French Open Tennis Handicap Betting Preview – Friday 27th May by @DavAulak

Petra Kvitova v Shelby Rogers

The clay courts might not be the most favoured surface for Petra Kvitova and she might have been in inconsistent form through 2016, but I do like the match up for her in this Third Round. She faces the young American Shelby Rogers who is Ranked outside the World top 100 and who has had a pretty average clay court campaign heading into Roland Garros.

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That takes nothing away from the fact that Rogers has come through two Rounds here in big upsets, but the level certainly goes up again when she meets Kvitova.

The power coming from Kvitova’s side of the court can be tough to deal with, especially if she is able to keep control the unforced errors that can blight her game. She should have every chance of attacking the Rogers serve and forcing a number of break points, but covering this number will be all about Kvitova looking after her own serve.

Kvitova has still had some struggles in finding some consistent results as I have mentioned, but I do think she will be a little too good in this one. After a tight first set, I can see Kvitova taking control as she did in her Second Round win and I like Kvitova to come through with a 63, 64 win.

Tennis Handicap Betting Pick: Petra Kvitova – 4.5 Games at 1.90 with Eastbridge

 

Petra Kvitova

Lucie Safarova v Sam Stosur

2016 has been a tough season for Lucie Safarova who has been recovering from injury but her title win in Prague might be the confidence boost she needs. The tournaments in Madrid and Rome did not go to plan but Safarova was a very strong winner in the first two Rounds and she has previous of performing strongly in Paris.

There is also a feeling she likes the match up with Sam Stosur having won eleven of their previous fourteen matches including in the Final in Prague. Some of those matches have been competitive with both Safarova and Stosur owners of solid serves and being able to use that shot to set up the points for themselves, but ultimately Safarova has proved too good the majority of the time.

The lefty serve should give her an edge on the clay courts and she has to find a way to take the kicker out of Stosur’s weaponry, but I do think Safarova is going to be good enough to win this match. The chances might be limited in the match which means the pressure will be on the server at those moments and I do think Safarova will have the better of those chances as the more effective returner.

I can see this being a tight match with not a lot to separate the players, but I feel Safarova can find the two more breaks needed to help her through for a 64, 64 win and a place in the Fourth Round.

Tennis Handicap Betting Pick: Lucie Safarova – 3.5 Games at 2.05 with Pinnacle Sports

 

Svetlana Kuznetsova v Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova

This is an all-Russian encounter in the Third Round in Paris and it is Svetlana Kuznetsova who is favoured. I can’t argue with that considering the form that Kuznetsova has been showing while Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova has had a difficult season.

A former winner of the French Open, Kuznetsova has been showing some very strong form on the way to Roland Garros and many are tipping her as a dark horse for the title. It is an open tournament for the Women involved in Roland Garros, although beating Serena Williams is likely to be the key, something Kuznetsova has done already this season.

It won’t be an easy match against Pavlyuchenkova who has some power behind her and can be difficult to stop once she gets a roll behind her. The key for Kuznetsova is to get her opponent on the move where the consistency comes down and I think she is capable of doing that if she continues playing at the level she has been.

A strong head to head for Kuznetsova over Pavlyuchenkova should also keep her in this match mentally even when things are perhaps not going her way. All four of her wins from their five previous matches have come while covering this number and I think Kuznetsova is able to do that in this one.

Tennis Handicap Betting Pick: Svetlana Kuznetsova – 4.5 Games at 2.00 with Matchbook

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @DavAulak

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ATP French Open Tennis Handicap Betting Preview – Tuesday 24th May by @DavAulak

Federico Delbonis v Pablo Carreno Busta

Thanks to some of the withdrawals in the weeks leading up to Roland Garros, World Number 35 Federico Delbonis has been Seeded at the French Open. He might have hoped for an easier draw than Pablo Carreno Busta who is a very comfortable clay court player, but Delbonis has won all four previous matches against the Spaniard.

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In fact Delbonis has won all seven completed sets against Carreno Busta and has to be part of the reason he comes into this one as the favourite. Both players have had some very good results on the clay during the European swing over the last few weeks with Delbonis winning a title and Carreno Busta reaching the Final of an event himself.

There have been some disappointing results too, but both players might have headed into the French Open hoping for a decent run.

This is a tough draw for both players on the form that their opponents have been producing. I do think Delbonis’ left handed serve gives him a slight edge as well as the fact he has dominated Carreno Busta in the previous matches including earlier this season in Casablanca. I think that will help him come through this one in four sets and I like the chances of Delbonis being able to cover this number.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Federico Delbonis -2.5 Games @ 1.79 with Pinnacle Sports

 

Federico Delbonis

Federico Delbonis

Nicolas Almagro v Philipp Kohlschreiber

This looked like being one of the better matches in the First Round but the layers seem to be convinced that it is only going to go one way. Philipp Kohlschreiber is a fairly healthy favourite to see off Nicolas Almagro, but I am of the belief that the Spaniard can come through and get within this number.

It hasn’t been the best clay court season for Almagro, but he did win a title in Estoril. The consistency in his game is yet to return since his injury that curtailed 2015, but Almagro is a very strong clay court player and has to be considered a dangerous and live First Round opponent for the Seeded Kohlschreiber.

Kohlschreiber also had a title win over the last few weeks in Munich and reached the Semi Final in Barcelona. I thought the German might have been losing his way a little as the veteran has hit his 33rd year, but he has shown he is still very comfortable on the clay courts himself.

For me this looks a tight match that Almagro has a chance of winning outright, but certainly being able to keep competitive. It could easily be another that needs five sets to separate the players, while Almagro might take confidence from the fact he has won the last three matches on the clay courts between them, albeit a few years ago now.

If Almagro can bring his best form to the court, this should be a very entertaining First Round match and I will take the games here.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Nicolas Almagro +4.5 Games @ 1.83 with Eastbridge Sports Betting Brokerage

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @DavAulak.

 

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ATP French Open Tennis Handicap Betting Previews – Wed 3rd June by @DavAulak

Novak Djokovic v Rafael Nadal

This is the match that everyone would have been looking forward to when the draw was made a little under two weeks ago and it looks like the winner of the French Open will come from the winner of this Quarter Final.

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It is Rafael Nadal’s 29th birthday as he looks to hold back the Novak Djokovic tide at the French Open for the seventh time overall and the fourth year in a row. This is clearly the earliest that they have met over the last three years and Nadal has found a way to come through despite perhaps going into the French Open with some chinks in the armour.

Those look bigger than ever ahead of this Quarter Final despite the fact that Rafael Nadal has performed well over the first four Rounds of the tournament compared with the form he had coming into the event in Paris. The surprisingly tense Fourth Round win over Jack Sock once Nadal got into a strong position shows that he is still not completely convinced of his form and Novak Djokovic is the man to take advantage.

Djokovic has been calm and controlled through his first four matches and looks like a player who has destiny behind him to fulfil what has been a long dream. He is playing very well and knows exactly what to expect from Nadal although there is pressure on the World Number 1 who has never beaten the Spaniard at this Grand Slam.

I can imagine this Quarter Final will be tense at times, but Djokovic has all the tools needed to become just the second man to beat Nadal at Roland Garros. My heart is hoping for Nadal to win and complete his tenth title at the French Open, but my head says the World Number 1 is now in the perfect spot to come through with a 63, 63, 46, 64 win.

Tennis Handicap Betting Pick: Novak Djokovic -4.5 Games at 1.84 with Eastbridge Sports Betting Brokerage

 

ATP French Open Tennis Handicap Betting Previews – Wed 3rd June by @DavAulak

Novak Djokovic


Andy Murray v David Ferrer

Andy Murray might have a 9-6 head to head record against David Ferrer, but he has never beaten the Spaniard on a clay court and tries to reverse a 0-4 record against him on this surface. They meet for the first time at the French Open since 2012 when Ferrer was a four set winner at this stage of the tournament, but I think things will be different this time around.

Anyone who backed the outright picks at the start of the tournament will already be in a strong position backing David Ferrer at a bigger price to win this Quarter than what is offered for him to beat Murray in this Quarter Final. He has played well enough for the most part over the tournament to think he will present Murray a big challenge, but Andy Murray has never been more confident on this surface as he looks to continue his strong winning run.

Ferrer will make Murray work very hard throughout this match, but there have been signs that he is past his best with some disappointing losses over the European clay court season. The defeats to Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal, in competitive matches, are nothing to complain about, but Ferrer’s comfortable losses to Pablo Andujar and Kei Nishikori are more disappointing.

Andy Murray has played up to that kind of level to work Ferrer around and wear him down over four sets. He has to serve better than he has in the last couple of Rounds to make life easier, but that suggests to me that Ferrer can take a set on current form.

The way Ferrer played against Simone Bolelli in the middle of that Third Round match will be a concern and I think Murray is capable of winning one set by a wide margin. In a four set win, Murray should have enough to cover this spread barring a really poor set, but I think he will be focused to break his duck against David Ferrer on a clay court.

Tennis Handicap Betting Pick: Andy Murray -3.5 Games at 2.00 with Matchbook

Prices correct at the time of writing.

By @DavAulak

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