West Ham v Southampton – London Stadium at 16:00 live on Sky Sports 1
I’ve had a profitable few weeks and I will be looking to continue this run on Sunday as West Ham take on Southampton in the Premier League.
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West Ham have had a terrible start to the season, which has come as a surprise to many who were expecting The Hammers to push on from the success of last campaign. After a 7th place Premier League finish last season, expectations were subsequently raised, although Slaven Bilic’s side are noticeably struggling at present.
The Hammers have lost their last 3 consecutive league games and 4 out of their opening 5 in total. West Ham have been defensively poor and a few weeks ago suffered a 4-2 home defeat against Watford, after taking a 2-0 lead!
West Ham have only kept 1 clean sheet, whilst conceding 13 league goals so far this season, a run of form which has seen them slip down to 18th in the Premier League table.
A narrow 1-0 victory against Bournemouth saw The Hammers pick up their first and only win of the season, but The Cherries were playing with 10 men towards the end of the game. Antonio scored the winning goal that day and he is currently West Ham’s top-scorer with 5 league goals to his name.
Last weekend The Hammers suffered a 4-2 defeat to West Brom, a team which don’t tend to score many goals, which once again highlights the home side’s defensive flaws.
Bilic’s men were also very lucky mid-week, as they beat Accrington Stanley 1-0 late on to remain in the EFL Cup. Dimitri Payet scored a 96th minute free-kick which sealed the victory, but only just!
Last weekend Southampton got their first 3 points of the new campaign with a 1-0 victory over Swansea. Charlie Austin is starting to show some form and scored his first Premier League goal of the season last weekend and his 4th goal in total. Fellow striker Shane Long is yet to get off the mark in any competition to date.
Southampton beat Crystal Palace 2-0 in the EFL Cup mid-week, with Charlie Austin and Jake Hesketh getting on the scoresheet.
The Saints are currently winless away from home however and they’ll be hoping they can change this by getting a result against a side that are evidently struggling at present.
Although it may seem Southampton have been finding life tough on the road, they have had 2 of the toughest away fixtures at Manchester United (2-0) and Arsenal (2-1). A trip to the London Stadium is definitely a good opportunity to take away all 3 points by comparison!
Southampton have scored in 4 out of their 5 league games this season and if West Ham defend the same way they have done in recent weeks, expect to see more goals from the Saints.
Claude Puel’s side have also kept a clean sheet in their last 3 matches across all competitions and so it may take a moment of quality from The Hammers to break down Southampton’s defence.
West Ham have been playing poorly of late and although Southampton having been getting the results, their performances haven’t been as bad as their league position (14th) suggests. The Hammers are certainly under pressure but even so, I am expecting Southampton to get a narrow win on Sunday. If West Ham have sorted out their defence however, a draw is also a possibility in what will no doubt be a close game. I recommend backing under 2.5 goals on Sunday as a narrow 1-0 win for Southampton or a low-scoring draw will return full profit.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.96 with Eastbridge Sports Betting Brokerage
Prices correct at time of writing.