Jeremy Chardy v Illya Marchenko
It has already been a strong week for Illya Marchenko who has won two matches in Doha while being the underdog in both. Coming back from a set down to beat David Ferrer is never easy, but he might have caught the defending Champion a little cold and that won’t be the case at this stage of the week.
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He faces Jeremy Chardy who has been a comfortable winner in both of the matches he has played this week and who has to be extremely confident. The Frenchman looks to be Seeded at the Australian Open and he is a player that can be very effective on the court, although the serve can sometimes become a weakness.
The first serve is very good, but Chardy’s second serve can be a weakness at time although Marchenko is going to face the same kind of problem. The player who can dominate on the second serve return is going to be the one to move into the Semi Final this week, but I do think Chardy is the more effective player and likely to be in that position.
Both players have only been broken once this week but Chardy is the better player and I think he will come through 76, 64 after a challenging match.
Handicap Betting Pick: Jeremy Chardy -2.5 Games at 1.73 with Unibet
Tomas Berdych v Kyle Edmund
I am 1-1 picking Tomas Berdych matches this week but he came through for me yesterday, even if he didn’t produce the best second set that he would have liked. I do think Berdych should be too good for the young Brit Kyle Edmund even if the latter has put together a strong week which should move him into the top 100 of the World Rankings.
After three pretty comfortable wins, Edmund had to dig very deep to win his Second Round match on Wednesday and I do wonder if that has taken something from him physically. Edmund has also not played anyone of the level of Tomas Berdych and I think bridging that gap will be difficult in this Quarter Final.
Edmund is a talented player that can’t be underestimated and he showed that he could potentially be making a real move in the World Rankings with his solid appearance in the Davis Cup Final in November. He pushed David Goffin to five sets having taken the first two sets in that Rubber and so Berdych will have to be aware that being too far short of his best will cost him in this one.
Some of Edmund’s better results have come on the slower surfaces and I think fatigue might be an issue for him in the Quarter Final. It won’t be easy for Berdych unless he can really improve his serving to keep the pressure on his younger opponent, but I think the top ten player will earn a break more in each set to come through 63, 64 and move into the Semi Final.
Handicap Betting Pick: Tomas Berdych -4.5 Games at 1.76 with Unibet
Prices correct at the time of writing.