Ukraine v Poland – Stade Velodrome at 17:00 live on BBC Red Button
It’s the final group game for Poland as they take on Ukraine at the Stade Velodrome on Tuesday evening with a great chance of finishing top of Group C ahead of close rivals Germany, who will be facing on Northern Ireland.
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Ukraine head into this fixture looking unlikely to qualify for the round of 16 having lost their opening two matches, currently bottom of the group with a goal difference of minus four.
Mykhaylo Fomenko’s last match ending in a 2-0 defeat to Northern Ireland in Lyon; their star man Andriy Yarmolenko creating no real threat against the underdogs.
Heading into the tournament, the Yellow and Blues were looking in good shape having only lost one of their previous ten, with four wins on the bounce. But, considering they put up a good fight against Germany in the opening match of the campaign, they looked lacklustre in the second match against Northern Ireland and it cost them massively.
There are no injuries or suspensions within the Ukrainian squad heading into this final match.
Fomenko may be looking to change the team around mainly because there is nothing to lose, but also to give players who have been itching to impress a chance to have a run out. But he is likely to look towards their main outlets in Yarmolenko and Yevhen Konopylanka once again to cause most of the problems.
Poland, on the other hand, are sitting second in their group behind leaders Germany on goal difference having secured four points out of a possible six, and have already booked a spot in the round of 16.
Adam Nawalka’s last fixture finished in a 0-0 draw with Germany; Arek Milik missing a sitter in early stages of the second half.
Heading into this tournament, the White Eagles had only lost two of their last ten competitive matches, and are one of the top scorers in European qualifying netting 24 times. Their main outlet is Robert Lewandowski who has failed to find the net so far in this tournament, but give him a sniff at goal and he will make you pay.
There is only one injury within the squad as goalkeeper Wojciech Szczesny has been ruled out, with Lukas Fabianski coming in as his replacement.
Poland will need to play a full strength squad for this match, mainly because they will have a fairer game in the round of 16, but also with Germany playing a defensive Northern Ireland it could pay off to go for three points instead of one.
The last time these two sides faced each other Ukraine beat Poland 1-0 in 2013; Yarmolenko scoring and recording their third win against the Polish. Poland have only beaten Fomenko’s side once out of a possible six meetings; scoring six goals to Ukraine’s eight.
After backing Ukraine to do well in this tournament, they have disappointed and with a upbeat Poland team hungry for goals I would have to back Nawalka’s men to see of the Ukrainians and push on to the next round.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Poland -0.5 @ 2.00 with Eastbridge Sports Betting Brokerage
Prices correct at time of writing.