ATP Miami Open Tennis Handicap Betting Preview – Tue 29th March by @DavAulak

Gael Monfils v Grigor Dimitrov

His supporters will no doubt be thinking that Grigor Dimitrov is ready to get his 2016 season going after his win over Andy Murray in the Third Round. However there have been some false dawns in his performances already this season as the Bulgarian tries to forget the last twelve months which have been difficult to say the least.

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I think he would have hoped for a better match up than facing Gael Monfils who has won the three previous matches between the two. Monfils looks more focused than at any time in his professional career and that has resulted in more consistent results.

Whether it is the athleticism or the superior defensive skills, Monfils has enjoyed playing Dimitrov. His serve is also underrated which gives the Frenchman some easier points and I think he may surprise Dimitrov coming off a big win.

I say surprise but the layers have got things spot on for me in making Monfils a fairly strong favourite. I believed they might go with the bigger ‘name’ but I agree with the layers that Monfils is the favourite to progress and I will back him to do while covering this number.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Gael Monfils -1.5 Games @ 1.77 with UNIBET

 

Kei Nishikori

Kei Nishikori

Kei Nishikori v Roberto Bautista Agut

I really didn’t expect Roberto Bautista Agut to come through and beat Jo-Wilfried Tsonga. That belief would have been less so when he dropped the first set 62, but goes to show the confidence the Spaniard has off the back of a couple of title wins in 2016.

However he is going to have to dig mighty deep again if he is going to beat Kei Nishikori who has won all three previous matches. All three might have been tight in terms of sets played, but Nishikori has worn down Bautista Agut each time.

It is hard to see this one going much differently- Bautista Agut is surprising no one with what he brings to the court. Unfortunately this looks a match where everything he does is bettered by Nishikori and so it is hard to see how he wins the match.

Both players have a weakness when it comes to the serve, but Nishikori is more consistent, a better defender and has more of an ability to turn defence into attack. Those factors should make the difference and I expect Nishikori to continue his dominance of this head to head and come through 63, 76.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Kei Nishikori -3.5 Games @ 1.67 with 888 Sports

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @DavAulak.

 

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WTA Miami Open Tennis Handicap Betting Preview – Wed 23rd March by @DavAulak

Christina McHale v Misaki Doi

We might see Christine McHale lower down in the World Rankings than Misaki Doi, and the latter might have won the tournament in San Antonio last week, but I still think the American can come through this First Round match.

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McHale will have earned some confidence from her run at Indian Wells where she beat the likes of Caroline Garcia and Garbine Muguruza before coming up short against Sam Stosur. The two wins were very impressive and she will be well rested while Doi has to hope she has had enough time to prepare for another tournament off a title win.

 

Christina McHale

Christina McHale

It wasn’t a surprise that Doi decided to make the trip to San Antonio having been beaten in the First Round at Indian Wells. It wasn’t the deepest draw in Texas for Doi to deal with although she did have a couple of strong wins and that makes her dangerous.

However she has lost all four previous matches against McHale including a fairly straight-forward loss in Auckland earlier this season. The power of McHale has been a factor with her serve being difficult for Doi to handle, but the slower Miami courts might make sure that this is a closer match than the last one.

Even in saying that, I do think McHale will have the majority of the break points in this one and I can see her taking her chances to cover this number and book her place in the Second Round of another Premier Event.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Christina McHale -2.5 Games @ 1.84 with UNIBET

Prices correct at the time of writing.

By @DavAulak.

 

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ATP Miami Open Tennis Handicap Betting Preview – Wed 23rd March by @DavAulak

Vasek Pospisil v Diego Sebastian Schwartzman

It has been a pretty miserable 2016 for Vasek Pospisil on the Singles Tour although that has yet to reflect in a considerable drop in the World Rankings. He has done a lot of losing in the opening weeks of the season although it has to be said that the majority of his losses have come in matches he was ‘expected’ to lose.

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The Canadian has to bring a big serving day to the office if he is going to come through this First Round match against Diego Sebastian Schwartzman. The Argentinian had an early exit at Indian Wells, but he did play well in a Challenger tournament in Irving where Schwartzman beat someone as capable as Gilles Muller.

 

Vasek Pospisil

Vasek Pospisil

The conditions in Miami should suit Schwartzman as the slower hard court will give him a chance to play the match like a clay court. Obviously Miami is faster than the clay courts Schwartzman will usually play on, but this is a tournament where the ball won’t fly through the court and the ability that Schwartzman has to defend should help him make this very competitive.

However I do think Pospisil’s first serve is going to be a key for him as well as an ability to get to the net to prevent Schwartzman from simply chipping the ball back into play when under pressure. The way Pospisil has been playing makes it hard to believe he will win this in straight sets, but I do think he can get the better of Schwartzman who was beaten handily by Robin Haase in Indian Wells and I think the Canadian wins this one 63, 67, 64.

HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Vasek Pospisil -2.5 Games @ 1.94 with Matchbook

Prices correct at the time of writing.

By @DavAulak.

 

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