For new bettors, it’s important to note conditions that might influence bet results besides players’ performance, team formations, weather conditions. We will look at how the new refereeing rules impact match outcomes in the 2022 FIFA Qatar World Cup. Bettors need to understand how this influences their bet outcomes and how to factor it into placing bets on games. Here are the rules that should be taken into consideration.
With 14 minutes at the end of the first half and 10 minutes at the end of the second, England’s crushing 6-2 victory over Iran in Group B was extended by nearly 30 minutes. In the quarterfinal match between the Netherlands and Argentina, there were five extra minutes in the first half and ten in the second as the Dutch sought to score in the last seconds to force extra time.
Why has the 2022 World Cup in Qatar already seen so much overtime?
According to a former referee, fans shouldn’t be shocked if they see the fourth official raise the electronic board with a large number on it, such as six, seven, or eight minutes. The leading causes of this significant rise in added time have been injuries, holiday time, and some deliberate delays by players. According to the rulebook, additional time is needed to accurately finish the amount of time that football is being played.
How Does This Affect Betting?
- It doesn’t take a genius to figure out that games with longer durations have more goals because goals take much longer to achieve. There are a few fundamental ideas you should generally keep in mind when analyzing a football game.
- Every betting market relies on someone offering a price to bet at, and that price is frequently based on a model. The time left to play when placing a football wager is a component of that concept.
- To score a goal, any prices in the market must adapt for more time if you add more than that. As a result, the over/under market will change over a long period of additional time.
- The additional stoppage time has opened up a possibility in the market for match odds. There will be late goals if there is a lot of time left in the game.
- Very late goals have been scored thus far in a good number of World Cup games due to the new rules this year. That is a significant spike and wholly unanticipated.
Several alternatives depend on how you might take advantage of this, but they all depend totally on the specific match and the score at the time. The idea is to back the over in most games due to the enormous additional minutes.
Video Assistant Referee (VAR)
The technology is being used for the second time at the Men’s World Cup. The first occurred in Russia in 2018. However, between World Cups, the Video Assistant Referee has participated in significant men’s professional soccer leagues and important FIFA competitions. The technology and its application are familiar and comfortable for the officials.
When Is The VAR Used?
Goals, penalty decisions, direct red-card events, and mistaken identity are match-changing circumstances when VAR will only be used for “clear and evident errors” or “severe missed incidents.”
- Goals: The VAR automatically examines any goal or no goal to see if any fouls would have prevented the goal from being scored, if there was any offside before the goal, or if there was a missed ball in or out of the field.
- Penalty judgments: Any potential fouls, whether called or not, are examined by the VAR concerning the tackle, offense, and foul location, whether inside or outside the penalty area.
- Straight Red Card: Red card challenges or possible red card challenges are automatically examined, whether they are given or not. There is no review of a second yellow card that changes to a red card.
- The Error of Identity: A card accidentally provided to the wrong person can be reviewed and changed.
The last World Cup saw a record 29 penalties awarded, but this one has only seen 16, which is a massive decrease from 2018’s World Cup held in Russia. Bettors should bet less on penalties as the VAR system has improved, which has decreased the number of awarded penalties. Bet more on no penalty awarded in a game.
The World Cup is a prestigious tournament, but it is still far from perfect; referees still impact the game’s outcome, and their decisions cannot always be fair. That’s why it’s advisable for bettors to take the refereeing rules into consideration before betting. The VAR and the ridiculous added time in the tournament have been the standouts so far.
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