A successful US Open so far for Tennis Handicap Betting expert @DavAulak and he has a couple more value bets for today’s Men’s quarter finals.
Andy Murray v Kei Nishikori
I really took my time analysing this Quarter Final match and I was surprised the layers were as keen on the Andy Murray win as I am. It was a shame that Murray was so good against Grigor Dimitrov which might have influenced that, although the bigger factor may have been the strong record Murray has against Kei Nishikori.
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This has been the tournament where Nishikori has had his best result though which encouraged me to think he can at least take a set in this one. However Nishikori has found it difficult to compete with Andy Murray which has resulted in four straight losses to the World Number 2 as well as losing three of those matches in relatively straight-forward fashion.
I can see why Murray has a dominant record against Nishikori- the British player possesses a far more threatening first serve which gives him a few more cheap points, while I think Murray is physically stronger than Nishikori. This allows him to outlast Nishikori in the longer, grinding rallies and I also believe Murray is going to work his way to many more break points which he should be taking on current form.
I did think this was a lot of games for Murray to cover if Nishikori brings in the form that took him to the Final at the US Open in 2014. However he has not been able to produce that level for long enough against Murray and I can see the latter getting over this number even if he is pushed to four sets because I think the World Number 2 will win at least one set with a 6-1 or 6-2 scoreline to start making a big dent in the number.
TENNIS HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Andy Murray -6.5 Games @ 1.74 with Unibet
Juan Martin Del Potro v Stan Wawrinka
It is no surprise that the organisers have placed this men’s Quarter Final as part of the night session on Wednesday as it looked the best of the four in this year’s US Open. I might be biased as a big Juan Martin Del Potro fan, but I think most would have been so happy to see him getting back to his best, while we all know what kind of tennis Stan Wawrinka can produce when feeling the ball coming off his racquet.
Their match at Wimbledon a couple of months ago was very intriguing, but this one has a lot more attached to it with a prize of reaching the Semi Final for the winner. Del Potro has admitted he has surprised himself that he has been able to reach this Round of only his second Grand Slam back from an injury which has limited the tennis he has played in the last few years.
However this run has been less of a surprise for his fans as Del Potro looked close to his best in beating Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal at the Olympic Games. Del Potro gave Andy Murray all he could handle in the Gold Medal match and he will be feeling very confident that he can see off the two time Grand Slam winner Stan Wawrinka.
I can only foresee a match with plenty of big time tennis and winners being shot around the court, but I do think Wawrinka has invested a lot of energy to get into the Quarter Final. A niggling back issue prior to the tournament won’t have been helped and Wawrinka has played some loose service games which will lead to punishment against someone serving as well as Del Potro is.
We have all seen Wawrinka raise his game at the business end of tournaments, but I don’t know if there is enough in the tank to do that against an opponent he has lost to four times in a row including at Wimbledon a couple of months ago. The way Del Potro has been playing means his confidence is in a strong place and he did benefit from a shortened Fourth Round match and I think The Tower of Tandil moves through in three or four sets.
TENNIS HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Juan Martin Del Potro -1.5 Sets @ 2.29 with 188bet
Prices correct at time of writing.