ATP World Tour Finals Tennis Handicap Betting Preview – Thursday 17th November By @DavAulak

Novak Djokovic v David Goffin

No one can watch Novak Djokovic and say he is playing at his best, but he has been good enough to win this Group and I do think he is playing well enough to beat David Goffin. The alternate comes into the draw and only found out on Wednesday that he will be playing, but that isn’t reason enough to oppose him.

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Goffin is a solid player, but I still think the serve is something of an issue while playing in these conditions against someone like Djokovic. If he isn’t serving well it does give Djokovic the chance to get himself involved in the rallies and try and break down the Goffin game.

His movement is a strength, but that might not be as helpful on a faster court in London this year, although there are questions as to how much Djokovic can keep his unforced errors in check. The last few months have seen Djokovic miss far more shots than he was when dominating the rest of the ATP Tour and giving up free points to Goffin is going to be a problem in this match, although Djokovic should still have a considerable edge in the game.

I am not convinced Djokovic is serving as well as he would have wanted in this tournament, but I can see an entertaining match swing his way more often than not. David Goffin has suffered some one-sided losses over the last few weeks as he fell short of making it into the top eight, but he is a flashy player and can help entertain the crowd, although I expect he eventually falls 6-4, 6-3.

Tennis Handicap Betting Pick: Novak Djokovic – 4.5 Games @ 1.61 with 888 Sport

 

Tennis Handicap Betting

Novak Djokovic

Milos Raonic v Dominic Thiem

Milos Raonic might not have had a better chance to beat Novak Djokovic than he had in their Group match a couple of days ago, but he has to be encouraged about his chances to move through to the Semi Finals. It is a winner takes all match with Dominic Thiem, but I give the Canadian enough of an edge to come through in straight sets.

It was a straight sets win for Raonic when these players met in Cincinnati a few months ago and that was down to the Canadian dominating the Thiem second serve. I do think the Austrian is an improving player, but he definitely needs to work on the second serve which brings a lot of double faults and also allows players to go on the attack and force mistakes from a player who does take big swings of the racquet and can mess up the timing when the ball is on him very quickly.

There is also the added factor of fatigue as Thiem is coming in at the end of a long season where he clearly was slowing down at the end of the 2016 season. There have been some heavy losses as Thiem has found it hard to stay in the moment in matches, with mistakes coming thick and fast as the matches progress.

Thiem is capable of playing some really good tennis for some time, but that tiredness begins to set in and we have seen him lose sets by 6-0, 6-1, and 6-2 scores already this week. The pressure Raonic will put on him with his big serve and being able to come through service games a little easier will build on Thiem and the mistakes may begin to come too quickly for the Austrian to stay in the match.

Of course there is nothing left for Thiem this season so he can give his full effort here, but I am not convinced there is enough left in the tank. I can see Raonic coming through with a 7-5, 6-3 win as Thiem perhaps falls away in this one and the Canadian can move through to the Semi Final along with Novak Djokovic.

Tennis Handicap Betting Pick: Milos Raonic – 3.5 Games at 2.01 with Pinnacle

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @DavAulak.

 

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Watford v Leicester Asian Handicap Betting Preview – Saturday 19th November by @tashason21

Watford v Leicester – Vicarage Road at 15:00

My latest Asian Handicap betting preview covers Saturday’s Premier League game between Watford and Leicester.

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Watford

Before the international break, Watford were thrashed 6-1 by Liverpool at Anfield, with Daryl Janmaat scoring the only Watford goal.

Prior to their defeat against The Reds however, Watford had been in good form and were 4 matches unbeaten in the Premier League.

The Hornets drew against Bournemouth (2-2) and Swansea (0-0), as well as beating Middlesbrough (1-0) and Hull City (1-0), which saw them move as high as 7th in the Premier League table.

Watford’s defeat against Liverpool saw them drop down to 8th, but overall Watford have made an impressive start to their campaign.

Against Leicester, Watford will be missing defender Jose Holebas, who is serving a 1 match suspension after picking up his 5th yellow card at Anfield. This will come as disappointing news for the home side, as Holebas has been a crucial part of the defence that has helped Watford keep 3 clean sheets in their last 4 matches.

There is also concern over goalkeeper Heurelho Gomes, who is currently being assessed relating to fluid on his knee.

Striker Troy Deeney will be in search of his 100th goal fro the club and he’ll be one to watch on Saturday, although he hasn’t scored in his last 4 games.

 

Asian Handicap Betting Preview

Troy Deeney

Leicester

Premier League Champions Leicester City are finding this season a lot tougher than their last, which comes as no surprise really.

It was almost impossible for Leicester to replicate the heroics of last campaign and Ranieri’s men are still in search of their first Premier League win away from the King Power Stadium..

Before the international break, The Foxes suffered a 2-1 defeat at home to West Brom. Leicester haven’t won in 3 games across all competitions and they’ve already lost more matches this campaign, than their entire 2015/16 season.

Ranieri’s side are currently 14th in the Premier League table and they’re only 2 points above the relegation zone! A win against Watford is therefore a must!

Despite their struggles in the Premier League, Leicester are going beyond expectations in the Champions League and they are yet to lose a single game, winning 3 and drawing 1 of their 4 matches to date.

Mahrez and Vardy need to find their form again, as they’ve only scored 3 Premier League goals between them this season. Vardy would have been boosted by his goal that he scored mid-week for England against Spain however, which ended a run of 14 games without finding the net.

Conclusion

I think this game will be close, but Leicester need to improve on the basis of recent displays in order to beat Watford at home. The Hornets are 3 games unbeaten at Vicarage Road and only 2 Premier League sides have beaten them at home this season – Arsenal and Chelsea. Therefore, I recommend backing Watford draw no bet, which looks value at 2.08.

Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Watford +/-0 (Draw No Bet) at 2.08 with BetVictor

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @tashason21.

 

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NBA Handicap Betting Preview – Thursday 17th November by @DavAulak

New Orleans Pelicans @ Orlando Magic

The New Orleans Pelicans have to be one of the poorer rosters in the NBA with the injuries they are having to contend with, but they have begun to show some fight in recent games. Anthony Davis is one of the best players in the NBA, but he has lacked support for most of the season, although the fact they have won two of their last three games suggests the Pelicans are finding some chemistry.

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Although I accept New Orleans are not a great team at this moment, I don’t think Orlando Magic should be favoured to beat anyone by as many points as these, as they have been offensively challenged. Three times in their last five games the Magic have scored 80 points or fewer and that is not going to get it done against any team in the NBA.

There have been some positives about the defensive side of the court, but the Pelicans will feel they can have some joy in this one, considering they have scored 94 points or more in six straight games. New Orleans should be able to have an edge when it comes to the battle for rebounds, while their bench have been playing pretty well in recent games.

The concern for the Pelicans is the lack of defense at the three point arc, which has seen teams hurt them. However they won’t believe Orlando can take full advantage of that and the Magic are 0-2 against the spread, when being favoured by 3.5 points or fewer this season. Frank Vogel has admitted there is a lot of work to do for Orlando after another poor performance in the loss to the Pacers and this feels too many points for them to give up.

Handicap Betting Recommendation: New Orleans Pelicans +3.5 Points at 1.98 with 888 Sport

 

Handicap Betting

Evan Fournier

Houston Rockets @ Oklahoma City Thunder

Both the Houston Rockets and the Oklahoma City Thunder have six wins this season and have winning records, but there is a different feel for both teams coming into this one. While the Rockets have won three of their last four games to move to 6-4, the Oklahoma City Thunder have dropped four in a row to fall to 6-5 and the absence of Kevin Durant is becoming more noticeable.

There was little doubt the Thunder would feel the loss of one of the best players in the NBA, but Russell Westbrook’s energy helped them make a fast start which perhaps raised hopes. Now it feels like they have come back down to earth as teams key in on Westbrook and see if someone else on this roster can beat them.

Aside from the blow out in Detroit, the Thunder have had some close losses which will keep them believing, but they would dearly love a big win over a rival like Houston. James Harden was the first member of the Thunder that surprisingly moved on, although his departure looks worse in hindsight as he was a Sixth Man of the Year with Oklahoma City rather than a starter. He has been on a tear since moving to Houston and Harden has been in fine form to open the season, which makes his match up with Westbrook intriguing to say the least.

The difference is that Harden does receive some solid support from this team mates and the Rockets are also defensively better than the numbers, particularly slowing down the three point shot. That is likely to be a big part of this game with the Thunder a little more susceptible to the deep shot and that can be a big reason why they fail to stay with the Rockets.

Both teams would like to look after the ball better, but I think Harden and his team mates offer more offensively, which can be key in a high scoring game. The Rockets are 6-0 against the spread against Oklahoma City and they are 2-1 against the spread when given 2.5 points or fewer this season. I will take the points again here.

Handicap Betting Recommendation: Houston Rockets +2 Points at 1.97 with Pinnacle

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @DavAulak.

 

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