Stan Wawrinka v Illya Marchenko
Going to match point down, but coming back to win the match and moving into the Fourth Round might be the key to Stan Wawrinka finding the momentum to win his third Grand Slam title. It was almost a huge upset as Wawrinka struggled to put away Daniel Evans from Great Britain, but he has had a day to get ready for this match with Illya Marchenko who was the beneficiary of Nick Kyrgios’ withdrawal from the tournament in the Third Round.
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This means Marchenko will be making a considerable move in the World Rankings, but he won’t want the tournament to end just yet. The Ukrainian might not have been able to ask for too many more favourable draws than the one he has negotiated to get into the Fourth Round and he will need to raise his levels significantly to beat Wawrinka.
It does have to be noted that Wawrinka has been faced with the tougher draw, but his win over Evans should have given him plenty of confidence. I am not a fan asking Wawrinka to cover big numbers in these Grand Slam events as he tends to be a little loose at times knowing he has the time to get back into matches, but I think he shouldn’t be put under immense pressure by the game Marchenko brings on the court.
Marchenko will allow Wawrinka to hit through the court and try to defend as much as possible, although that didn’t work in a one-sided loss when these players met at Indian Wells. It wasn’t the best of summers for Marchenko on the hard courts and I think Wawrinka might just have been given a chance to re-focus and I will make a rare decision to ask the Swiss player to cover what is a big number.
HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Stan Wawrinka -7.5 Games @ 1.90 with Bet365
Prices correct at time of writing.