WTA US Open Final Tennis Handicap Betting Preview – Saturday 10th Sept By @DavAulak

We’re coming to the end of the US Open. But that has not stopped @DavAulak giving us his Tennis Handicap Betting Recommendation in the WTA US Open Final.

Angelique Kerber v Karolina Pliskova

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Here’s what I had written about Karolina Pliskova on the first day of the tournament that I have extracted here:

“The likes of Sam Stosur (2011) and Flavia Pennetta (2015) have won titles at Flushing Meadows. Doubt they many backers when they did. The three years in between have been dominated by Serena Williams. Yet, this is a tournament that can see a surprise winner and the big prices that perhaps appeal the most are Petra Kvitova and Karolina Pliskova who have had solid summers.

I don’t think either player can be massively trusted. If they can build some steam up in the tournament and Serena Williams is shocked in the First Round, you never know. Pliskova has a terrible Grand Slam record, but I have a feeling she is the kind of player who will suddenly put seven wins together and her tournament success in Cincinnati has to be respected.”

Now, I don’t know about you. I think the last two weeks have basically backed up my feelings about her pre-tournament. However, I am not sure she will go on and win the seventh match I had suggested. The success in Cincinnati included a win over Angelique Kerber in the Final when she dropped just four games, and Pliskova has been serving well enough to think she can beat any player on the WTA Tour.

 

Tennis Handicap Betting

Angelique Kerber

So far she has handled the nerves so impressively that Pliskova has to be respected in this Final, but I am not sure if she will eventually betray her feelings. The win over Serena Williams was very impressive, but the former World Number 1 might not have been at 100% and the Pliskova serve is likely to be tested by the ability the eventual new World Number One.

While the manner of her defeat to Pliskova will play a part in this one. I think Kerber was coming in much more physically affected after three long weeks on the Tour. Kerber has not dropped a set in the tournament and that should mean she is going to be able to run as much as she needs to as she tries to break down the Pliskova serve.

There is a clear edge for Pliskova from the serve, yet Kerber is the better player when the rallies are extended. She has the experience edge thanks to her two previous GS Finals in 2016. I think that is going to be important for her. At some point Pliskova is going to realise the situation she is in. However, I think at that point things will begin to get tight for her.

Matches between these players have been competitive. I am looking for Kerber to underline her position as the new World Number One. Looking at a 7-5, 4-6, 6-3 win.

 

 HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Angelique Kerber – 2.5 Games @ 1.95 with Eastbridge Sports Betting Brokerage

 

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @DavAulak.

 

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WTA US Open Tennis Handicap Betting Preview – Friday 9th September By @DavAulak

It’s the semi-finals of the WTA US Open. After a good tournament for @DavAulak so far, can he gain a few more Tennis Handicap Betting winners?

Serena Williams v Karolina Pliskova

There’s a big question for me to answer. That is whether Serena Williams has had enough time to recover from her Quarter Final win over Simona Halep. Serena has shown she has needed the day between matches to help her shoulder recover. Yet, she has stated it will not faze her to play back to back matches on Wednesday and Thursday.

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It was a tough win for Serena Williams over Halep. However, the match could have finished sooner if missed break points were scored in the second set. She did serve well against a solid returner like Halep and the serve is going to be a key shot in this Semi Final against Karolina Pliskova.

It’s still crazy to think Pliskova had never reached the Fourth Round of a Grand Slam tournament before the US Open. She had to dig incredibly deep to beat Venus Williams in that Fourth Round. But the question is if she is going to be able to serve big enough to beat Serena having been broken six times by the older sister.

Pliskova will also be facing different conditions playing in the evening session. It may take time to adjust to and even though she has been in incredible form, I think this is going to be a huge test for Pliskova. She will be under pressure from the Serena serve, while her own serve is a big weapon. Yet, against Venus she was on the ropes, but now faces the better returner in her sister.

If the shoulder is an issue this might be a close match. I think Serena Williams will be good for the win against Pliskova. Serena to win 6-3, 6-3.

 

TENNIS HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Serena Williams -5.5 Games @ 2.23 with Unibet

 

Tennis Handicap Betting

Serena Williams

Angelique Kerber v Caroline Wozniacki

The dream Final for the US Open organisers has to be Serena Williams v. Angelique Kerber for the third time in four Grand Slam events in 2016. This time it wouldn’t just be for the great achievement of winning a Grand Slam title, but the winner of that match would also become World Number One.

The story would write for itself if that was the Final on Saturday. However, I think we are likely to get to that match after two great Semi Finals. The first Semi Final will have a lot of big winners and heavy shots drawing gasps from the crowd. Yet I reckon this one will entertain the fans in a different way, as the athleticism of both Kerber and Caroline Wozniacki will see a lot of special rallies put together.

The US Open fans have always loved Wozniacki for the fight she shows, and I think they will admire Kerber for the same. Wozniacki currently sits as the underdog and should the majority of the support in what has been a unexpected run to the Semi Final. There has not been a lot of form coming into the US Open, but Wozniacki has been at her battling best to come through the draw. However, things will be different in this one.

The majority of players Wozniacki has faced have been attacking players. Svetlana Kuznetsova and Madison Keys will go for their shots over and over, but Kerber is a smarter player. She is happy to rally and bide her time waiting for the right ball to attack.

Her own defensive skills will mean Wozniacki has to work very hard to break her down, and I am not surprised Kerber has the edge on the head to head. The former World Number 1 has the edge when it comes to the hard court matches, leading 5-4. Kerber has improved and the confidence is in a much stronger place. I mean, they go into this Semi Final winning a Grand Slam title and reaching the Final of another in 2016.

Kerber had been in stronger form over the summer. I think she has the opportunity to earn a few shorter balls from the serve which can provide all the difference in a tight match. Wozniacki will struggle to stay with Kerber the longer this goes on. Overall, I am expecting the World Number 2 to set up a Final with Serena Williams. Kerber to win 7-5, 6-4.

 

TENNIS HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Angelique Kerber -3.5 Games @ 1.86 with Pinnacle

 

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @DavAulak.

 

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WTA US Open Tennis Handicap Betting Preview – Wed 7th Sept By @DavAulak

Tennis handicap betting expert @DavAulak previews Wednesday’s two WTA US Open quarter finals and shares his value bets.

Ana Konjuh v Karolina Pliskova

There are over eighty places in the World Rankings between Karolina Pliskova and Ana Konjuh, but both will be dealing with nerves in this Quarter Final. It won’t surprise to hear this is the first Quarter Final for Konjuh after coming through her first ever Fourth Round match in a Grand Slam, but it is more surprising to think the last Round was the furthest Number 11 in the World Rankings Pliskova had been in a Grand Slam match.

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Her win over Venus Williams will only have filled the confidence meter even more for Pliskova who has a big game that should be well suited to these courts. The serve is a big weapon and she does follow that up with a heavy forehand, but Pliskova has to be feeling the nerves in a match she will be expected to win.

That will only increase the nerves and pressure that is going to be on Pliskova’s shoulders, but it is still up to Konjuh to make life difficult for her opponent. She is very young and even though Konjuh has been tipped for plenty of success in her career, dealing with Grand Slam Quarter Final nerves comes with experience.

The win over Agnieszka Radwanska was impressive from Konjuh, but this is a different match up with plenty of firepower on the other side of the court. There hasn’t been a lot to suggest this run was in the offing for Konjuh, but I think the youngster can produce enough big shots to make this a competitive affair, while I will also look for Pliskova to perhaps allow her nerves to betray her on occasion as she is forced to dig deep into a third set to get the job done and book her place in the Semi Final.

TENNIS HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Ana Konjuh +3.5 Games @ 2.05 with Eastbridge Sports Betting Brokerage

 

WTA Tennis Handicap Betting Preview 0709

Serena Williams and Simona Halep

Serena Williams v Simona Halep

This might be the biggest test that Serena Williams will have faced in Flushing Meadows so far, but she is making light work of all opponents thanks to an incredible serve which has been dominant. It is hard to imagine players on the men’s side of the draw and some of the monster serves in that draw going through four matches without facing more than a solitary break point.

How do you beat Serena Williams if you are barely denting the serve? Someone like Simona Halep may feel she has the best return of all the players Serena has played so far and will look to use her movement around the court to retrieve as many balls as possible, but the first four matches has shown a Serena who is very confident in her abilities to win her twenty-third Singles Grand Slam title.

It has been a very productive summer for Simona Halep and she has played well this week, but her serve is not going to provide as many cheap points as Serena Williams’ serve will. She is going to have to work hard to stay with Williams, but the heavy hitting will eventually penetrate her defences and that means trying to fend off break points knowing you won’t have too many chances to break yourself.

That pressure builds mentally and I think Halep will do well to keep this one close. They have had some competitive matches over the last two years and Halep has been in strong form having won the title in Montreal and reached the Semi Final in Cincinnati. However Serena Williams has been at the top of her game all week, is serving tremendously well and has the power to hurt Halep and I expect her to come through with a 63, 64 win in this one.

TENNIS HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Serena Williams -4.5 Games @ 1.77 with Pinnacle

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @DavAulak.

 

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