ATP Acapulco Tennis Handicap Betting Preview – Sat 27th Feb by @DavAulak

Alexandr Dolgopolov v Bernard Tomic

This could be a fascinating Semi Final to watch from Acapulco as both Alexandr Dolgopolov and Bernard Tomic are capable of producing the ridiculous to the sublime.

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It isn’t easy to always predict what we are going to see when these two players head to the court and the wind in Acapulco has been another issue. That hasn’t affected these players though as they use plenty of slice and variation to put opponents in awkward spots on the court and I am interested to see how it develops.

 

Alexandr Dolgopolov

Alexandr Dolgopolov

The edge goes to Alexandr Dolgopolov for me because I think he has recorded the more impressive wins this week and looks to be in the stronger form. Bernard Tomic fans might point out that he has yet to drop a set but I think he has had the more straight-forward draw and a better player than Illya Marchenko would have given him big problems on Thursday.

Dolgopolov is a better player and looks to be playing the more secure tennis and I think he will find himself in the Final after a three set win. It could easily end up a score similar to 26, 63, 62 in this one and I think the Ukrainian will head through.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Alexandr Dolgopolov -1.5 Games @ 1.84 with Matchbook

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @DavAulak.

 

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ATP Acapulco Tennis Handicap Betting Preview – Fri 26th Feb by @DavAulak

Dominic Thiem v Grigor Dimitrov

When this match was set and before the prices were released, I really thought it was going to be a pick ’em Quarter Final between Grigor Dimitrov and Dominic Thiem. It is going to be a close match to call so I would not have played it, but I can’t stand by and see Thiem as a fairly big underdog being given this many games on the handicap.

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The bigger ‘name’ is definitely Dimitrov for the casual fans, but I don’t think he has been in the kind of form that his straight set wins over Denis Kudla and Donald Young may suggest. Dimitrov had to dig deep in both of those matches and now he is facing a much better player in Thiem who has the confidence of a title win and a Semi Final run behind him.

Perhaps the clay courts are more to Thiem’s liking at this moment in his career, but he is more than capable of producing on the hard courts. He has some power behind him and Thiem won’t be intimidated by facing Dimitrov but instead may look at this as a chance to show there is a ‘new kid on the block’.

I might be completely wrong and Dimitrov dominates this match from start to finish, but I think he is not serving as well as the scores might suggest. He will give Thiem chances and I think the upset has every chance of being achieved in this one.

However I will take the security of the games and look for a very competitive showing from Thiem in this one.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Dominic Thiem +2.5 Games @ 2.00 with Matchbook

 

Dominic Thiem

Dominic Thiem

Sam Querrey v Taylor Fritz

This looks a fascinating match between the last generation of American players and the next.

You can’t help but be impressed with Taylor Fritz and the way he has performed on the main Tour after a strong Junior season in 2015. He is set to break into the top 100 in the World Rankings on Monday and Fritz has already reached a Final in Memphis to back up a Challenger win earlier in the season.

Fritz has won some solid matches this week against the likes of Jeremy Chardy and Victor Estrella Burgos, but I do think the level steps up when facing the Delray Beach Champion Sam Querrey. I have to say I wasn’t sure Querrey was going to do anything but slip down the World Rankings, but he looks revitalised and the serve continues to be a huge weapon for him.

If he is serving well it will build plenty of scoreboard pressure on Fritz and I think the youngster might just struggle to cope in this one. I do think he could have big things in his future, but I also believe Querrey is in hot form and can come through this one 76, 64.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Sam Querrey -1.5 Games @ 1.96 with Eastbridge Sports Betting Brokerage

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @DavAulak.

 

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ATP Acapulco Tennis Handicap Betting Preview – Wed 24th Feb by @DavAulak

Bernard Tomic v Adrian Mannarino

He might have bristled when it was put to him what Roger Federer said about his top ten chances, but Bernard Tomic has to prove on the court that he is capable of reaching that milestone. Too often the Australian puts in a really shocking set of results, but this looks a tournament in which he can go deep into the draw if he can get past Adrian Mannarino.

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I am not entirely sure what I think of Mannarino- sometimes he looks a player that will make a significant leap in the World Rankings, at other times he looks like he has overachieved already.

After winning a Challenger event to open 2016, Mannarino has been consistent enough to beat the players he should for the most part, although losing to those he is expected to be defeated by. Someone like Tomic makes enough silly errors to give Mannarino a chance and their two matches in 2015 both needed a third set decider including here in Acapulco.

 

Mannarino & Tomic

Mannarino & Tomic

That is a concern for me as Tomic has a habit of tanking sets when things are not going the way he expects and someone like Mannarino is more level-headed with his play. However, I think Tomic is looking for a big week here and a focused Tomic should be too good for Mannarino whose serve can be something of a liability at times. That despite coming from a left-handed player and I like Tomic to break him down in a 63, 36, 63 win.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Bernard Tomic -2.5 Games @ 1.75 with Pinnacle Sports

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @DavAulak.

 

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