Lille v Lyon Asian Handicap Betting Preview – Friday 18th November by @tashason21

Lille v Lyon – Stade Pierre-Mauroy at 19:45 live on BT Sport ESPN

Friday night, I will be focusing my Asian Handicap betting preview on the French Ligue 1 game between Lille and Lyon.

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Lille

Lille desperately need a win against Lyon, although it certainly won’t be easy. Les Dogues look a completely different side to the team that finished 5th in Ligue 1 last campaign and have had a terrible start to the new season. Lille are currently 18th in the league and therefore find themselves in the relegation zone.

The home side have lost 3 of their last 4 matches, all by a 1-0 margin and were most recently beaten by 10th placed Angers away from home.

On a more positive note, Lille’s home form is better than their away form as Les Dogues are yet to win a match away from the Stade Pierre-Mauroy in Ligue 1 this season. Lille have won 3 and lost 3 of their 6 home league games to date and will be hoping for another win on Friday.

A serious problem however is that Lille have one of the worst defences in the league and they’ve already conceded 18 goals in 12 league games. They will certainly have to brush up their defence if they are to beat Lyon, one of the best attacking sides in France.

Interestingly, Lille are undefeated in their last 9 home games against Lyon across all competitions. They have won 6 and drawn 3 games against their opponents.

Eder and Marcos Lopes are Lille’s top-scorers, although both have only scored 2 league goals this season.

 

Asian Handicap Betting

Eder

Lyon

Before the international break, Lyon beat 17th placed SC Bastia 2-1 at home. Despite their form slipping in the middle of October, Lyon are now back to winning ways and come into this game 3 matches unbeaten across all competitions.

The home side are tied on 19 points in the table, alongside Toulouse and Bordeaux and have moved up to 7th place in Ligue 1.

Lyon are a great attacking force and have scored 20 goals in just 12 games! Alexandre Lacazette is unsurprisingly Lyon’s top-scorer with 10 goals to his name after only 8 league appearances. This is an impressive stat considering he missed a month through injury back in September!

On the road Lyon have looked vulnerable however and they have only won 2 of their last 9 away fixtures across all competitions. This will certainly build some hope in the Lille camp, who are looking to avoid a third straight defeat.

Conclusion

This clash see’s the 4th best attacking side in Ligue 1 meet a team with one of the poorest defences, which should make an interesting watch! Taking this into account, surely there has to be goals in this match and therefore backing over 2.25 goals looks value at 1.93.

Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Over 2.25 goals @ 1.93 with Pinnacle

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @tashason21

 

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ATP World Tour Finals London Tennis Handicap Betting Preview – Tuesday 15th November By @DavAulak

Gael Monfils v Dominic Thiem

Both Dominic Thiem and Gael Monfils were beaten in their opening matches on Sunday, although the former showed more of the quality tennis that has taken him into the top eight this season. The problem for Thiem is that he has admitted some tiredness and the way he fell apart against Novak Djokovic, after taking the tiebreaker in the first set, has to be a concern.

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Having a day of rest will help Thiem, but the collapse has been something of a feature of his matches down the stretch in what has been a long season for him. He did win the Tie Break Tens competition in Austria, but the regular tennis points have been tough for Thiem and I am not sure he has a lot left in the tank for the remaining days of the 2016 season.

It hasn’t been plain sailing for Monfils either and I was little disappointed that he couldn’t produce more in his loss to Milos Raonic. The Frenchman has some solid results to end the 2016 season, but he has to show a little more tennis smarts to look for the win in this one, rather than entertaining the crowd.

That has been an issue for Monfils through his career, but he has looked more focused in 2016 and I think he can pick himself up from his opening loss. I don’t hold much hope for either of these players to make it through to the Semi Final, but I think Monfils can keep his chances alive for another couple of days by using his athleticism to wear down Thiem over the course of this match.

Thiem admitting he is feeling a little tired would be a worry and I think Monfils can continue the run of straight sets win in this tournament and I will back him to cover the games.

Tennis Handicap Betting Pick: Gael Monfils -1.5 Games at 1.92 with Pinnacle

 

Tennis Handicap Betting

Gael Monfils

Milos Raonic v Novak Djokovic

The favourites have been winning easily so far this week so backing against Novak Djokovic, who is desperate to finish the year with the World Number 1 Ranking, is perhaps a little foolhardy. That is probably even more so when you think that he has dominated Milos Raonic in their previous matches and would have covered this number in their previous two matches in 2016 and three in a row in their best of three contests.

That includes a win in the Paris Masters in 2014 for the loss of just five games, in what are similar conditions to those that the players will be facing in London.

However my reason is that Djokovic might be motivated this week, but he has also still got some issues that need to be resolved. There looks to be a couple of problems with his camp which came to the fore on Sunday, after dropping the first set while the Djokovic serve is still not working to the same level as it was a few months ago. Another problem has been the unforced errors that Djokovic has produced, which is considerably below what we expect from him and these are situations that Raonic can take advantage of.

I was concerned about the leg issue Raonic had and whether that would have an affect on his serve in the opening match. Those were set aside by a huge serving day and the Canadian has a big enough game to give Djokovic something to think about and this looks enough games for Raonic to at least produce the first really competitive match at the Tour Finals.

There is every chance we will need at least one tiebreaker in this one too and a strong serving display coupled with taking some of the chances Raonic gets to break serve, should see him within this number.

Tennis Handicap Betting Pick: Milos Raonic + 3.5 Games at 2.02 with 188BET

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @DavAulak.

 

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DP World Tour Championship 2016 Golf Betting Preview – Thursday 17th November by @herefordrich

DP World Tour Championship 2016 – Dubai at 07:00 live on Sky Sports 4

Last weeks golf

Another blank week I’m afraid as overall yearly ROI drops to +4%. Last year’s haul of +77% was always going to be very hard to match, so here’s hoping we can find a winner this week to ensure we stay in meaningful profit as 2016 draws to a close.

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Tournament History & Field

The DP World Tour Championship has been staged since 2009 ever since the European Tour changed it’s annual order of merit scheme to be known as the Race to Dubai. This is the third and final event of the final series and marks the conclusion to the 2016 European Tour season.

Four players are in with a chance of winning the pot of gold that is the 2016 Race to Dubai. Previous DP Tour champions Henrik Stenson and Rory McIlroy are joined by Masters winner Danny Willett and last weeks Nedbank winner Alex Noren as the quartet that can finish top of the tours annual money list if things go their way this week.

This is a reduced field of just 60 with no 36-hole cut and all the big names are here – the above four are ably supported by the likes of Thomas Pieters, Branden Grace, Rafa Cabrera-Bello, Sergio Garcia and Martin Kaymer.

 

The Course

Measuring in a touch under 7,700 yards, the Earth Course is a long layout that unsurprisingly suits the longer hitters. A par of 72 which includes the standard fare of four par 3’s and four par 5’s, the fairways at the Jumeirah Beach Dubai based course are generous and forgiving.

The greens are fast and undulating and many have run off areas that make getting up and down tricky when putting surfaces are missed.

Water is in play on five of the eighteen holes, including the dramatic closing two holes. The 17th is a par three island green whilst the 18th, a par five, has water in play from both the tee shot and the second/third shots – depending on whether or not you go for it in two shots.

The front nine contained the three hardest holes in 2016 (4th, 8th, 9th) as well as the two easiest (2nd and 7th) whilst the 620 yard closing hole mentioned above was by no means an easy birdie – averaging just 4.84 for the week – yet registering 33 bogeys or worse against just two eagles and 80 birdies.

 

Conditions

Hot and sunny as expected for Dubai, but be aware of a consistent 8-10mph breeze all week. Friday PM could see the winds blow 7mph faster than the AM – however with just 60 mean in the field, tee times will be much closer together than the average event.

 

DP World Tour Championship Recent Winners & Key Stats

2015 Rory McIlroy (-21) – DA 37 DD 1 GIR 4 PPGIR 4 Scrambles 8/12

2014 Henrik Stenson (-16) – DA 2 DD 2 GIR 4 PPGIR 19 Scrambles  6/12

2013 Henrik Stenson (-25) – DA 1 DD 7 GIR 1 PPGIR 10 Scrambles 3/4

2012 Rory McIlroy (-23) – DA 23 DD 3 GIR 25 PPGIR 1 Scrambles NA

 

Recommended Bets

Thomas Pieters 36/1 EW with Bet365

Team Europe’s leading points grabber in the Ryder Cup fits the bill for winning round the Earth course. Long off the tee, some previous course form (A T22 last year doesn’t sound great, but he opened with two 69’s) plus he’s won twice on tour this year. Last week in the Nedbank he finished down the leaderboard at T34, but two weeks before in China his top 20 finish in the HSBC really caught my eye. I’ve earmarked Pieters down for a long time to go well here and would have been happy to take anything over 33s for him. What better way to cap off a great year with a win here in Dubai?

 

Golf Betting

Thomas Pieters

Danny Willett 41/1 EW with Eastbridge Sports Betting Brokerage

It has been a quiet time really for the Augusta champion, though there were signs over rounds three and four at the Nedbank that Danny is finally springing back to life after a tough month or two. 13 birdies collected over the weekend on his way to a T11 announced to me that Willett is getting back to the form that saw him finish in the top five here last year. The Sheffield man will win the Race to Dubai with a first place finish here and I’m sure he’ll be going all guns blazing in the city in which he won the Dubai Desert Classic earlier this year.

 

Byeong Hun-An 34/1 EW with Bet365

Benny is long overdue another win after last summers tearaway victory round Wentworth in the BMW PGA. A T10 in Turkey last time out followed some nondescript performances across Asia over the past month or two, suggests the Korean wonderkid might be hitting top form once more. Ben An finished T4 here last year mainly thanks to middle rounds of 68 & 66 plus he also finished inside the top five in the Dubai Desert Classic this year.

 

Victor Dubuisson 90/1 EW with Bet365 (now 50s which is OK)

Enigmatic would be a kind word to describe Victor who is unpredictable in both his personality and golf demeanour week-to-week. At his best he is a a top-class tournament winner, including two final series event victories in Turkey. At his worst he is a grumpy ten handicapper, prone to withdrawing either before or half way through an event. His green in regulation stats in both Turkey and South Africa were superb – confirming his game is in good order right now. Victor also putted well last week, finishing T8 for PPGIR at the Nedbank. Course form here including a T13 and two top 5 finishes on the back of his T3 in the Nedbank last week leads me to believe that top-class Victor is back in town and he can certainly go well this week.

 

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @herefordrich.

 

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