 wickets at an average of 24.2 this season in the RLODC. Skipper Batty has contributed well with the ball too – 14 wickets and an economy rate of 5 per-over is a terrific return.

Sam Hain could easily have ousted Patel in the below star players section. The Warwickshire man is top of this years RLODC run scorers list, hitting two centuries and three fifties on his way to compiling 528 runs. Skipper Ian Bell has passed 50 on three occasions in seven innings and has a heap of ODI experience for his country, having played 161 times for England in 50 over cricket. If Hain and Bell have been consistent, then Jonathan Trott has been superb. Three centuries in just seven knocks on pitches where 280-290 has been a good score is what Trotty specialises in. He could well be the key wicket for Surrey to nab on Saturday. Laurie Evans and Tim Ambrose both have SR’s above 100 and have scored 257 and 335 runs respectively whilst all-rounder Rikki Clarke is another ex-England international on show. The former Surrey man has 13 wickets in 8 matches and has rarely been needed with the bat, courtesy of the form of Messrs Hain, Bell, Trott, Evans and Ambrose. Oliver Hannon-Dalby and Chris Wright are likely to lead the seam attack alongside Clarke, having shared 14 wickets between them during the RLODC this year.  

 

ROLDC Final Cricket Betting Preview

Kumar Sangakkara

Star Players

Surrey are only in the final courtesy of Kumar Sangakkara. With a quarter final away at Northants all but lost, the former Sri Lankan superstar somehow got his side home with a boundary off the last ball, finishing 130* from a team total of 279/9. A one wicket win bought joy to Sanga and the Surrey XI, and misery to this writer, who had backed Northants strongly at 4.0 and 5.0 in play! The 38 year old knows this could be his last match at Lord’s and will be determined to go out on a high at crickets HQ. Averaging 51.4 in 6 RLODC knocks this year, he’s certainly in the form to do so.

Warwickshire have a star overseas player of their own. New Zealander Jeetan Patel has taken 20 wickets in 9 RLODC matches this season, including a five-wicket haul in the semi final win against Somerset. In such late season conditions, on a Lord’s pitch that is likely to be tired and slow, he could be key to the Birmingham sides chances of stopping the powerhouse Surrey top order from getting away.

Runs Markets

This looks like one for the unders backers given an end of season pitch and a late September early morning start time. I recommend backing any UNDER RUNS around the 270-275 mark whichever side bats first.

Top Batsman Market

Very hard to separate Roy, Sangakkara and Davies so let us have a speculative bet lower down the order on Ben Foakes top scoring for Surrey at 10.0.

Likewise it is hard to separate Trott, Bell and Hain – but I have a fancy that Jonathan Trott will rise to the occasion and look to bat time – he’s worth backing at 4.0 to top score for Warwickshire.

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @herefordrich.

 

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