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NFL Week 8 Handicap Betting Preview – Monday 31st October by @DarkDyson

I got the show on the road last week, in the most bizarre circumstances I think I have ever seen in the NFL.

Seattle and Arizona played out an absorbing defensive encounter. Which the Cardinals will still be wondering how they failed to win.

However, the unusual site of a 6-6 tie between these two potential contenders was great news for me. Having back the Seahawks +2 at 1.88.

This week I am looking at the huge, prime time NFC East clash between the Cowboys and the Eagles.

 

Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys – AT&T Stadium at 00:30 live on Sky Sports 1

Dallas Cowboys…

There is always some kind of drama going on down in Dallas. That is just the way owner Jerry Jones seems to like it.

When polarising veteran QB Tony Romo was ruled out for around 10 weeks in the Cowboys final pre-season game, it blew up the NFL news world. Seemingly taking the Cowboys chance of success this year with it.

Fast forward seven weeks and due to the calm, collected and hugely impressive performances of rookie QB Dak Prescott. Talk around the NFL is now all about, should Romo even be considered the number one QB anymore!

As a Bears fan, I would love to pick our starting QB from either Romo or Prescott!

As good as Prescott has been so far, their other rookie, RB Ezekiel Elliot has perhaps been even more impressive. He is on a run of four straight 100+ rushing games, including last week’s 157 yards against the top run defence in the league.

When you combine this with receiving threats Cole Beasley, Jason Witten and soon to return Dez Bryant. Not to mention a top three offensive line, you can see why Dallas are one of the best NFL offences.

The Eagles defence will clearly have their hands full on Sunday night (Monday AM for the UK).

 

Dak Prescott

Philadelphia Eagles…

The Eagles are another team that has benefitted from exceptional rookie QB play. Their number 2 overall pick in the 2016 draft, Carson Wentz has hit the ground (or air if you prefer) running.

Philadelphia got off to a flying start with three wins with their new franchise QB under centre and their defence playing well.

But, it seemed like the bye week took some of their momentum away, as they lost close games at Detroit and Washington.

However, they arrested the slide last week when hosting the then undefeated Minnesota Vikings. With Dallas threatening to run away with the division. The Eagles will be desperate to win this match but I don’t think they will.

 

Match Up…

So far this season the Eagles have played the Browns, Bears, Steelers, Lions, Redskins and Vikings.

These teams offensive rankings in terms of Yards per Game reads, 17, 16, 11, 18, 6 and 31, while the Cowboys are number 3.

These same five teams rank in terms of Points per Game are, 27, 32, 12, 11, 17 and 19, while the Cowboys are 7th.

The Eagles D are just not ready to handle this Dallas offence, especially in the AT&T stadium, but can they score enough points to balance it up?

Unfortunately, for young Wentz and his fans, the Philadelphia offence lacks a quality ground game, making them one dimensional.

Their leading rusher so far this season is Ryan Matthews, who has a pedestrian 262 yards so far this year!

So, they are forced to rely on the passing game, which is not that great either. They are ranked 29th in the NFL in terms of Yards per Game. However, that stat looks even worse when the Eagles are playing on the road, where both Chicago and Washington held them to under 200 passing yards.

Of course the game is much more than just yards gained, ask the Cardinals about that from last week.

Converting scoring chances into TDs in the Redzone, is what ultimately wins games and sadly the Eagles are not great at this either.

They have so far converted 50% of their RZ visits into TDs, which puts them 19th in the league. While Dallas are converting 65% of theirs. This puts the home team up, as the 7th best in the league for taking their chances to score TDs.

The line for this match is currently Cowboys -4.5. At an odds against price I am more than happy to back this. Plus, I would not put anyone off backing them on bigger lines as well, if you are feeling brave.

 

NFL Handicap Betting Pick: Dallas Cowboys -4.5 at 2.09 (Including OT) with Eastbridge

It has been awkward trying to recommend my RB Rushing Yards bets because the lines do tend to come out quite late. I will try and Tweet out the lines for my two favourite picks this weekend. Both these guys should get relatively low yard lines from books this week, so could be great options to get involved with.

LaGarrette Blount

Spencer Ware

Prices correct at the time of writing.

By @DarkDyson

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NFL Week 7 Betting Preview – Monday 24th October by @DarkDyson

Last week’s pick looked dead and buried early, as the Panthers fell 21pts behind the Saints before half time!

At least Carolina made a game of it and came back to tie the game at 38-38 in the 4th quarter. But, ultimately they did not deserve to win and Will Lutz won it for the Saints, with a 52 yard field goal.

 

Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals – University of Phoenix Stadium at 01:30

This weekend I am previewing the big Sunday night (Monday morning for us) match up, between NFC West divisional rivals.

Pete Carroll’s Seahawks travel to Arizona, to take on Bruce Arians and his Cardinals. These are two of the best teams in football and it should be a great game to watch.

 

Arizona Cardinals…

The red birds have not started this season looking like the contenders that they were last year. They currently sit on a 3-3 record, if they lose this week, they will effectively be 3 games back in the division.

Although the .500 record does not look that bad on the face of it. The three teams they have beaten so far, have a combined record of just 4-13! Plus, the Cards also managed to lose at home against the low scoring LA Rams.

Seattle are a defence first team, perhaps the best D in the league right now, but they also have way more weapons on offence than the Rams.

 

Seattle Seahawks…

Seattle seem to revel in slow starts, as this season they struggled badly against Miami and LA, ending with a 1-1 record after two weeks.

However, over the following three weeks they were able to get back into their stride on offence. Facing the San Francisco 49ers, New York Jets and Atlanta Falcons, Russell Wilson’s offence has averaged an impressive 30 points.

They are not the strongest defences in the league, but it is not easy to score 30 points every week.

 

Pete Carroll

Match up…

Neither team has found their best form yet, but with Seattle’s defence as strong as their Super Bowl winning team. They are always going to be extremely hard to beat, even on the road and especially for the Cardinals.

In the past three seasons, the Seahawks have won in Arizona by 36-6, 35-6 and 34-22. With Arians team struggling to find a winning formula on offence, reversing this trend seems unlikely at best.

Arizona’s ground attack is one of the best in the NFL, powered by David Johnson they rank in the top 10 in most key rushing metrics.

Unfortunately for the Cardinals, the Seahawks rank in the top 3 for both Opp Yards per Rush and Opp Rush Yards per Game.

Carson Palmer and his passing attack has had to evolve this season, due to the regression of their deep passing threat.

The Seahawks famously won Super Bowl 48, thanks largely to their ‘Legion of Boom’ secondary and although the personnel has changed slightly, Richard Sherman and co are still one of the best secondary’s in football.

Add all this up and I think Seattle are a great bet to win on the road this weekend, plus they are getting two extra points on the spread, not that I think they will need them.

 

Handicap Betting Pick: Seattle Seahawks +2 at 1.88 (including OT) with Eastbridge Sports Betting Brokerage

A bit pushed for time this week, but I have highlighted a few player rushing yard props (line dependent) I like for this weekend below.

McCoy (if fit)

Murray

Ware

Jones

Prices correct at the time of writing.

By @DarkDyson

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