It’s the semi-finals of the WTA US Open. After a good tournament for @DavAulak so far, can he gain a few more Tennis Handicap Betting winners?
Serena Williams v Karolina Pliskova
There’s a big question for me to answer. That is whether Serena Williams has had enough time to recover from her Quarter Final win over Simona Halep. Serena has shown she has needed the day between matches to help her shoulder recover. Yet, she has stated it will not faze her to play back to back matches on Wednesday and Thursday.
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It was a tough win for Serena Williams over Halep. However, the match could have finished sooner if missed break points were scored in the second set. She did serve well against a solid returner like Halep and the serve is going to be a key shot in this Semi Final against Karolina Pliskova.
It’s still crazy to think Pliskova had never reached the Fourth Round of a Grand Slam tournament before the US Open. She had to dig incredibly deep to beat Venus Williams in that Fourth Round. But the question is if she is going to be able to serve big enough to beat Serena having been broken six times by the older sister.
Pliskova will also be facing different conditions playing in the evening session. It may take time to adjust to and even though she has been in incredible form, I think this is going to be a huge test for Pliskova. She will be under pressure from the Serena serve, while her own serve is a big weapon. Yet, against Venus she was on the ropes, but now faces the better returner in her sister.
If the shoulder is an issue this might be a close match. I think Serena Williams will be good for the win against Pliskova. Serena to win 6-3, 6-3.
TENNIS HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Serena Williams -5.5 Games @ 2.23 with Unibet
Angelique Kerber v Caroline Wozniacki
The dream Final for the US Open organisers has to be Serena Williams v. Angelique Kerber for the third time in four Grand Slam events in 2016. This time it wouldn’t just be for the great achievement of winning a Grand Slam title, but the winner of that match would also become World Number One.
The story would write for itself if that was the Final on Saturday. However, I think we are likely to get to that match after two great Semi Finals. The first Semi Final will have a lot of big winners and heavy shots drawing gasps from the crowd. Yet I reckon this one will entertain the fans in a different way, as the athleticism of both Kerber and Caroline Wozniacki will see a lot of special rallies put together.
The US Open fans have always loved Wozniacki for the fight she shows, and I think they will admire Kerber for the same. Wozniacki currently sits as the underdog and should the majority of the support in what has been a unexpected run to the Semi Final. There has not been a lot of form coming into the US Open, but Wozniacki has been at her battling best to come through the draw. However, things will be different in this one.
The majority of players Wozniacki has faced have been attacking players. Svetlana Kuznetsova and Madison Keys will go for their shots over and over, but Kerber is a smarter player. She is happy to rally and bide her time waiting for the right ball to attack.
Her own defensive skills will mean Wozniacki has to work very hard to break her down, and I am not surprised Kerber has the edge on the head to head. The former World Number 1 has the edge when it comes to the hard court matches, leading 5-4. Kerber has improved and the confidence is in a much stronger place. I mean, they go into this Semi Final winning a Grand Slam title and reaching the Final of another in 2016.
Kerber had been in stronger form over the summer. I think she has the opportunity to earn a few shorter balls from the serve which can provide all the difference in a tight match. Wozniacki will struggle to stay with Kerber the longer this goes on. Overall, I am expecting the World Number 2 to set up a Final with Serena Williams. Kerber to win 7-5, 6-4.
TENNIS HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Angelique Kerber -3.5 Games @ 1.86 with Pinnacle
Prices correct at time of writing.