French Open Tennis Handicap Betting Preview – Sat 6th June by @DavAulak

Serena Williams v Lucie Safarova at 14:00

There are two major questions that need to be answered in the women’s Final at Roland Garros on Saturday. The first is how much has Serena Williams been able to recover from the illness that clearly affected her in the first set of her Semi Final win over Timea Bacsinszky?

The second is how well will Lucie Safarova deal with her first Grand Slam Final as a Singles competitor? She played well in her first Grand Slam Semi Final last year at Wimbledon before falling away against Petra Kvitova, but Safarova began nervously in her Semi Final against Ana Ivanovic.

One additional factor that is perhaps being underplayed is that Safarova was involved in the Doubles Semi Final with Bethanie Mattek-Sands on Friday and had to play three tough sets during the heart of the warm weather. Will that cause some fatigue to go with the inevitable nerves or will Safarova be able to keep control of her emotions both physically and mentally?

These are some tough questions to answer and we won’t really know how it will pan out until the match begins on Saturday. Serena Williams would be a big favourite in normal circumstances, but the layers are unsure about her fitness and that means she looks an attractive pick in the Final.

 

French Open Tennis Handicap Betting Preview – Sat 6th June by @DavAulak

Lucie Safarova

I really like Safarova she seems to be a nice person, but someone who is finally making use of all the weapons she has been afforded. She has served well through the tournament and straight set wins over Maria Sharapova, Garbine Muguruza and Ana Ivanovic is an impressive run of results. Of course Serena Williams is a level above all of those performers when at her best, but that is where the first question brings in the doubts.

Safarova is playing well enough to give Williams a lot of problems regardless of the health of the latter as long as she doesn’t let the occasion get to her. I’m not a fan of her being out in the Paris brutal heat for as long as she was in the Doubles Semi Final on Friday and Williams has found a way to break down Safarova with her additional power in past matches.

The way that Williams was serving in her match with Bacsinszky was also inspiring for those who think the American is going to win her 20th Grand Slam title and I do believe the day off might have helped Serena find the strength to win this match.

I can see it being a competitive Final, but I think Williams’ power has helped her out of some difficult spots and her experience is tough for Safarova to replicate. While there are factors we can’t possibly determine at the moment, I believe Williams might have come through her most difficult moments at Roland Garros and can win her second title in three years here in a tough 75, 63 win.

Tennis Handicap Pick: Serena Williams -3.5 Games at 1.81 with Eastbridge Sports Betting Brokerage

Price correct at the time of writing.

By @DavAulak

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Miami Open Tennis Handicap Betting Previews – Tue 31st Mar by @DavAulak

Kei Nishikori v David Goffin

Kei Nishikori was very happy with his performance against Victor Troicki on Monday as he dismissed the challenge of the Serb very easily and I think he will be a little too good for David Goffin too.

Goffin is a player that showed how good he can be during the summer months of 2014 but he has been a little inconsistent in the start of this season and even his run here in Miami, but Nishikori presents another level up in terms of competition.

Before this tournament, Goffin has been having a more difficult time and I think Nishikori is going to expose any doubts that may still be lingering in the Belgian player’s mind by getting a lot of balls back in play. Nishikori can also turn defence into attack very quickly and his speed around the court will force Goffin to go for a little more than he perhaps would like.

It could be a fun match to watch, but one I believe Nishikori comes through with a 63, 64 win.

Handicap Pick: Kei Nishikori -4.5 Games at 1.95 with Unibet

 

Miami Open Tennis Handicap Betting Previews – Tue 31st Mar by @DavAulak

Kei Nishikori

Venus Williams v Carla Suarez Navarro

I’ve spoken about my respect for Carla Suarez Navarro and the form she has produced on the tennis court over the last eighteen months and her three wins in Miami have been very good.

The Spaniard has become a regular name in the Quarter Finals, Semi Finals and Finals of tournaments through 2015, but I think she does hit the wall a little bit at this level and Venus Williams has been playing very well. Aside from her choke in the second set against Sam Stosur, Venus Williams has been very good this week too and I think she has a little more about her game which gives her the edge in this match.

Williams has to be at her best though as shown by the fact that four previous matches between these players have been split two apiece and the American has lost at least a set in three of those matches.

If Williams serves well, I think it will be tough for Suarez Navarro whose own serve continues to be the weakness that prevents her from really going all the way in tournaments. The key for the Spaniard will be to get into prolonged backhand to backhand exchanges, but Williams can get up to the net and has the power to perhaps overwhelm Suarez Navarro in a 63, 57, 64 win.

Handicap Pick: Venus Williams -2.5 Games at 1.93 with Matchbook

Prices correct at the time of writing.

By @DavAulak

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Euro 2016 Qualifying Asian Handicap Betting Preview – Sun 29th Mar by @SC457

Scotland v Gibraltar – Hampden Park at 17:00 live on Sky Sports 1

This match doesn’t ask the question who will win, rather by how many. Gibraltar were beaten by Poland and Republic of Ireland 7-0 and Scotland will be looking to inflict a similar scoreline on the minnows tonight at Hampden Park.

Scotland sit 3rd in Group D after an impressive start to qualification notching up 7 points from their first 4 matches. Only 4 points separate the top 4 teams, if it carries on this tight, goals could come in handy towards the end of the campaign. They started their campaign with a loss away to the World Cup winners but their second half performance would have given them confidence they can finish in the top 2 and qualify automatically. That defeat was followed up by a shaky 1-0 win at home to Georgia before earning a good point in Poland. Last time out in their group they took all 3 points at Hampden Park against the Republic of Ireland in what would have been a huge boost to Strachan’s men.

 

Euro 2016 Qualifying Asian Handicap Betting Preview - Sun 29th Mar by @SC457

Gordon Strachan

 

Sadly for Gibraltar, they haven’t experienced the same good start to the group, losing all 4 matches without scoring, conceding 21 goals in the process. They don’t stand a chance again this evening but it will certainly be a morale victory if they manage to score and limiting Scotland to as few as possible.

Not a lot of interest in this one at the time of writing in terms of prices for the Asian Handicap market. I would love to back the underdog for this one but I really can’t Gibraltar improving on their performances against Poland and Rep of Ireland so can’t back them even at odds against +4.5. Instead I will be backing the Scottish to cover the Asian Handicap.

Number of goals? Would have to back Over 5.5 at 2.38 if I was to get involved.

Asian Handicap Recommendation: Scotland -4.5 @ 1.85 with Eastbridge

 

Northern Ireland v Finland – Windsor Park at 17:00 live on Sky Sports 5

Northern Ireland come into this match after a 1-0 friendly loss to Scotland on Wednesday but their really isn’t too much to read into that. They do face a decent side in Finland and will have to play well if they are to take all 3 points and continue their good start to qualifying.

Michael O’Neill’s men would have surprised many with the way they have started their qualifying campaign sitting in second place taking 9 points from a possible 12. Their away win in Hungary kicked things off nicely before back to back 2-0 wins over the Faroe Islands at home, and away to previous European Champions, Greece. They did suffer a 2-0 loss in Romania in their last group match but will be looking to bounce back tonight at Windsor Park in what is a really important match.

Finland are 4th in the group, with 4 points from their first 4 matches. They started well, beating the Faroe Island 3-1 away from home, followed by a decent point in Greece but they have lost on their last 2 outings, away to Hungary and at home to current table toppers Romania. They will be looking to put them results behind them tonight with a good performance this evening.

This should be a really close match with the slight edge having to go to Northern Ireland being the home side. Bookies can’t seem to pick between the 2 and no real significant money has come for either as yet so maybe the punters are confused as well.

I’m going to stick my neck out a bit on this one and go with the form side. I don’t see many goals but I think Northern Ireland can nick it by the odd goal.

Asian Handicap Recommendation: Northern Ireland -0.25 @ 2.37 with Matchbook

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @SC457.

 

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