Petra Kvitova v Johanna Larsson – WTA Luxembourg
The WTA Finals are out of reach for Petra Kvitova but she will be heading to the WTA Elite tournament which is played a week after that event. The form has most definitely improved in the final weeks of the season which included a title win in Wuhan and Kvitova showed her mental strength by coming through her Second Round match after dropping the first set.
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This is a tough Quarter Final for Kvitova against Johanna Larsson who has a decent serve and that can pose problems.
The Swede has a great kicker, but Larsson can struggle to deal with the power that comes back and Kvitova has plenty of that for this match. They did play a tight match in Indian Wells earlier this season which was won by Kvitova in three sets, but it perhaps should have been easier as Kvitova had more than double the break points and won 44% of the points against the Larsson serve.
Similar numbers will make it difficult for Larsson to stay with Kvitova who looks to be in much stronger form now than she was back in March. While this does look a lot of games on the face of things, Kvitova has been dominating opponents in wins over the last month and I think she can wear down Larsson and record a 63, 63 win for a place in the Semi Final.
Tennis Handicap Betting Pick: Petra Kvitova -5.5 Games @ 1.79 with 888 Sport
Caroline Wozniacki v Monica Niculescu – WTA Luxembourg
Any talk of an impending retirement have been put to the back burner by Caroline Wozniacki’s recent form which has taken her back inside the top 20 in the World Rankings. The former World Number 1 is ending the 2016 with the kind of momentum that should give her confidence to take into the 2017 season and I think she looks strong for a position in the Semi Final in Luxembourg.
The Quarter Final match up against Monica Niculescu should be one that Wozniacki enjoys having beaten her in all seven previous matches on the main Tour. Wozniacki hasn’t dropped a set in those matches and she would have covered this number in all seven matches too as she can handle the variation that Niculescu brings to the court.
There are enough areas on the court where Niculescu will struggle to hurt Wozniacki and that has proven to be the case in the past. Even in defensive positions Wozniacki knows she can go to the forehand and it will almost neutralise her position and give her a chance to get back into the rally.
That is so important and Wozniacki should have enough success through this match to move through with a relatively straight-forward 63, 63 win. I thought the layers would have asked for Wozniacki to cover at least another game especially as Wozniacki is in very good form including winning the title in Hong Kong last week. I don’t mind though and will take the Danish player to cover on Thursday.
Tennis Handicap Betting Pick: Caroline Wozniacki -4.5 Games @ 1.73 Pinnacle
Prices correct at time of writing.