NFL Week 8 Handicap Betting Preview – Monday 31st October by @DarkDyson
I got the show on the road last week, in the most bizarre circumstances I think I have ever seen in the NFL.
Seattle and Arizona played out an absorbing defensive encounter. Which the Cardinals will still be wondering how they failed to win.
However, the unusual site of a 6-6 tie between these two potential contenders was great news for me. Having back the Seahawks +2 at 1.88.
This week I am looking at the huge, prime time NFC East clash between the Cowboys and the Eagles.
Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys – AT&T Stadium at 00:30 live on Sky Sports 1
There is always some kind of drama going on down in Dallas. That is just the way owner Jerry Jones seems to like it.
When polarising veteran QB Tony Romo was ruled out for around 10 weeks in the Cowboys final pre-season game, it blew up the NFL news world. Seemingly taking the Cowboys chance of success this year with it.
Fast forward seven weeks and due to the calm, collected and hugely impressive performances of rookie QB Dak Prescott. Talk around the NFL is now all about, should Romo even be considered the number one QB anymore!
As a Bears fan, I would love to pick our starting QB from either Romo or Prescott!
As good as Prescott has been so far, their other rookie, RB Ezekiel Elliot has perhaps been even more impressive. He is on a run of four straight 100+ rushing games, including last week’s 157 yards against the top run defence in the league.
When you combine this with receiving threats Cole Beasley, Jason Witten and soon to return Dez Bryant. Not to mention a top three offensive line, you can see why Dallas are one of the best NFL offences.
The Eagles defence will clearly have their hands full on Sunday night (Monday AM for the UK).
The Eagles are another team that has benefitted from exceptional rookie QB play. Their number 2 overall pick in the 2016 draft, Carson Wentz has hit the ground (or air if you prefer) running.
Philadelphia got off to a flying start with three wins with their new franchise QB under centre and their defence playing well.
But, it seemed like the bye week took some of their momentum away, as they lost close games at Detroit and Washington.
However, they arrested the slide last week when hosting the then undefeated Minnesota Vikings. With Dallas threatening to run away with the division. The Eagles will be desperate to win this match but I don’t think they will.
So far this season the Eagles have played the Browns, Bears, Steelers, Lions, Redskins and Vikings.
These teams offensive rankings in terms of Yards per Game reads, 17, 16, 11, 18, 6 and 31, while the Cowboys are number 3.
These same five teams rank in terms of Points per Game are, 27, 32, 12, 11, 17 and 19, while the Cowboys are 7th.
The Eagles D are just not ready to handle this Dallas offence, especially in the AT&T stadium, but can they score enough points to balance it up?
Unfortunately, for young Wentz and his fans, the Philadelphia offence lacks a quality ground game, making them one dimensional.
Their leading rusher so far this season is Ryan Matthews, who has a pedestrian 262 yards so far this year!
So, they are forced to rely on the passing game, which is not that great either. They are ranked 29th in the NFL in terms of Yards per Game. However, that stat looks even worse when the Eagles are playing on the road, where both Chicago and Washington held them to under 200 passing yards.
Of course the game is much more than just yards gained, ask the Cardinals about that from last week.
Converting scoring chances into TDs in the Redzone, is what ultimately wins games and sadly the Eagles are not great at this either.
They have so far converted 50% of their RZ visits into TDs, which puts them 19th in the league. While Dallas are converting 65% of theirs. This puts the home team up, as the 7th best in the league for taking their chances to score TDs.
The line for this match is currently Cowboys -4.5. At an odds against price I am more than happy to back this. Plus, I would not put anyone off backing them on bigger lines as well, if you are feeling brave.
NFL Handicap Betting Pick: Dallas Cowboys -4.5 at 2.09 (Including OT) with Eastbridge
It has been awkward trying to recommend my RB Rushing Yards bets because the lines do tend to come out quite late. I will try and Tweet out the lines for my two favourite picks this weekend. Both these guys should get relatively low yard lines from books this week, so could be great options to get involved with.
Prices correct at the time of writing.