India v New Zealand, 3rd ODI – Punjab Cricket Association Stadium at 09:00 live on Sky Sports 3
After three Test match defeats and a loss in the 1st ODI up at Dharamsala, the touring New Zealand side finally tasted victory during Thursday’s humdinger of a 2nd ODI at Delhi. Defending 242, Kane Williamson’s side showed the street fight of old to register a narrow 6-run win to level up the five match series at one all.
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MS Dhoni’s India were struggling in the chase before a fine ninth wicket partnership between Hardik Pandya and Umesh Yyadav looked to be breaking New Zealand hearts once more. Two late wickets from the experienced Tim Southee and Tim Boult sealed the deal for the visitors, winning by a single hit with just three balls left.
The sides stay north as the 3rd ODI takes place on Sunday in Mohali. With such a tight turnaround between matches, can India wrestle back the initiative that the Black Caps appear to have stolen?
This is late summer in Chandigarh and conditions look to be sunny with temperatures peaking around the 32c mark. Dew could again be a factor in the 2nd innings for the spinners under lights. New Zealand coped admirably in Delhi with a slippy, wet ball.
This is the first ODI held at PCA ground in Mohalli since 2013. Here are the last 5 first innings scores made here –
303, 257, 298, 260, 275 – Average 278
First Innings Runs
India have only batted first in 5 of the last 15 ODI’s they have played, and batted second in the last seven. Here are those last 5 scores when batting first –
295, 308, 309, 299, 247 – Average 291
New Zealand on the other hand have batted first in all their last 5. Here are those scores –
242, 190, 246, 281, 307 – Average 253
India are still led in one day cricket by MS Dhoni who leads his side out in his 281st ODI. With injuries to Shikhar Dhawan and Suresh Raina, this is a slightly experimental home side top order, although it is still pretty experienced in white ball cricket. Rohit Sharma leads the way with his ten centuries in 144 knocks in this format, whilst opening partner Ajinkya Rahane still has plenty to prove in this format. In Delhi his pedestrian 28 from 49 balls adds fuel to his critics that say his game isn’t dynamic enough for ODI’s. Virat Kohli is an animal in all formats, but particularly in 50 over cricket, where he averages 51.8 with a SR of 90. Manish Pandey will be playing just his 7th ODI and will be disappointed with getting two starts (19 & 17) in the opening two games. Dhoni himself got out at Delhi to a brilliant caught and bowled just when his side were looking set to chase the target with relative ease whilst all-rounders Kedar Jadhav and Axar Patel add balance to the lower middle order. Pandya (below) looks a real talent whilst seamers Umesh Yadav and Jasprit Bumrah could enjoy the conditions in Mohali. Amit Mishra has surprisngly still only played 33 ODI’s despite making his debut thirteen years ago. 55 wickets at less than 5 runs an over suggests he should be playing more.
Tom Latham will open up alongside Guptill (below) and will look to continue his fine form in the ODI series to date in which he’s scored 125 runs with just one dismissal – Latham carried his bat in the 1st ODI – one of a handful of batsman to do so in ODI history. Captain Williamson looked back to his best in Delhi after a quiet Test series, scoring 118 – nearly half his sides total of 242. Ross Taylor plodded his way to a 42 ball 21 which summed up his lack of rhythm and form which has been an issue all tour. His recent scores in international cricket read a sorry 1, 0, 41, 0, 17, 36, 4, 0, 32, 0, 21. Corey Anderson has returned from a long lay-off but remains unfit to bowl, whilst wicket-keeper Luke Ronchi has scored just 6 runs in his two series innings. All-rounder Mitchell Santner has an economy of just 4.2 off his series bowling and has a career batting SR of 102. Fellow left arm spinner Anton Devcich is likely to miss out as he suffered with cramps in Delhi and might be replaced by Doug Bracewell or Jimmy Neesham, given the pitch is likely to be more seam than spin friendly. Trent Boult and Tim Southee held their nerve impressively at Delhi – the pair have a combined 199 ODI wickets.
Ones to Watch
This is Hardik Pandya‘s debut ODI series, but he’s already played 16 T20I’s for India and therefore looks at home. 3/31 at Dharamsala with the ball and a near match-winning 36 off 32 balls at Delhi has shown the all-round abilities of the 23 year-old. Expect him to bat further up the order as this series progresses – he looks wasted down at number eight.
Martin Guptill is a brilliant ODI batsman who, post Brendon McCullum, is key to New Zealand‘s hopes of registering the big scores needed on flatter ODI surfaces. A horrid run of form, briefly broken up by a 72 in Indore, includes a duck in the Delhi win. Two unexpected wickets in his one over bowled on Thursday might be just the spark needed to reignite Guptill’s form with the bat – he has a career average of 42.5 and a SR of 86 – all over 131 matches in this format.
If India bat first I recommend backing any OVER RUNS around the 280-285 mark.
If New Zealand bat first I recommend backing any UNDER RUNS around the 280-285 mark.
Top Batsman Market
Virat Kohali is a low price – there is a reason – not only is Kohali world class, he’s also playing in a side with a number of players out of form. Back him to top score here for India at 3.75.
With questions marks over Guptill, Taylor and Anderson’s form, this looks a shoot out between Williamson (3.75) and Luke Ronchi. Let’s take the wicket-keeper to smack us a few late order runs at 10.0 for New Zealand.
Prices correct at time of writing.