Jack Sock v Roberto Bautista Agut – ATP Auckland
This is perhaps not the Final that anyone really expected on Saturday in Auckland after both of these players surprised me with wins over David Ferrer and Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, the top two Seeds in the Semi Finals. Out of the two, I think Jack Sock has the chance to win his second title and prevent Roberto Bautista Agut winning his third.
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It should be quite a good match to watch as both players look like they can match up well against one another.
Jack Sock has the power and the serve to give Bautista Agut an issue, but the Spaniard will feel he can use his better movement and superior backhand wing to extract errors from the American. However, my feeling is that Sock is able to bring his forehand into play for long enough to win enough rallies to come through and win this Final and add to his two wins over Bautista Agut in 2015.
It was the protection of his serve that helped Sock win both matches, although they were very close and I think it will be the serve that helps him win again. If his serve is working, Sock knows he will get his chances on the return to break serve and I expect that will help him win a tight match 76, 64.
HANDICAP BETTINGPICK: Jack Sock – 1.5 Games @ 1.83 with UNIBET
Grigor Dimitrov v Victor Troicki – ATP Sydney
I think the favourites can make it a clean sweep of wins in the Finals to be played on Saturday and I like their chances to all cover the spreads that have been asked of them. Grigor Dimitrov is looking to recover from a disappointing 2015 season by putting this title away and giving him some momentum to take into the Australian Open which begins in a couple of days.
2015 was arguably a better year for Victor Troicki than it was for Dimitrov as he recovered his World Ranking following an enforced lay off from the Tour thanks to failing a drug test. In actual fact he simply asked to miss a day due to feeling unwell before doing the test a day later, but that didn’t matter and he was forced off the Tour.
Both have had to battle the weather as well as their opponents to get through to this Final and I think Dimitrov may have an edge when it comes to physical well-being. Troicki had to battle through the distance in his Quarter Final and Semi Final which was played on Friday, while Dimitrov just had to put the finishing touches to his own Quarter Final win before winning his Semi Final with room to spare.
These two players met last week in Brisbane and Dimitrov won a three set match which was close for the first couple of sets. I think he is the better player and his physical fitness looks like it will be in a superior position to Troicki’s in this Final and I think it might be a little ‘easier’ than last week as he wins this one 64, 64.
HANDICAPBETTING PICK: Grigor Dimitrov – 3.5 Games @ 2.00 with 888 Sports
Prices correct at time of writing.