UEFA Champions League Asian Handicap Betting Preview – Sat 28th May by @tashason21

Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid – San Siro at 19:45 live on BT Sport Europe

On Saturday evening, Real Madrid take on Atletico in a tie which caps off an incredible season of European football.

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This year’s Champions League final is an all Spanish clash, as it was in the 2013/14 season when these 2 sides last battled it out for European glory. On that occasion Atletico were very unlucky not to come away with the trophy as Sergio Ramos forced extra time with a 93rd-minute header. Atleti then went on to lose the match 4-1, with Bale, Marcelo and Ronaldo netting the other goals in extra time.

Diego Simeone’s side will therefore be looking for revenge this time round, although they face a tough ask against a Real Madrid side have been prolific in Europe this campaign, having only lost 1 match (against Wolfsburg) and scoring an incredible  27 goals, whilst only conceding 5!

If anyone can stop one of the most lethal attacks in Europe however, it’s going to be Atletico who boast a great defensive record this season under Simeone. In fact, Atleti have become renowned for their defensive stability and their centre-back pairing of Diego Godin and José María Giminez has really thrived this campaign.

 

Diego Godin

Diego Godin

Despite this, Cristiano Ronaldo will no doubt cause the Atletico defence some problems, as the Portuguese international is this season’s top scorer in the Champions League, as well as now being the all-time top goal scorer in Champions League history! However, there was cause for concern mid-week as he seemed to pick up a knock in training, so it will be interesting to see how this affects his performance. Gareth Bale has also proved a huge threat in-front of goal this season and has scored 21 goals across all competitions.

Although Atletico’s defensive stability is a big part of their success this season, Simeone’s men have also proved that they can be dangerous in-front of goal and 9 of Antoine Griezmann’s 33 goals this season have come in the Champions League. Griezmann also got the winner at the Bernabéu in February, when Real Madrid and Atleti last met in La Liga (1-0). In the reverse fixture, the game ended in a 1-1 draw with Benzema and Vietto getting the goals.

Atletico will feel that they have got what it takes to beat their Spanish rivals and I think that this could be their year, although they are very much the underdogs against Zidane’s experienced side. They’ve beaten both Barcelona and Bayern Munich to reach the final of the competition and therefore they will feel like they can beat anybody. I am expecting a game of fine margins and don’t necessarily expect Atleti to get the job done within 90 minutes, although I think that they will end up lifting the Champions League trophy and therefore I recommend backing  Atletico +0.25 on the Asian Handicap betting market. If the game ends in a draw after 90 minutes, we get our profit halved and if Atleti do manage to secure victory in normal time, a full profit will be returned.

Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Atletico Madrid +0.25 @ 1.80 with Bet365 

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @tashason21.

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Atletico Madrid v Bayern Munich Asian Handicap Betting Preview – Wed 27th Apr by @tashason21

Atletico Madrid v Bayern Munich – Vicente Calderón Stadium at 19:45 live on BT Sport Europe

On Wednesday evening, the 1st leg of this Champions League semi-final between Atletico Madrid and Bayern Munich takes place. Atleti have the best defensive record in the competition, whilst the German outfit are the strongest attacking side and therefore it will be interesting to see the outcome of this intriguing tie.

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Bayern Munich have scored 28 goals in the competition to date, more than any other semi-finalist, although they face an Atletico side which have kept 13 clean sheets in their last 15 home Champions League games.

Robert Lewandowski has scored 44 goals across all competitions for Bayern this campaign, 8 of which have come in the Champions League, whilst his strike partner Thomas Muller has scored 15 goals in his last 17 Champions League starts! Pep Guardiola’s side have a vast array of talent across all areas of the field, which is why they are one of the most dangerous attacking sides in Eurorpe.

 

Robert Lewandowski & Thomas Muller

Robert Lewandowski & Thomas Muller

Vidal and Douglas Costa got on the scoresheet last weekend in Bayern’s 2-0 away victory over Hertha BSC in the Bundesliga, yet the German side still need 1 more win to assure their 4th successive domestic title, with Borussia Dortmund sitting 7 points behind in 2nd.

Atletico were also winners on the weekend, beating Malaga 1-0 and are joint on points with Barcelona at the top of the La Liga table and are also in with a great chance of winning the title.

The Spanish side however are expected to be without Diego Godin for this clash, who is suffering from a hamstring injury and his absence could prove costly as he’s been an integral part to Atletico’s impressive defence.

Diego Simeone’s side defeated defending champions Barcelona 3-2 on aggregate to reach the last 4 and they will be boosted by the return of Fernando Torres on Wednesday, who missed the 2nd leg against the Spanish Champions through suspension. Torres has found the net 5 times in his last 6 appearances across all competitions and Bayern’s defence will have to keep close tabs on the Spaniard.

The German side’s back-line has looked a little shaky of late however, as they surrendered a 2-0 lead in their 1st leg tie at Juventus, before needing to recover the same deficit in the return leg of their final group fixture. Moreover, Pep’s team only edged past Benfica 3-2 on aggregate and looked far from their best in the previous round.

Bayern Munich have been struggling on their travels of late, especially in Europe, whilst Atletico have been ruthless at home across all competitions and therefore I recommend backing Atletico -0.5 on the Asian Handicap betting market, which looks a very tasty price.

Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Atletico Madrid -0.5 @ 3.00 with Unibet 

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @tashason21.

 

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Atletico Madrid v Barcelona Asian Handicap Betting Preview – Weds 13th April by @tashason21

Atletico Madrid v Barcelona – Vicente Calderón Stadium at 19:45 live on BT Sport Europe

In this all Spanish tie, Barcelona make the journey to the Vicente Calderon to take on Atletico Madrid after their 2-1 victory in the 1st leg.

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Despite Atletico taking the lead through Fernando Torres, a 2nd half brace from Luis Suarez allowed Barcelona to win the tie, although Atletico did get a crucial away goal. In a match where at times tempers flared, the away side were punished after they went down to 10 men as a result of the sending off of Torres, who received 2 yellow cards in the space of minutes and was finally dismissed for a silly challenge on Sergio Busquets.

Wednesday’s game will certainly be no easy tie for Barcelona, who are currently going through a rough patch in terms of recent results! Their victory over Atletico in the Champions League last week was their only win in their last 4 games, having failed to beat Villarreal (2-2) and having lost against Real Madrid in El Clasico, before losing 1-0 on Saturday against 9th in the table Real Sociedad. This recent dip in form has put an interesting spin on the La Liga title race as Diego Simeone’s side are now only 3 points behind the league leaders Barca.

Atletico are certainly putting the pressure on Luis Enrique’s side and last weekend they won 3-1 against Espanyol, with Torres, Griezmann and Koke getting the goals. However, unfortunately for the home side, Torres will miss out on Wednesday as he faces suspension.

 

Diego Simeone

Diego Simeone

The Catalan giants have a great record against Atletico and have won on all 3 occasions that they’ve met this season (twice in La Liga & once in the Champions League) by a 2-1 scoreline, although Atletico have an impressive home record and have only lost 1 of their last 18 home matches across all competitions, which includes 14 victories!

Griezmann will be the main threat for the home side and he has scored 8 goals in his last 10 appearances. The likes of Messi, Suarez and Neymar will also no doubt test the opposition’s defence, although Atletico have a good defensive record in the Champions League, keeping 6 clean sheets in the tournament to date.

As for the outcome of this game, Barcelona must score and as Atletico are an impressive home side, I would recommend backing over 2.5 goals at 2.08, which looks a good price.

Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.08 with Unibet  

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @tashason21.

 

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