India v New Zealand Cricket Betting Preview – Sunday 23rd October By @herefordrich

India v New Zealand, 3rd ODI – Punjab Cricket Association Stadium at 09:00 live on Sky Sports 3

The Scene

After three Test match defeats and a loss in the 1st ODI up at Dharamsala, the touring New Zealand side finally tasted victory during Thursday’s humdinger of a 2nd ODI at Delhi. Defending 242, Kane Williamson’s side showed the street fight of old to register a narrow 6-run win to level up the five match series at one all.

[expand title=”Read More…” swaptitle=”Hide” trigpos=”below” rel=”star-highlander” ]

MS Dhoni’s India were struggling in the chase before a fine ninth wicket partnership between Hardik Pandya and Umesh Yyadav looked to be breaking New Zealand hearts once more. Two late wickets from the experienced Tim Southee and Tim Boult sealed the deal for the visitors, winning by a single hit with just three balls left.

The sides stay north as the 3rd ODI takes place on Sunday in Mohali. With such a tight turnaround between matches, can India wrestle back the initiative that the Black Caps appear to have stolen?

Conditions

This is late summer in Chandigarh and conditions look to be sunny with temperatures peaking around the 32c mark. Dew could again be a factor in the 2nd innings for the spinners under lights. New Zealand coped admirably in Delhi with a slippy, wet ball.

The Venue

This is the first ODI held at PCA ground in Mohalli since 2013. Here are the last 5 first innings scores made here –

303, 257, 298, 260, 275 – Average 278

First Innings Runs

India have only batted first in 5 of the last 15 ODI’s they have played, and batted second in the last seven. Here are those last 5 scores when batting first –

295, 308, 309, 299, 247 – Average 291

New Zealand on the other hand have batted first in all their last 5. Here are those scores –

242, 190, 246, 281, 307 – Average 253

Teams

India are still led in one day cricket by MS Dhoni who leads his side out in his 281st ODI. With injuries to Shikhar Dhawan and Suresh Raina, this is a slightly experimental home side top order, although it is still pretty experienced in white ball cricket. Rohit Sharma leads the way with his ten centuries in 144 knocks in this format, whilst opening partner Ajinkya Rahane still has plenty to prove in this format. In Delhi his pedestrian 28 from 49 balls adds fuel to his critics that say his game isn’t dynamic enough for ODI’s. Virat Kohli is an animal in all formats, but particularly in 50 over cricket, where he averages 51.8 with a SR of 90. Manish Pandey will be playing just his 7th ODI and will be disappointed with getting two starts (19 & 17) in the opening two games. Dhoni himself got out at Delhi to a brilliant caught and bowled just when his side were looking set to chase the target with relative ease whilst all-rounders Kedar Jadhav and Axar Patel add balance to the lower middle order. Pandya (below) looks a real talent whilst seamers Umesh Yadav and Jasprit Bumrah could enjoy the conditions in Mohali. Amit Mishra has surprisngly still only played 33 ODI’s despite making his debut thirteen years ago. 55 wickets at less than 5 runs an over suggests he should be playing more.

Tom Latham will open up alongside Guptill (below) and will look to continue his fine form in the ODI series to date in which he’s scored 125 runs with just one dismissal – Latham carried his bat in the 1st ODI – one of a handful of batsman to do so in ODI history. Captain Williamson looked back to his best in Delhi after a quiet Test series, scoring 118 – nearly half his sides total of 242. Ross Taylor plodded his way to a 42 ball 21 which summed up his lack of rhythm and form which has been an issue all tour. His recent scores in international cricket read a sorry 1, 0, 41, 0, 17, 36, 4, 0, 32, 0, 21. Corey Anderson has returned from a long lay-off but remains unfit to bowl, whilst wicket-keeper Luke Ronchi has scored just 6 runs in his two series innings. All-rounder Mitchell Santner has an economy of just 4.2 off his series bowling and has a career batting SR of 102. Fellow left arm spinner Anton Devcich is likely to miss out as he suffered with cramps in Delhi and might be replaced by Doug Bracewell or Jimmy Neesham, given the pitch is likely to be more seam than spin friendly. Trent Boult and Tim Southee held their nerve impressively at Delhi – the pair have a combined 199 ODI wickets.

Ones to Watch

This is Hardik Pandya‘s debut ODI series, but he’s already played 16 T20I’s for India and therefore looks at home. 3/31 at Dharamsala with the ball and a near match-winning 36 off 32 balls at Delhi has shown the all-round abilities of the 23 year-old. Expect him to bat further up the order as this series progresses – he looks wasted down at number eight.

Martin Guptill is a brilliant ODI batsman who, post Brendon McCullum, is key to New Zealand‘s hopes of registering the big scores needed on flatter ODI surfaces. A horrid run of form, briefly broken up by a 72 in Indore, includes a duck in the Delhi win. Two unexpected wickets in his one over bowled on Thursday might be just the spark needed to reignite Guptill’s form with the bat – he has a career average of 42.5 and a SR of 86 – all over 131 matches in this format.

 

Cricket Betting

Martin Guptill

Runs Markets

If India bat first I recommend backing any OVER RUNS around the 280-285 mark.

If New Zealand bat first I recommend backing any UNDER RUNS around the 280-285 mark.

Top Batsman Market

Virat Kohali is a low price – there is a reason – not only is Kohali world class, he’s also playing in a side with a number of players out of form. Back him to top score here for India at 3.75.

With questions marks over Guptill, Taylor and Anderson’s form, this looks a shoot out between Williamson (3.75) and Luke Ronchi. Let’s take the wicket-keeper to smack us a few late order runs at 10.0 for New Zealand.

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @herefordrich.

[/expand]

Bangladesh v England Cricket Betting Preview – Friday 7th October by @herefordrich

Bangladesh v England, 1st ODI, Sher-e-Bangla at 9:00am live on Sky Sports 2

The Scene

It came as a surprise to many that England‘s head of security, Reg Dickason, gave the thumbs up for this tour to Bangladesh to go ahead. After a terror attack on a Dhaka café frequented by Westerners in July, the general feeling was England would follow in the path of the Australian board who saw it too much of a risk to send any of their teams to Bangladesh earlier this year.

[expand title=”Read More…” swaptitle=”Hide” trigpos=”below” rel=”star-highlander” ]

Still, the show it seems must go on – thanks to presidential security involving road blocks, armed guards and snipers on roofs – as England arrive for a whistle-stop tour of three ODI’s and two Test matches before departing for India next month.

They will be without their ODI captain Eoin Morgan and star opening batsman Alex Hales, who decided the tour be too risky, ‘disappointing’ chief supremo Andrew Strauss who had previously given his assurances that anyone skipping the tour wouldn’t have it held against them in future.

The hosts have improved greatly over the past twelve months in ODI’s but Mashrafe Mortaza’s side could only scrape past associates Afghanistan 2-1 last week. Meanwhile Jos Buttler leads the visitors in Morgan’s self-imposed absence. How England cope with being cooped up in their hotel rooms might be just as important as dealing with the slow, low pitches likely to be served up.

Conditions

There is a always a chance of thunderstorms curtailing a days cricket in hot and humid Dhaka and Friday’s day-nighter will be no different. There is a 25% chance of rain getting in the way of a complete game, with humidity up in the 80% region and temperatures peaking at 33c.

The Venue  

The Shere Bangla National stadium is one of the most used venues in international cricket. Here is a list of the last ten scores made by sides batting first in ODI cricket –

279, 208, 265, 276, 241, 273, 162, 160, 317, 200 – Average 238

First Innings Runs

Here is a list of Bangladesh’s last nine scores when batting first in ODI’s –

279, 208, 265, 276, 241, 273, 160, 307, 329 – Average 259

And here are England‘s scores when batting first in the their last nine –

302, 444, 324, 309, 236, 262, 318, 399, 355 – Average 327

Teams

Kayes (below) looks likely to open up with the experienced dasher Tamim Iqbal. Tamim has played 156 matches for Bangladesh in this format and registered his 7th ODI ton against Afghanistan. Sabbir Rahman might keep his place thanks to a 65 in the final match of that series whilst runs from former captains Shakib-al-Hasan and Mushfiqur Rahim will be crucial to the hosts chances. Shakib has a batting average of 35 and a bowling average of 27 in over 150 ODI’s. Finisher Mahmudullah has a remarkable 30 not outs in 111 innings in 50-over cricket, registering 2 centuries and 15 fifties in the process. Taskin Ahmed led the wicket taking charts versus the Afghans, striking 7 times with his slippery right arm seamers. Captain Mortaza had an economy rate of 3.38 in that series whilst slow-left arm spin from Mosharraf Hossain might get another outing having taken 3/24 last time out.

With no Ales Hales it looks like James Vince might get a further opportunity after a poor summer that saw him dropped from England‘s ODI series win against Pakistan. Jason Roy is suddenly classed as a senior batsman – his record in this form is excellent however – averaging 39 with an eye catching career SR of 104. Duckett (below) will likely bat 3 in absence of the rested Joe Root whilst Jonny Bairstow batted four in the warm-up game. Ben Stokes still has question marks about his batting in this part of the world and can be a bit hit or block. A career batting average of 25 and bowling average of 37 in ODI’s could do with improving pretty soon. Stand-in skipper Jos Buttler is a class act and looked to be in fine fettle in the warm-up match where he led England to their target of 310 after being in trouble at 170-5. His partner in crime was Moeen Ali who hit 70 off just 51 balls. Fellow spinner Adil Rashid was criticised for opting out of Yorkshire’s final county championship match and his figures of 10-0-76-1 were hardly encouraging in Fatullah. The seam attack is likely to be led by David Willey and Chris Woakes – the later took 9 wickets in 4 matches against Sri Lanka last month.

Ones to Watch

Imrul Kayes only played one of three matches against Afghanistan recently but returned to form with a majestic 91 ball 121 in Tuesday’s warm-up match. With 12 fifties and just one century to his name in a 59 match ODI career, Kayes will be hoping to convert some of these starts into big, match winning contributions for Bangladesh.

Few batsman in recent times have excited more pre-England honours than Northants’ Ben Duckett. A few days shy of his 22nd birthday, the talented left hander looks likely to bat three for the tourists in this ODI series. A brilliant list A career to date which has seen him plunder 1,370 in 29 innings at an average above 54 – he could be the man to take advantage of Morgan sitting out this controversial tour.

 

Cricket Betting Preview

Imrul Kayes

Runs Markets

If Bangladesh bat first I recommend backing any UNDER RUNS around the 255-260 mark.

If England bat first I recommend backing any UNDER RUNS around the 305-310 mark.

 

Top Batsman Market

Mushfiqur Rahim looks to be coming back to form and averages 37 against England in ODI’s. He is 6.0 to top score for Bangladesh here.

Moeen Ali looks way too big at 13.0 given his knock in the warm-up game. Sure he may bat down the order, but with question marks over an inexperienced England top order, he looks the value here.

 

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @herefordrich.

 

[/expand]

South Africa v Australia Cricket Betting Preview 30th September By @herefordrich

South Africa v Australia – ODI – SuperSport Park, Centurion at 12:30 live on Sky Sports 5

The Scene

South Africa entertain Australia in the first of five ODI’s in this series between two of crickets limited overs heavyweights.

The hosts will once again be without AB de Villiers who will undergo surgery on a troublesome elbow and is expected to be out until late October at the earliest.

[expand title=”Read More…” swaptitle=”Hide” trigpos=”below” rel=”star-highlander” ]

Steve Smith’s Australia arrive in good spirits after their ODI series win in Sri Lanka earlier this month, which extended their fine record in 50 over cricket, having now won 9 of the last 11 ODI series they’ve competed in.

Incredibly this is the first ODI series played between these sides on South African soil since 2012 – in which the tourists ran out 2-1 victors. The sides last met in a tri-series in the Caribbean earlier this summer where again, Australia beat South Africa 2-1.

Conditions

The weather is set to be warm and sunny on the Highveld with temperatures peaking around the 28c mark. There are sub 10% chance of rain, with no nasty thunderstorms predicted to get in the way of a full ODI.

The Venue

Centurion is a regularly used venue for all international cricket in South Africa. It is seen as a fine pitch for batting, which is backed up by recent scores. Note the 318 was made by England earlier this year, in which South Africa chased this score with relative ease. Here is a list of recent scores in ODI matches on this ground –

318, 304, 361, 301, 179, 191 – Average 275

First Innings Runs

South Africa have batted first in eight completed ODI’s since the start of their India tour last year. Here is a list of their scores when batting first –

354, 343, 189, 188, 262, 438, 270, 303 – Average 292

And here are Australia’s last eight scores when batting first in ODI’s –

270, 265, 288, 330, 348, 299, 309, 305 – Average 301

 

Cricket Betting

Imran Tahir

Teams

South Africa will again be led by Faf du Plessis in the absence of de Villiers. The stand in skipper will have his big names back after they were rested for last weeks rout of Ireland.

Dale Steyn and Imran Tahir return with the ball whilst Hashim Amla should return to open the batting. This could mean debutant century maker Temba Bavuma could drop down the order as Amla opens up with Quinton de Kock. de Kock has ten hundreds in just 64 ODI’s whilst Amla has a remarkable 23 in 134 ODI knocks.

Middle order left handed bats David Miller and JP Duminy are both capable of powerful lower order contributions with career SR’s of 99 and 83 to their names respectively. Farhaan Behardien provides a crucial link to the lower middle order with an average of 30 and a SR in the 90’s, whilst seamer Andile Phehlukwayo could get another try despite going wicket-less on debut against Ireland. Tahir (below) will provide high class leg spin whilst Dale Steyn and Kyle Abbott are likely to lead a Morne Morkel-less home pace attack.

Steve Smith returned against Ireland having been rested at the end of the Sri Lanka ODI series win. David Warner led the side in Smith’s absence and finally found some form in the final ODI, making 106 in the Pallekele victory having previously struggled to buy a run all tour. A blistering 48 off 30 balls against Ireland suggested Warner is in fine form and will be a danger to the home side.

Usman Khwaja opened ahead of Aaron Finch in that win against the Irish and is likely to drop down the order despite an unbeaten 82 in the run chase. George Bailey had a fine series in Sri Lanka, posting a best score of 90 and an average of 67, whilst wicket-keeper bat Matthew Wade seems to be growing at this level, scoring 155 runs at a SR of 83 in Sri Lanka on what were tricky, slow surfaces.

Front line seamers Mitch Starc and Josh Hazlewood sit out this series, with all-rounders John Hastings and Mitch Marsh leading the attack in regards international experience. Scott Boland has 11 ODI’s under his belt but has a best return of just 2/42 whilst Daniel Worral debuted against the Irish and is likely to get another gig here at Centurion.

Ones to Watch

37 year-old leg spinner Imran Tahir is one of the games great characters. He also holds a mightily impressive ODI record for South Africa, having netted 105 wickets in 60 matches. An average of 23 a wicket is eye-catching, but an economy rate of 4.6 in the modern era is simply outstanding. His overs are always crucial as wickets in the middle overs tend to stop sides from getting those 330+ scores that are becoming the norm in this format.

Australia have a leg spin bowler of their own in Adam Zampa that is already building an impressive ODI career record. In 13 ODI matches, the New South Wales tweaker has taken 25 scalps at an average of 22. His economy is also under 5 runs per over and arrives fresh from taking 9 wickets in the Sri Lanka series win. His battle with Tahir could be crucial in deciding the outcome of the series.

Runs Markets

Whichever side bat first I recommend backing any OVER RUNS around the 305-310 mark.

Top Batsman Market

Hashim Amla only averages 30 against Australia in 20 ODI knocks. However, in 11 matches on this ground he has 4 centuries and an average of 69. Back him at 4.33 to top score for South Africa.

No prizes for imagination with this Australia top batsman pick either – David Warner is a hot/cold batsman and appears to be heating up into another warm period of batting form – he can be backed at 4.0 to top score for Steve Smith’s side.

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @herefordrich.

 

[/expand]