Southampton v Liverpool – St. Mary’s Stadium at 15:00
The Premier League is back, and after claiming 2/3 wins in my UFC 205 betting preview I am hoping to claim a win in my latest Asian Handicap betting recommendation as Southampton host Liverpool on Saturday at St. Mary’s.
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So far this campaign it has been hit and miss for the Saints, sitting tenth in the Premier League they have only won one of their last five matches. Furthermore, just before the international break Claude Puel’s team lost 2-1 to Hull City after holding a 1-0 lead away from home.
Their home form is a positive, on the other hand, considering they have only lost one game at St. Mary’s this season, and two of their last 15. Obviously home form is important, but then again if they want to be competing in Europe for another season they will need to improve on the road.
But again, I don’t think it is okay to state Europe is taking it’s toll mainly because Southampton are sitting top of their group and these are professional footballers. This is what their career is all about.
Yet, one concern I have is that Shane Long hasn’t been the same player from last season. Yes, injuries have been a problem, but considering he netted ten goals last campaign, he hasn’t been the same willing runner the Saints’ fans are used to seeing.
Furthermore seven players are out injured for the home side, and I look at their squad and wonder where their goals will come from? Yes they have Charlie Austin, but two of his five goals have come from the spot-kick. For me, I just think they lack that finishing touch.
What can you say about Liverpool? They are absolutely flying and have been scoring goals for fun in recently. I watched their recent match against Watford and I felt sorry for the Hornets; mainly because it was just attack after attack at the Kop. In the end, Liverpool won the game 6-1.
The Reds have only lost one game so far this season, and since that defeat in the second week Klopp has seemed stricter with the squad, but at the same time congratulate their success. I am looking forward to how he sets up at St. Mary’s against a squad with a solid home record.
There looks to be no real injury crisis for Liverpool, as only Danny Ings remains out, while Adam Lallana is still 50/50 on his return. However, I am looking forward to seeing the front three of Roberto Firmino, Coutinho and Sadio Mane put in a display on Saturday; scoring 16 goals between the three of them so far this campaign.
On top of this, Liverpool are not competing in Europe so they won’t have any said “distractions”. I also enjoy their 4-3-3 formation as the front three have a great chemistry, and change to a 4-2-4 when attacking which is difficult to defend against.
The last time these two sides met at St. Mary’s, Southampton walked away with a 3-2 win as Sadio Mane grabbed a brace (how they need him now). But overall, Liverpool has won three of their last five visits to the South of England. Yet, at St. Marys, it stands at 6-4 to the home team in their last ten meetings.
I really cannot look past Liverpool for this one. The international break went well for most of the players and I believe Klopp will expect more of the same this coming weekend. With Southampton, injuries are a massive problem and I just think the quality isn’t there to prevent Liverpool scoring against them.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Liverpool -0.50 at 2.14 with Pinnacle
Prices correct at time of writing.