Angelique Kerber v Roberta Vinci
I had to really think about this match and how I think it would go because I respect how well Roberta Vinci has played here this week especially after reaching the Final in Flushing Meadows in 2015. The Italian has enjoyed plenty of successful runs at the US Open and will be confident she can beat anyone here when looking back at beating Serena Williams.
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However I am leaning towards Angelique Kerber having a little too much in this Quarter Final and eventually wearing down Vinci and being able to cover this big number on the handicap.
As well as Vinci has played, Kerber has arguably the best win when seeing off Petra Kvitova in straight sets. This will be the toughest match Vinci would have faced this week and she has to find a way to protect a limited backhand which is going into the Kerber forehand and I am not sure she can do that for long enough to stick with the German.
Neither player possesses the biggest of serves, but I think Kerber’s tactics will be to go into the backhand as often as possible where she is not likely to be hit by a huge number of winners. Having that wing to attack to take control of rallies and start dictating points will give the potential World Number 1 the chance to come through with a 75, 62 kind of win.
HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Angelique Kerber -5.5 Games @ 1.88 with Pinnacle
Caroline Wozniacki v Anastasija Sevastova
The rumours continue to circulate that Caroline Wozniacki is on the verge of retiring from tennis and the feeling is that it is allowing her to play with the freedom of mind she wouldn’t have had in past Grand Slam events. Failing to win a Grand Slam doesn’t make it a bad career, but Wozniacki is one of the poorer World Number 1 players in recent times although this has looked a very good week for her so far.
After battling through the First Round, Wozniacki has looked very good in the last three Rounds to move into this Quarter Final. There is a real opportunity for Wozniacki to make it through to the US Open Final, but the headlines are not just going to be dominated by the former World Number 1.
While her future looks to be bringing a retirement, Anastasija Sevastova has returned to the Tour from an enforced retirement and is enjoying a stellar tournament. Beating top 20 players like Garbine Muguruza and Johanna Konta will have given Sevastova plenty of confidence, although dealing with a first Grand Slam Quarter Final is never easy mentally.
The Sevastova run has been surprisingly considering her lack of form on the main Tour in hard court matches prior to the US Open. She will need to control her unforced errors against an opponent that will run all day to make every ball back in play but I can see a situation where both players have plenty of break points, but Wozniacki uses all of her experience to come through 63, 64 and move onto the Semi Final.
HANDICAP BETTING PICK: Caroline Wozniacki -4.5 Games @ 1.97 with Unibet
Prices correct at time of writing.