ATP Tour Tennis Handicap Betting Preview – Saturday 16th January by @DavAulak

Jack Sock v Roberto Bautista Agut – ATP Auckland

This is perhaps not the Final that anyone really expected on Saturday in Auckland after both of these players surprised me with wins over David Ferrer and Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, the top two Seeds in the Semi Finals. Out of the two, I think Jack Sock has the chance to win his second title and prevent Roberto Bautista Agut winning his third.

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It should be quite a good match to watch as both players look like they can match up well against one another.

Jack Sock has the power and the serve to give Bautista Agut an issue, but the Spaniard will feel he can use his better movement and superior backhand wing to extract errors from the American. However, my feeling is that Sock is able to bring his forehand into play for long enough to win enough rallies to come through and win this Final and add to his two wins over Bautista Agut in 2015.

It was the protection of his serve that helped Sock win both matches, although they were very close and I think it will be the serve that helps him win again. If his serve is working, Sock knows he will get his chances on the return to break serve and I expect that will help him win a tight match 76, 64.

HANDICAP BETTINGPICK: Jack Sock – 1.5 Games @ 1.83 with UNIBET

 

Grigor Dimitrov v Victor Troicki – ATP Sydney

I think the favourites can make it a clean sweep of wins in the Finals to be played on Saturday and I like their chances to all cover the spreads that have been asked of them. Grigor Dimitrov is looking to recover from a disappointing 2015 season by putting this title away and giving him some momentum to take into the Australian Open which begins in a couple of days.

2015 was arguably a better year for Victor Troicki than it was for Dimitrov as he recovered his World Ranking following an enforced lay off from the Tour thanks to failing a drug test. In actual fact he simply asked to miss a day due to feeling unwell before doing the test a day later, but that didn’t matter and he was forced off the Tour.

Both have had to battle the weather as well as their opponents to get through to this Final and I think Dimitrov may have an edge when it comes to physical well-being. Troicki had to battle through the distance in his Quarter Final and Semi Final which was played on Friday, while Dimitrov just had to put the finishing touches to his own Quarter Final win before winning his Semi Final with room to spare.

These two players met last week in Brisbane and Dimitrov won a three set match which was close for the first couple of sets. I think he is the better player and his physical fitness looks like it will be in a superior position to Troicki’s in this Final and I think it might be a little ‘easier’ than last week as he wins this one 64, 64.

HANDICAPBETTING PICK: Grigor Dimitrov – 3.5 Games @ 2.00 with 888 Sports

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @DavAulak.

 

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ATP Tennis Handicap Betting Preview – Thursday 14th January by @DavAulak

Grigor Dimitrov v Alexandr Dolgopolov – ATP Sydney

A second consecutive Quarter Final to open the 2016 season would certainly have been something that Grigor Dimitrov will appreciate as he looks to erase what was a disappointing 2015 year for him. Last week it took Roger Federer to end his run, albeit in a tight match, but Dimitrov should have a much better opportunity to move forward against Alexandr Dolgopolov.

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You can’t take anything away from the talent that Dolgopolov clearly has- he can hit almost any shot he likes, but that also means his decision making can let him down, while Dolgopolov is as erratic as they come.

The Ukrainian is back up to World Number 36 in the Rankings, but his form fluctuates all the time even if he has had a couple of decent looking wins this week. If Dolgopolov is ‘on’, he can be very, very difficult to play even for the very best players in the world, but far too often he doesn’t reach the levels he has shown fleetingly and I think Dimitrov is too good for him in this Quarter Final.

A difference between these players is that Dolgopolov never seems too far away from throwing in an absolute shocker of a service game. That has been an issue for Dimitrov at times too, but Dolgopolov’s slashing style and sometimes questionable decision making when it comes to shot selection has given the Bulgarian the slight edge in previous matches between them.

I believe that will be the case again as Dimitrov battles to a 63, 46, 64 win.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Grigor Dimitrov -2.5 Games @ 1.81 with 888 Sport

 

Jo-Wilfried Tsonga

Jo-Wilfried Tsonga

Jo-Wilfried Tsonga v Fabio Fognini – ATP Auckland

The layers were expecting a very tight match between Jo-Wilfried Tsonga and Philipp Kohlschreiber in the Second Round in Auckland, but the Frenchman showed he is ready for a big 2016 season. I certainly expected it to be closer than it was as Tsonga was dominant behind serve and earned enough joy from the Kohlschreiber delivery to come through in relative ease over two sets.

Now he moves into the Quarter Final where he faces the enigmatic Italian Fabio Fognini who can equally frustrate viewers as well as he can have them drop their jaws in awe of the tennis he produces. There have been some very good matches played by Fognini over the last couple of seasons and he has had considerable success on the Doubles circuit with Simone Bolelli too, but far too often he flatters to deceive.

Tsonga won’t mind the match up as he has won all three previous matches and has a serve that can pick up cheap points when they are needed. On the other hand, Fognini is never too far from a meltdown behind his own serve which is much more difficult to redeem on the hard and grass courts compared with the clay courts where Fognini is at his most comfortable.

You can’t always predict what you are going to get from the Tsonga return as that remains a big weakness in his game, but when the Frenchman has his eye in he can be tough to stop. Tsonga looked solid enough in his performance against Kohlschreiber to think he can put the Fognini delivery under pressure and I think that will result in a similar win for Tsonga as he had in the Second Round and also a place in the Semi Final.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Jo-Wilfried Tsonga -3.5 Games @ 1.86 with UNIBET

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @DavAulak.

 

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