Dominic Thiem v Grigor Dimitrov
When this match was set and before the prices were released, I really thought it was going to be a pick ’em Quarter Final between Grigor Dimitrov and Dominic Thiem. It is going to be a close match to call so I would not have played it, but I can’t stand by and see Thiem as a fairly big underdog being given this many games on the handicap.
[expand title=”Read More…” swaptitle=”Hide” trigpos=”below” rel=”star-highlander” ]
The bigger ‘name’ is definitely Dimitrov for the casual fans, but I don’t think he has been in the kind of form that his straight set wins over Denis Kudla and Donald Young may suggest. Dimitrov had to dig deep in both of those matches and now he is facing a much better player in Thiem who has the confidence of a title win and a Semi Final run behind him.
Perhaps the clay courts are more to Thiem’s liking at this moment in his career, but he is more than capable of producing on the hard courts. He has some power behind him and Thiem won’t be intimidated by facing Dimitrov but instead may look at this as a chance to show there is a ‘new kid on the block’.
I might be completely wrong and Dimitrov dominates this match from start to finish, but I think he is not serving as well as the scores might suggest. He will give Thiem chances and I think the upset has every chance of being achieved in this one.
However I will take the security of the games and look for a very competitive showing from Thiem in this one.
HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Dominic Thiem +2.5 Games @ 2.00 with Matchbook
Sam Querrey v Taylor Fritz
This looks a fascinating match between the last generation of American players and the next.
You can’t help but be impressed with Taylor Fritz and the way he has performed on the main Tour after a strong Junior season in 2015. He is set to break into the top 100 in the World Rankings on Monday and Fritz has already reached a Final in Memphis to back up a Challenger win earlier in the season.
Fritz has won some solid matches this week against the likes of Jeremy Chardy and Victor Estrella Burgos, but I do think the level steps up when facing the Delray Beach Champion Sam Querrey. I have to say I wasn’t sure Querrey was going to do anything but slip down the World Rankings, but he looks revitalised and the serve continues to be a huge weapon for him.
If he is serving well it will build plenty of scoreboard pressure on Fritz and I think the youngster might just struggle to cope in this one. I do think he could have big things in his future, but I also believe Querrey is in hot form and can come through this one 76, 64.
HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Sam Querrey -1.5 Games @ 1.96 with Eastbridge Sports Betting Brokerage
Prices correct at time of writing.