South Africa v Ireland Cricket Betting Preview – Sunday 25th Sept By @herefordrich

South Africa v Ireland – ODI – Willowmoore Park, Benoni at 09:00 live on Sky Sports 2

The Scene

Ireland have pleaded with the ICC for the best part of a decade to be given more fixtures against the major, full playing nations of world cricket. The odd ODI here and there at home against neighbours England and the side that happens to be touring the UK each summer isn’t really enough though to push home the case of the plucky Irish, who have upset the likes of Pakistan, England and West Indies in the last three ODI World Cups. Small credit is deserved to South Africa and fellow touring side, Australia, who have agreed to each play Ireland in an official ODI in Benoni this week.

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South Africa play their first ODI since failing to qualify for the tri-series final staged in the West Indies where Australia again made up the trio. The Ireland team’s last match saw them go all out for 82 at home to a Pakistan side who had racked up 337. Previously a 2-2 draw at home to fellow Associate giants Afghanistan had followed a 2-0 defeat to Sri Lanka – in which Ireland lost heavily – this despite passing 200 in each unsuccessful run chase.

Conditions

Sunshine and temperatures in the mid-twenties will welcome the two sides in Benoni. A sub 5% chance of showers will be welcome news for the Irish who often see bad weather impact what little matches they are awarded at home against the major nations.

The Venue

Willowmoore Park, Benoni has hosted 19 ODI’s since 1997, with the majority played out between Associate nations such as Canada, Afghanistan, Scotland and Ireland.

Here is a list of the last seven ODI scores at Benoni –

205, 399, 295, 295, 252, 220, 232 – Average 271

First Innings Runs

South Africa have batted first in seven completed ODI’s since the start of their India tour last year. Here is a list of their scores when batting first –

343, 189, 188, 262, 438, 270, 303 – Average 284

Ireland have batted first in three completed ODI’s since the end of the 2015 Cricket World Cup. Here are there scores when batting first –

265, 268, 219 – Average 250

Teams

With Hashim Amla rested for the Ireland ODI and Rillee Rossouw injured, it is hard to predict who will be de Kock’s (below) opening partner. David Miller or returning skipper AB de Villiers are the two most likely to get the gig before Amla returns for the Australia matches that follow. Captain de Villiers had to sit out the Test win against New Zealand and returns to take back the reigns from Faf du Plessis, who averages over 40 in his 91 ODI’s.

Temba Bavuma is likely to get his first try in coloured clothing for South Africa after 11 Tests – the talented middle order bat made 117 for the Lions in his last List A match several weeks ago. All-rounder Dwaine Pretorius looks set for a debut after a string of matches for South Africa A and is in possession of an impressive domestic one day career. In 39 matches he averages 37 with the bat and 24 with the ball. Kagiso Rabada and Wayne Parnell are likely to lead the seam attack with the former having taken a brilliant 37 wickets at an average of 21 in his ODI career so far. The final spot will either go to spinner Aaron Phangiso or debutant quick Andile Phehlukwayo.

Ireland will be led by William Porterfield who will be keen to rediscover the form which saw him score a World Cup ton in Adelaide against Pakistan. Since then he’s only passed 25 once in 13 innings, dismissed for single figures on 7 occasions. The skipper could slide up the order as Ed Joyce is missing in action – expect Paul Stirling to give it a whack upfront as usual – the Middlesex man has a SR of 92 in his 69 ODI’s. Niall and Kevin O’Brien are two brothers with very different, but effective batting styles. Kevin has now played over 100 matches for Ireland in this format and averages 31 with bat and ball. Wicket-keeper Gary Wilson has just left Surrey for Derbyshire and is likely to play as a batsman only here with Niall O’Brien wearing the gloves.

Wilson is a better player than his ODI average of 25 and SR of 72 suggests. All-rounder Andy McBrine has a top score of 79 alongside 14 career wickets in his 16 matches whilst the seam attack will have to do without quick Boyd Rankin. Tim Murtagh will play for Middlesex  in their county championship finale, before joining the squad on the even of the match. The 35 year-old canny seamer has 25 wickets in this format and an economy of 4.5 per over. Barry McCarthy took 4-62 in the Dublin defeat to Pakistan last month – the only ray of light in what was a rare poor day for Porterfield’s street wise Irish side.

Ones to Watch

Fresh from getting married in Mauritius last week, Quinton de Kock will continue to open the batting for South Africa in ODI cricket. The wicket-keeper bat has scored a remarkable 10 centuries in just 63 matches in this format for his country and should enjoy the early season conditions in Benoni.

To contain sides at the death in ODI cricket you need wickets in that middle period. Slow-left-arm spin from George Dockrell will be crucial to Ireland‘s hopes in the field of limiting any end of innings chaos from the hosts. A career spanning 53 matches in this format has seen a hugely impressive economy rate of just 4.4 runs per over come of his bowling.

 

Cricket Betting

Quinton de Kock

Runs Markets

If South Africa bat first I recommend backing any OVER RUNS around the 295-300 mark.

If Ireland bat first I recommend backing any UNDER RUNS around the 245-250 mark.

 

Top Batsman Market

de Kock looks too short at 3.25 despite his magic ODI record. Instead let us take a punt on David Miller who (might) open the batting for South Africa. Back him at 7.0.

Niall O’Brien looks the stand out value to top score for Ireland at 6.50.

 

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @herefordrich.

 

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South Africa v New Zealand Cricket Betting Preview – Friday 19th August By @herefordrich

South Africa v New Zealand – 1st Test at Kingsmead at 09:00 live on Sky Sports 2

The Scene

A two Test match series gets underway in Durban on Friday between South Africa and New Zealand. The visitors arrive fresh from a two-nil series win against minnows Zimbabwe, whilst South Africa play a Test for the first time since January, where they were beaten two-one by England.

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The hosts also previously lost three-nil in India and failed to beat Bangladesh away in a rain affected series – life post Graeme Smith and Jacques Kallis has been tough for South Africa and will have to do without AB de Villiers and Morne Morkel in this two match series – both have injuries and are ruled out. The home side have a poor recent record at Kingsmead, losing five of the last six Tests.

Conditions

This is winter in Durban, but having a tropical climate means temperatures will still be in the mid twenties and sunshine should feature throughout.

The Venue

Here’s a list of sides 1st innings scores at Durban in the last five Tests along with the winner/result of each Test in bold text

2015 – 1st inns –  303 (ENG), 2nd inns – 214 (SA) – ENG

2013 – 1st inns – 334 (IND), 2nd inns – 500 (SA) – SA

2011 – 1st inns – 338 (SL), 2nd inns – 168 (SA) – SL

2010 – 1st inns – 205 (IND), 2nd inns – 131 (SA) – IND

2009– 1st inns – 343 (SA), 2nd inns – 574/9d (ENG) – ENG

Batting in the 1st innings of the match in this period – Average 304

Batting in the 2nd innings of the match in this period – Average 317

NOTE – (we’ve ignored 3rd and 4th match innings for the purposes of this column which has been written for each sides 1st innings of the Test)

Form Guide & First Inns Runs

Here are South Africa‘s last eight 1st innings scores in Tests, plus result in brackets –

475 (W) 313 (L) 627/7d (D) 214 (L) 121 (L) 79 (L) 214 (D) 184 (L) DNB (D) 248(D) – Average 353

Here are New Zealand‘s last nine 1st innings scores in Tests, plus result in brackets –

582/4d (W) 576/6d (W) 370 (L) 183 (L) 237 (W) 431 (W) 202 (L) 624 (D) 317 (L) – Average 391

Teams

Faf du Plessis leads South Africa in AB’s absence but comes into this series needing some runs having managed just 127 in five knocks against England. Cook (below) will open the batting with Dean Elgar – the nuggety left hander averages a lowly 36 in 25 Tests but did score his 4th Test ton in the England series. Hashim Amla is the star turn with the bat but averages just 18 on his home ground in 16 innings, way down on a career average that exceeds 50. Temba Bavuma looked full of promise in his first full Test series, scoring 248 runs  in seven knocks against Alastair Cook’s side. Quinton de Kock came back into the XI mid-series and returned with a memorable hundred at Centurion whilst all rounders Chris Morris and Wayne Parnell are likely to battle it out for the number eight spot. Kagiso Rabada returns from a successful county stint with Kent whilst fit again experienced quick-men Vernon Philander and Dale Steyn should make up a powerful seam attack.

Two huge victories in Zimbabwe for Williamson’s (below) New Zealand outfit means that the top order arrive in Durban in terrific form. Martin Guptill (40, 87, 11), Tom Latham (105, 136, 13), Williamson (91, 113, 68*) and BJ Watling (107, 83*) all well and truly booked in for bed and breakfast in the Bulawayo double-header. Ross Taylor went some better though, scoring 364 runs in 3 innings without being dismissed! Henry Nicholls and Mitchell Santner have both looked the part in their short Test careers but have both yet to register a half-century in a combined 11 innings. Left arm quicks Trent Boult and Neil Wagner are two of the best in the business, the later took 11 wickets in the Zimbabwe routing. Tim Southee should enjoy the swing that often occurs at Kingsmead whilst leg spinner Ish Sodhi could get the nod ahead of seamers Dougie Bracewell, Matt Henry and off spinner Mark Craig.

Ones To Watch

33 year-old opener Stephen Cook had a fine debut during South Africa‘s dead rubber 4th Test win against England. Cook made a century in the first innings followed by 25 in the second to show he could be the man to open alongside Dean Elgar over the coming years.

 

SA Cook

Stephen Cook

Black Caps skipper Kane Williamson became the youngest cricketer in the history of the game to score Test hundreds against each nation earlier this month during his sides romp to victory in Zimbabwe. Averaging 51 in 50 Tests confirms a special talent – he will be expected to lead from the front post McCullum retirement.

Runs Markets

Whoever bats first, I recommend backing any UNDER RUNS around the 345-350 mark.

Top First Innings Batsman Market

Dean Elgar looks the value in the South Africa top order to top score @ 5.50 with 888Sport

For New Zealand, how can we differentiate between the entire top order who filled their boots in Bulawayo? Let us be unoriginal and back captain Kane Williamson @ 3.75 with Unibet

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @herefordrich.

 

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