Tennis handicap betting expert @DavAulak previews Wednesday’s two WTA US Open quarter finals and shares his value bets.
Ana Konjuh v Karolina Pliskova
There are over eighty places in the World Rankings between Karolina Pliskova and Ana Konjuh, but both will be dealing with nerves in this Quarter Final. It won’t surprise to hear this is the first Quarter Final for Konjuh after coming through her first ever Fourth Round match in a Grand Slam, but it is more surprising to think the last Round was the furthest Number 11 in the World Rankings Pliskova had been in a Grand Slam match.
[expand title=”Read More…” swaptitle=”Hide” trigpos=”below” rel=”star-highlander” ]
Her win over Venus Williams will only have filled the confidence meter even more for Pliskova who has a big game that should be well suited to these courts. The serve is a big weapon and she does follow that up with a heavy forehand, but Pliskova has to be feeling the nerves in a match she will be expected to win.
That will only increase the nerves and pressure that is going to be on Pliskova’s shoulders, but it is still up to Konjuh to make life difficult for her opponent. She is very young and even though Konjuh has been tipped for plenty of success in her career, dealing with Grand Slam Quarter Final nerves comes with experience.
The win over Agnieszka Radwanska was impressive from Konjuh, but this is a different match up with plenty of firepower on the other side of the court. There hasn’t been a lot to suggest this run was in the offing for Konjuh, but I think the youngster can produce enough big shots to make this a competitive affair, while I will also look for Pliskova to perhaps allow her nerves to betray her on occasion as she is forced to dig deep into a third set to get the job done and book her place in the Semi Final.
TENNIS HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Ana Konjuh +3.5 Games @ 2.05 with Eastbridge Sports Betting Brokerage
Serena Williams v Simona Halep
This might be the biggest test that Serena Williams will have faced in Flushing Meadows so far, but she is making light work of all opponents thanks to an incredible serve which has been dominant. It is hard to imagine players on the men’s side of the draw and some of the monster serves in that draw going through four matches without facing more than a solitary break point.
How do you beat Serena Williams if you are barely denting the serve? Someone like Simona Halep may feel she has the best return of all the players Serena has played so far and will look to use her movement around the court to retrieve as many balls as possible, but the first four matches has shown a Serena who is very confident in her abilities to win her twenty-third Singles Grand Slam title.
It has been a very productive summer for Simona Halep and she has played well this week, but her serve is not going to provide as many cheap points as Serena Williams’ serve will. She is going to have to work hard to stay with Williams, but the heavy hitting will eventually penetrate her defences and that means trying to fend off break points knowing you won’t have too many chances to break yourself.
That pressure builds mentally and I think Halep will do well to keep this one close. They have had some competitive matches over the last two years and Halep has been in strong form having won the title in Montreal and reached the Semi Final in Cincinnati. However Serena Williams has been at the top of her game all week, is serving tremendously well and has the power to hurt Halep and I expect her to come through with a 63, 64 win in this one.
TENNIS HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Serena Williams -4.5 Games @ 1.77 with Pinnacle
Prices correct at time of writing.